Boralex Inc. (BRLXF)
Fair ValueFundamental
40
Price
$-
Market Cap
$3.83B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Boralex develops, builds and operates renewable power plants — mostly onshore wind, plus hydroelectric dams, solar farms and battery storage — in Canada, France, the United Kingdom and the United States. It is France's largest independent onshore wind producer and one of Canada's larger renewable operators. The company does not sell electricity to households directly; it sells the power its plants generate into wholesale markets or under long-term contracts with utilities and large corporate buyers.
How it makes money
Boralex earns revenue from selling the electricity its wind, hydro, solar and battery assets generate, either at a market price, a government feed-in premium, or a fixed price locked in under a long-term power purchase agreement signed years before a plant is built. Because output depends on how much the wind blows or the sun shines, revenue swings with weather from quarter to quarter even when installed capacity stays flat; 2025 revenue fell 3% despite 8% more electricity produced, mainly on weaker French contract prices.
Competitive moat
No identified moat · NoneElectricity is a commodity: a megawatt-hour from Boralex's wind farm is indistinguishable from one produced by a competitor next door, and long-term power contracts are available to any developer with capital, permits and grid access. Boralex's edge is operational — decades of site selection and construction experience — rather than a structural barrier that keeps rivals out.
What drives demand
DefensiveMost of Boralex's output is sold under long-term contracts or government feed-in tariffs that are largely insulated from the broader economic cycle, so revenue depends far more on wind speeds, rainfall and sunshine than on GDP growth or consumer spending. The main swing factor in 2025 was weather-driven production and softer short-term power prices in France, not a change in underlying demand.
The case for
Buyers argue that Boralex's 2030 strategy, backed by $8 billion in planned investment and a project pipeline of 8.2 GW, positions it to double installed capacity by 2030, and that six new plants commissioned in 2025 already show the growth engine is running.
The case against
Sellers fear that falling short-term power prices in France already cut 2025 net earnings by more than half, that renewable projects depend on financing conditions and government contract auctions the company does not control, and that debt taken on to fund $8 billion of growth adds financial risk if power prices stay soft.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The closest match to Boralex: a Quebec-based independent producer of wind, solar and hydro power bidding for the same long-term utility power contracts in Canada and France, now privately held by La Caisse after its July 2025 take-private.
Another Canadian independent power producer that develops and operates wind and solar capacity under long-term contracts, competing with Boralex for the same provincial tenders and project pipelines.
A French developer of onshore wind, solar and battery storage that bids against Boralex in the same French government renewable-energy tenders; it was delisted from Euronext Paris in April 2025 after Brookfield's buyout.
A French independent producer of wind and solar electricity that competes with Boralex for grid connections, land and public tenders in its core French market.
A far larger owner of hydro, wind and solar plants that competes with Boralex both for renewable project acquisitions and for the same corporate and utility power-purchase agreements in Canada, the US and Europe.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$898M
Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)
Net Income
$-32M
Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$-224M
Total Equity
$1.52B
Total Liabilities
$4.73B
Current Ratio
1.24
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
9.23
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$31.97
Current Price
-
Margin of Safety
-
Fair Value Range
$22.83 - $41.11
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
-
ROE
0.1%
P/B Ratio
2.51
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
75.6%
ROIC
3.6%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
3.6%
WACC
3.6%
ROIC − WACC
+0.1 pp
ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (6)
- Gross Margin 75.6%
- P/B Ratio 2.51
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.0%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 49.00
Failed (9)
- ROIC 3.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE -2.1%
- Analyst Consensus 9% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -107.8%
- Net Margin Trend 0.9% vs 4.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (12)
- EPS data insufficient
- Historical price data insufficient
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
No institutional filings reported for this company.
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Patrick Decostre | President, CEO & Director | 52 |
| Mr. Stéphane Milot | Vice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning & Analysis | - |
| Mr. Pascal Hurtubise | Executive VP & Chief Legal Officer | - |
| Eric Cantin | Vice President of Corporate Finance | - |
| Ms. Marie-Josée Arsenault | Executive VP and Chief People & Culture Officer | - |
| Mr. Rabindra Nath Mishra | Deputy Managing Director of Development Europe | - |
| Mr. Pascal Laprise-Demers | Senior Vice President of Corporate Strategy & Business Performance | - |
| Mr. Nicolas Mabboux | Senior Vice President of IT and Digital Transformation | - |
| David Lett | Head of Projects | - |
| Egbert De Groot | Senior Vice President of Merger, Acquisitions & Energy Commercialisation of North America | - |
Audit Risk
9
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
8
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for BRLXF, sourced from Markets Gazette.