Crown Holdings Inc (CCK)
UndervaluedFundamental
73
Price
$103.98
Market Cap
$11.69B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Crown Holdings is one of the world's largest makers of metal packaging. Its core product is the aluminium beverage can — the two-piece can body plus the end that seals it — sold to brewers and soft-drink bottlers, and roughly 73% of 2025 consolidated net sales came from the global beverage can business. Around that core it also makes steel and aluminium food cans, aerosol cans, closures, crowns and glass bottles, and it runs a separate transit packaging business that sells strapping, protective packaging and the automated equipment that applies them to industries such as steel, construction, agriculture and corrugated. At the end of 2025 the company ran 179 plants with sales and service facilities across 39 countries, employed about 23,000 people, and generated 61% of its $12.4 billion of net sales outside the United States.
How it makes money
Crown sells physical units — cans, ends, closures, strapping — under supply contracts with large beverage and industrial customers, so revenue is essentially volume multiplied by price per unit. The economics hinge on metal: in 2025 aluminium and steel alone were 47% and 8% of consolidated cost of products sold excluding depreciation and amortisation, and many contracts pass those raw-material costs through to the customer, which means reported sales rise and fall with metal prices without that movement necessarily touching profit. The filing notes that pass-through provisions can include annual price adjustments tied to a producer price index, which in some years is negative and forces Crown to cut its selling price even if its own costs went up. Growth therefore comes from unit volume and from adding production lines close to customers' filling plants, not from raising prices.
Revenue by segment
Aluminium beverage cans and ends, steel crowns, glass bottles and aluminium closures produced in the United States, Brazil, Canada, Colombia and Mexico, sold to brewers, soft-drink bottlers and their licensees.
Aluminium beverage cans and ends manufactured across Europe, the Middle East and North Africa for beer and soft-drink customers.
Steel and plastic strapping and other consumables, protective packaging and the automation and equipment technologies that apply them, sold worldwide into the metals, food and beverage, construction, agricultural, corrugated and general industrial markets.
Non-reportable operations grouped together: the North American tinplate businesses — food cans, aerosol cans and closures — plus beverage can tooling and equipment sold from the United States and the United Kingdom.
Beverage cans and ends, food cans and specialty packaging made in Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam for regional and international drink and food brands.
Competitive moat
Scale · NarrowA beverage can is a commodity, but shipping empty cans is expensive relative to their value, so plants are built close to the customer's filling lines and each regional market ends up served by a handful of very large producers. Crown's 179 plants in 39 countries, its multi-year aluminium supply contracts and its position with the world's biggest brewers and bottlers give it a cost and proximity advantage that a new entrant would need heavy capital and a committed customer to replicate. The limits are visible in the same filing: Crown itself lists overcapacity and intense competition, substitution by other packaging formats, and the loss or consolidation of a major customer among its risk factors, and its top ten customers are large enough to negotiate hard on price.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalMost of the company is tied to packaged drinks, which people keep buying through a downturn: beer and soft drinks are staples, and the filing describes beverage can volumes growing in North America on new products packaged in cans, in Europe on a shift away from other formats, and in Brazil and Mexico on rising per-capita incomes and consumption. That makes the beverage side closer to defensive than cyclical. Two things pull the other way. Transit Packaging, about a sixth of sales, serves metals, construction, agriculture and general industry, whose spending swings with the industrial cycle — it was one of the two segments whose volumes fell in 2025. And the company states that its business is seasonal and that weather can reduce net sales, so a cool summer costs volume regardless of the economy. Reported revenue also moves with pass-through of aluminium and steel costs, which is a price effect rather than a demand one.
Key risks
- Raw material and energy prices, and tariffs — Crown states that profits will decline if aluminium, steel, resin or energy prices rise and it cannot raise its own prices. Aluminium and steel were 47% and 8% of 2025 cost of products sold excluding depreciation and amortisation. The filing describes US tariffs imposed on aluminium, steel and imports during 2025, notes that a February 2026 Supreme Court ruling found many of those tariffs unlawful, and says the scope and practical effect of that decision remain uncertain and could be material.
- Loss of a major customer or further customer consolidation — The company lists the loss of a major customer and customer consolidation as a risk that could reduce net sales and profitability. It notes that consolidation among beverage marketers has already produced a concentrated customer base.
- Overcapacity, competition and substitute packaging — Crown warns that its principal markets may be subject to overcapacity and intense competition, and separately that it faces competition from substitute products — packaging made of paper, plastic, wood, glass and other metals — and from declines in demand for its products, either of which could lower profits and cash flow.
- Indebtedness — The filing states that the company's indebtedness could prevent it from meeting its obligations under its debt agreements. At 31 December 2025 Crown and its subsidiaries had approximately $6 billion of indebtedness excluding unamortised discounts and issuance costs, with term loan maturities of $32 million in 2026 and $1,730 million in 2027, and it flags that part of that debt carries floating rates.
- Asbestos litigation — Crown Cork & Seal Company, a wholly owned subsidiary, is one of many defendants in a large number of US lawsuits alleging bodily injury from asbestos exposure, stemming from a business acquired in 1963 that is alleged to have made asbestos-containing insulation. The company says pending and future asbestos litigation and settlement payments could reduce its cash flow and hurt its financial condition.
- International exposure and currency — The majority of Crown's sales come from outside the United States, which the filing identifies as a source of risk, particularly in emerging markets. It also discloses that a 10% move in the average exchange rates used to translate 2025 income and expense would have reduced net income by roughly $20 million, with the Mexican peso, the euro and the Thai baht the main exposures.
- Seasonality and weather — The company discloses that its business is seasonal and that weather conditions could reduce net sales — beverage can demand concentrates in the warmer months and a poor summer hurts volumes.
- Regulation of food and beverage packaging, and climate rules — Crown flags that demand for its products could be affected by changes in laws and regulations applicable to food and beverages and by shifts in consumer preferences, and separately that climate change and the laws, regulations and market trends responding to it could hurt its business. It also discloses a French Competition Authority decision of December 2023 imposing a €4 million fine over alleged anti-competitive behaviour linked to the removal of bisphenol-A from metal packaging, which it has appealed.
Customer concentration
Top customers account for 48% of revenue
The filing states that Crown's top ten global customers represented in aggregate approximately 48% of 2025 consolidated net sales. Two individual customers stand out: one accounted for about 12% of consolidated net sales in 2025 (12% in 2024, 11% in 2023) and another for about 11% (12% in both 2024 and 2023). Both are global beverage companies served across the Americas, Europe and Asia. Named large customers include Anheuser-Busch InBev, Coca-Cola, Heineken, Keurig Dr Pepper, Molson Coors, Pepsi-Cola and Refresco, and Crown also supplies independent Coca-Cola and Pepsi-Cola bottlers. Every reportable segment except Transit Packaging has major customers of this kind, and the company attributes the concentration to consolidation among beverage marketers.
The case for
Buyers argue that Crown sits in a consolidated, capital-intensive industry where a can plant has to be built next to the customer's filling line, which keeps the number of credible competitors in each region small. They point to the 2025 figures as evidence the operating story is working: consolidated net sales up 4.8% to $12,365 million, Americas Beverage sales up to $5,615 million with segment income up to $1,030 million on what management describes as operational improvements and better customer mix, and European Beverage up 12.3% on volume. They note that aluminium cost is largely passed through to customers, so metal price swings hit reported sales more than margin, and that the company is adding capacity where demand is growing — a new high-speed line at Ponta Grossa in Brazil due to start in late 2026, and announced line additions in Greece. They also point to the structural shift towards cans on sustainability grounds that the filing describes in Europe, and to emerging-market volume growth in Brazil and Mexico driven by rising per-capita consumption.
The case against
Sellers fear that Crown is a commodity manufacturer squeezed between a handful of very large buyers and a volatile metal input. Ten customers are about 48% of sales and two of them are roughly 12% and 11% each, so losing or being repriced by one of them matters; the company itself lists the loss of a major customer and customer consolidation among its risk factors, alongside overcapacity and intense competition in its principal markets. They point out that the pass-through mechanism cuts both ways — the filing notes that price adjustments tied to a producer price index can be negative, forcing Crown to lower selling prices while its own costs rise — and that tariff policy on aluminium and steel is unsettled, with the company disclosing that a February 2026 Supreme Court ruling against many US tariffs leaves the practical outcome uncertain and potentially material. They note the roughly $6 billion of debt at the end of 2025 against term loan maturities of $1,730 million in 2027, the open asbestos litigation at the Crown Cork subsidiary, the €4 million French competition fine under appeal, and the fact that Transit Packaging and Asia Pacific both saw volumes decline in 2025.
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Ball is the largest global maker of aluminium beverage cans and bids for the same beer and soft-drink filling contracts as Crown in North America, Europe and South America.
Ardagh Metal Packaging supplies aluminium beverage cans to the same brewers and beverage brands in Europe, the United States and Brazil, the core markets of Crown's beverage segments.
Silgan is the main rival in North American metal food cans and aerosol containers, the business Crown runs alongside its beverage cans.
CANPACK, privately held in Poland, competes for the same beverage-can contracts in Europe and has been adding capacity in the United States and the Middle East where Crown also sells.
Trivium, privately owned, makes metal food, aerosol and specialty containers for the same food and personal-care customers Crown serves outside beverage cans.
Sonoco's rigid metal and composite cans compete with Crown's food-can lines for the same packaged-food producers in North America and Europe.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$13.26B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$784M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$1.12B
Total Equity
$3.00B
Total Liabilities
$10.79B
Current Ratio
1.05
Interest Coverage
4.09
Debt/EBITDA
2.97
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$158.56
Current Price
$103.98
Margin of Safety
+34.4%
Fair Value Range
$103.07 - $214.06
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
15.15
ROE
24.6%
P/B Ratio
4.00
P/FCF
9.56
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
12.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
12.8%
WACC
7.0%
ROIC − WACC
+5.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (21)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 9.38%
- Price CAGR 7.92%
- ROIC 12.8%
- P/FCF 9.56
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 12.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 26.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 5.7%
- Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.2%
- PEG Ratio 1.81
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.20
- Share Dilution -3.2%
- Net Margin Trend 5.9% vs 4.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Failed (5)
- P/B Ratio 4.00
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Unavailable (2)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Timothy J. Donahue | Chairman, President & CEO | 62 |
| Mr. Kevin Charles Clothier | Senior VP & CFO | 57 |
| Mr. Djalma Novaes Jr. | Executive VP & COO | 64 |
| Mr. Adam J. Dickstein | Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | - |
| Kevin B. Garry | VP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | - |
| Mr. Thomas T. Fischer | Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs | - |
| Ms. Sidonie Lécluse | Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
| Mr. Hock Huat Goh | President of Asia Pacific Division | 70 |
| Anthony Vitello | Chief Information Security Officer | - |
| Mr. John M. Rost | Executive VP & COO of Asia Pacific and Transit Packaging | 55 |
Audit Risk
1
Board Risk
5
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
2
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-27
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-04
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CCK, sourced from Markets Gazette.