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Curtiss-Wright Corp (CW)

Fair Value
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States

Fundamental

73

Price

$543.82

Market Cap

$19.66B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Curtiss-Wright is a US industrial company that designs and manufactures highly engineered components, subsystems and services for applications where failure is not an option: naval nuclear propulsion, military aircraft and ground vehicles, commercial aerospace and commercial nuclear power plants. Its content is rarely visible to the end user — pumps and valves inside a submarine reactor, rugged embedded computers inside an aircraft or armoured vehicle, sensors and actuation inside a jet — but it is usually specified into the platform and stays there for the platform's life. The company employs roughly 9,100 people in more than 20 countries and reported net sales of $3.50 billion in fiscal 2025, with a backlog of about $4.1 billion at year end.

How it makes money

Revenue comes from selling engineered hardware and from the aftermarket and services that follow it. A large part is long-cycle contract work for the US Navy, defence primes and government agencies, often booked into backlog years ahead: 47% of 2025 net sales came from contracts with US Government agencies and prime contractors. The rest is commercial — aerospace OEM and aftermarket content, surface-treatment services, nuclear plant components and upgrades, and general industrial products. The economics rest on being qualified into a platform or a reactor: once the part is certified, it is re-ordered through production, spares and refurbishment cycles. Backlog stood at roughly $4.1 billion at the end of 2025, but the company discloses that backlog can be reduced or cancelled.

Revenue by segment

Naval & Power43%

Sells main coolant pumps, compact motors and generators, secondary propulsion, reactor protection systems and specialised marine equipment to the US Navy's submarine and aircraft-carrier programmes, and components, services and advanced-reactor technology to commercial nuclear and process plants. FY2025 sales were $1,503.0 million, up 18%.

Defense Electronics29.1%

Supplies rugged commercial-off-the-shelf embedded computing modules and integrated subsystems, data acquisition, tactical communications, weapons-handling systems and turret aiming and stabilisation, used on more than 400 defence platforms. FY2025 sales were $1,018.6 million, up 12%.

Aerospace & Industrial27.9%

Provides sensors, controls, electro-mechanical actuation and surface-technology services (shot peening, coatings) to commercial and military aircraft builders, plus industrial products such as power-management electronics and transmission shifters for off-highway vehicles. FY2025 sales were $976.8 million, up 5%.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

Curtiss-Wright's advantage is qualification, not brand or scale. Its parts are designed into naval reactors, aircraft and defence platforms and then certified by the customer or the regulator; replacing a qualified supplier means re-testing and re-certifying, which customers avoid for decades. That produces long, sticky programme content and a recurring aftermarket. It is narrow rather than wide because the company itself discloses that it operates in competitive markets and competes with companies larger than it, and because it does not control the platforms — when a programme's funding or production rate changes, the content changes with it.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Roughly two thirds of demand follows defence and nuclear programme cycles rather than the economy: naval shipbuilding and reactor work are funded years ahead and move with appropriations, not with GDP, which is why backlog reached about $4.1 billion at the end of 2025. The commercial half of Aerospace & Industrial behaves differently — commercial aerospace follows the airframe build rate and the flying-hours-driven aftermarket, and general industrial follows the off-highway vehicle and process-equipment cycle; in 2025 general industrial sales were flat while every other end market grew. So the company is neither defensive nor fully cyclical: a long, politically-funded core with a genuinely cyclical commercial edge.

Key risks

  • Dependence on continued US Government willingness to fund its programmes — The company states that a substantial portion of its revenues and earnings depends on the continued willingness of the US Government to buy its products; 47% of 2025 net sales came from US Government agencies and prime contractors. Budget priorities, appropriations timing or programme termination are outside its control.
  • Government procurement rules and regulations — As a US Government contractor the company is subject to numerous procurement rules and regulations, and more broadly to domestic and international laws, regulations and restrictions. Audits, investigations or non-compliance can bring penalties or loss of contracts.
  • Backlog can be reduced or cancelled — The company discloses that its backlog is subject to reduction and cancellation: orders already booked are not guaranteed revenue, since customers can modify or cancel contracts and backlog excludes unexercised options.
  • Downturn in the commercial aircraft market — The company identifies a downturn in the commercial aircraft market as a risk to its business, and separately notes that the airline industry is heavily regulated and that failure to comply with applicable requirements could hurt results.
  • Disruption in the commercial nuclear power industry and nuclear regulatory exposure — Any significant disruption in the commercial nuclear power industry could adversely affect results, and the nuclear business subjects the company to various regulatory and financial risks.
  • Subcontractors, raw materials and complex manufacturing — Earnings and margins depend in part on subcontractor performance and on the availability and pricing of raw materials and components; the business also involves risks associated with complex manufacturing processes, plus product liability and warranty obligations on what it sells.
  • Acquisitions and technology development — Implementing the acquisition strategy involves risks and a failure to execute it could have a material adverse effect; future success also depends in part on developing new technologies and on the ability to protect the value of its intellectual property in competitive markets.
  • Intrusion on its information systems — The company lists intrusion on its systems as a risk that could damage its business — a material exposure for a defence contractor handling classified and export-controlled programme data.

Customer concentration

The 10-K states that no customer accounted for more than 10% of total net sales during 2025, 2024 or 2023, so the filing gives no top-customer percentage. The real concentration is institutional rather than commercial: 47% of 2025 net sales came from contracts with US Government agencies and prime contractors, much of it tied to a small number of naval nuclear programmes.

The case for

Buyers argue that Curtiss-Wright sits on two long funding waves at once — submarine and aircraft-carrier construction, and a revival of nuclear power including advanced reactors — and that its content is qualified into those platforms for decades. They point to 2025 sales up 12% to $3.50 billion with all three segments growing, Naval & Power up 18%, orders of $4.1 billion for a book-to-bill of about 1.2x, and backlog up 18% to roughly $4.1 billion, as evidence that the visible work is growing faster than the revenue being recognised. They add that the defence electronics franchise spans more than 400 platforms, that no single customer is above 10% of sales, and that the acquisition programme keeps adding qualified niches.

The case against

Sellers fear that the company's fortunes are decided in Washington rather than in its factories: the filing itself says a substantial portion of revenues and earnings depends on the continued willingness of the US Government to buy, 47% of sales run through government agencies and primes, and backlog — the main reason the story looks visible — is explicitly disclosed as subject to reduction and cancellation. They also point to the commercial edge: general industrial sales were flat in 2025, and the 10-K names a downturn in the commercial aircraft market as a risk. Beyond that they worry about execution rather than demand — complex manufacturing, subcontractor performance and raw-material availability and pricing all sit between an order and a margin, an acquisition-led strategy carries integration risk, and a nuclear franchise brings regulatory and financial exposure that a single industry disruption could turn against the company.

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: —Score: 45Market cap: $4.99B

Head-to-head with the Curtiss-Wright Defense Electronics segment on rugged commercial-off-the-shelf embedded computing boards and subsystems built to open-architecture standards for US defence primes.

P/E: 30.8Score: 77Market cap: $10.03B

Competes for the same US Navy and US Army budgets, supplying naval electric power and propulsion equipment and mission computing and tactical electronics on ships and armoured vehicles.

P/E: 35.6Score: 66Market cap: $11.96B

Rival supplier of severe-service valves and flow-control equipment for naval vessels and nuclear power plants, and of aerospace sensing and power components for the same aircraft programmes.

P/E: 36.6Score: 70Market cap: $19.24B

Alternative source for aircraft actuation, fuel and motion-control hardware on commercial and military airframes and engines, the core of Curtiss-Wright's Aerospace & Industrial segment.

P/E: 35.5Score: 61Market cap: $12.31B

The other listed specialist in nuclear hardware for the US Navy and for commercial reactors, competing for nuclear component and service contracts even though it supplies the reactors themselves rather than pumps and valves.

Moog Inc.MOG.A

Both build precision motion-control and actuation systems — flight controls, valves and electro-mechanical actuators — sold to the same aircraft and missile primes, and Moog's own 10-K lists Curtiss-Wright among its competitors in Aircraft Controls and in Space and Defense Controls.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$3.65B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$541M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$554M

Total Equity

$2.53B

Total Liabilities

$2.69B

Current Ratio

1.60

Interest Coverage

16.20

Debt/EBITDA

1.52

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$671.25

Current Price

$543.82

Margin of Safety

+19.0%

Fair Value Range

$560.67 - $781.83

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$786.25
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$623.11
Earnings multiple (P/E):$482.43
Graham growth formula:$666.48
Earnings power value (EPV):$152.89
Justified P/B:$206.64
Dividend discount (Gordon):$17.46
P/FFO, funds from operations:$263.84
Mid-cycle earnings:$302.36
Revenue multiple:$279.93
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (12B / 4H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.15%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

37.43

ROE

19.1%

P/B Ratio

7.25

P/FCF

32.12

Gross Margin

37.7%

ROIC

13.4%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.4%

WACC

9.2%

ROIC − WACC

+4.2 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.36%
  • Price CAGR 18.98%
  • ROIC 13.4%
  • Gross Margin 37.7%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 18.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 20.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.67
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.33
  • Share Dilution -2.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.8% vs 13.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (6)

  • P/FCF 32.12
  • P/B Ratio 7.25
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.6%

Unavailable (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.33

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-2.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Ms. Lynn M. BamfordCEO & Chairman61
Mr. K. Christopher Farkas C.P.A.Executive VP & CFO56
Mr. Kevin M. RaymentExecutive VP & COO55
Mr. George P. McDonaldExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary60
Mr. John C. WattsExecutive VP & Chief Growth Officer55
Mr. James M. RyanVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Gary A. OgilbySenior VP & Corporate Controller43
Mr. Robert F. Freda CPASenior VP & Treasurer57

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

6

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-12

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-22

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/29/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Curtiss-Wright 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1,000 in Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) ten years ago would have yielded a substantial return, highlighting the company's consistent long-term growth and strong performance. While specific figures are not provided in the headline, such an article typically details the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) and the final valuation, indicating robust shareholder value creation. This suggests effective management, successful strategic initiatives, and resilience in its key markets, making it a noteworthy stock for investors focused on sustained capital appreciation.

  • 5/25/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Curtiss-Wright 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) a decade ago would have grown to approximately $1,170 today, representing a remarkable 1070% return. This performance significantly outpaces the broader market, underscoring the company's consistent growth and operational efficiency over the past ten years. Investors who held CW stock have benefited from its strategic market positioning and ability to generate substantial shareholder value, making it a standout performer in the aerospace and defense sector.

  • 3/25/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $1000 In Curtiss-Wright Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) ten years prior to March 25, 2026, would have yielded a substantial return, growing to $7,450. This represents an impressive 745% increase in value over the decade. The stock's performance indicates consistent growth and strong market performance, significantly outperforming broader market indices. Investors who held CW stock would have benefited from its robust operational execution and strategic market positioning, highlighting its potential as a long-term growth investment.

  • 3/18/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Curtiss-Wright 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $1000 in Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) five years ago would have grown to approximately $3,400 today, representing a substantial return of over 240%. This performance significantly outpaces the broader market, underscoring the company's robust growth and operational efficiency. Investors who held CW stock have benefited from consistent value appreciation, driven by factors such as strong defense sector demand and successful diversification into aerospace and industrial markets. The company's strategic initiatives and solid financial management have clearly translated into significant shareholder wealth creation.

via Markets Gazette