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Dave Inc. (DAVE)

Fair Value
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

79

Price

$321.51

Market Cap

$4.10B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Dave Inc. is a US neobank: a mobile app, not a bank. Its members are everyday Americans who live close to their paycheck and are poorly served by traditional overdraft pricing. The core product is ExtraCash, a short-term advance of up to $500 with no interest and no late fee, underwritten by the company's CashAI model, which reads the cash-flow history of the member's linked bank account instead of a credit score. Around it sit a fee-free Dave Checking account with a Mastercard debit card, budgeting and savings tools, a paid-survey feature and a side-job board. Dave holds no banking licence of its own: deposits and the overdraft itself are originated by partner banks — Evolve Bank & Trust historically, and Coastal Community Bank, which as of the fourth quarter of 2025 takes all new members, with the existing book due to move across by the end of 2026. The 10-K reports the company as a single operating and reportable segment.

How it makes money

Dave earns almost everything from its own members, not from merchants. The larger stream, service based revenue, is the monthly subscription plus the fee charged on each ExtraCash advance; in February 2025 the company replaced the old optional-tip model with a flat 5% fee, subject to a $5 minimum and a $15 cap, and instant transfer to Dave Checking became free. In mid-2025 the monthly membership fee for new members went from $1 to $3. The smaller stream, transaction based revenue, is what the Dave Checking account throws off: interchange and ATM revenue net of related costs, incentives under a co-branded card arrangement, dormant-account fees and rewards-related fees. In fiscal 2025 total revenue was $554.2 million, up 60% year on year, of which $511.9 million service based and $42.3 million transaction based.

Revenue by segment

Service based revenue, net92.4%

Monthly membership subscriptions and the fee charged to members on each ExtraCash advance, plus other subscription-based services sold inside the app. Sold directly to consumer members.

Transaction based revenue, net7.6%

Interchange and ATM revenue generated when members spend with the Dave debit card or withdraw cash, net of related fees, together with co-branded card incentives, dormant account fees and rewards-related fees. Paid by card networks and merchants' acquirers rather than by members.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

Dave has real assets — years of cash-flow data feeding the CashAI underwriting model, and an app relationship with members who receive their pay into a Dave Checking account — but nothing in the filing points to a durable barrier. The company itself lists competition as a leading risk, in an industry where rivals offer near-identical small advances, switching apps costs a member almost nothing, and the bank licence, card processing and deposit rails are all rented from third parties such as the partner banks and Galileo. Better underwriting can be a genuine edge, but it is an execution advantage rather than a structural one.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

The filing describes moderate seasonal trends, with ExtraCash demand and Dave Checking transaction volumes generally tracking consumer spending and cash-flow cycles, and results affected by the number of business days in a period and by macroeconomic conditions. The cycle cuts both ways: when household budgets tighten, demand for a small advance tends to rise, but so does the risk that members fail to repay, which lands in credit losses rather than in revenue. Card interchange, the smaller stream, follows member spending and behaves more like a consumer-discretionary business.

Key risks

  • Credit risk on ExtraCash — The company states that ExtraCash exposes it to the credit risk of its members, and that if the underwriting criteria are not sufficient to mitigate that risk, or if the data used to underwrite is inaccurate or incomplete, results could be adversely affected should a substantial number of members fail to repay the advance they received.
  • Dependence on two bank partners, then one — Dave relies on two bank partners and intends eventually to rely on one. The filing warns that if a key banking relationship is terminated and the company cannot secure or successfully migrate member portfolios to a new partner, or if a partner becomes subject to regulatory restrictions or operational disruption, the business would be adversely affected. The migration of existing members to Coastal is only expected to be substantially complete by the end of 2026.
  • Regulatory scrutiny of overdraft and paycheck-advance products — The company operates under extensive federal, state and local oversight. It points to the CFPB's proposed interpretive rule on paycheck advance and earned wage access, and to the December 2024 revisions eliminating the exemption from the Truth in Lending Act and Regulation Z previously available for bank overdrafts, which may affect its partner banks as originators of ExtraCash and may bring operational and compliance challenges, new litigation risk and scrutiny by federal and state regulators.
  • Litigation and enforcement, including the DOJ lawsuit — Among its summary risk factors the company lists investigations, claims, disputes, enforcement actions, arbitration, litigation and other regulatory or legal proceedings, naming specifically the Department of Justice's lawsuit against Dave.
  • Acquiring and retaining members — The filing states that if the company is unable to acquire new members and retain current ones, or to sell them additional functionality and services, revenue growth will be adversely affected. Managing rapid growth and scaling the business are listed as risks in their own right.
  • Reliance on third-party service providers — Dave depends on several third-party providers to process transactions and deliver other important services, including a multi-year agreement with the Galileo payment processing platform. Termination of such agreements, or interruption or delay in those services, could impair or suspend delivery of its products.
  • Fraud and cybersecurity — The company cites exposure to fraud and illegal activity, operational risks in transferring member funds, and the consequences of cybersecurity breaches, alongside privacy and data protection compliance obligations.
  • AI in underwriting and competition — Competition in consumer financial services, the pace of technological innovation, and reputational, legal and regulatory risks specifically tied to the use of artificial intelligence all appear among the company's own summary risk factors — relevant because the credit decision itself rests on an AI model.

Customer concentration

The filing discloses no customer concentration, and the business does not have one in the usual sense: revenue comes from millions of individual consumer members, with about 2.93 million monthly transacting members at the end of 2025. The concentration that matters here sits on the supply side instead — two bank partners (Evolve and Coastal), the Mastercard network and the Galileo processing platform — and the company discloses each of these as a dependency.

The case for

Buyers argue that Dave has found a model that works where earlier fintech lenders burned cash: fiscal 2025 revenue grew 60% to $554.2 million and net income reached $195.9 million, so growth is now funded from profits rather than from capital markets. They point to the February 2025 switch from optional tips to a flat 5% fee, and to the membership fee rising from $1 to $3 for new members, as pricing power the company took without wrecking conversion or retention. They see the CashAI underwriting data as improving with every repayment cycle, a fee-free product that is genuinely cheaper for the member than a bank overdraft, and a large addressable population of Americans that traditional banks price badly.

The case against

Sellers fear that the model rests on things Dave does not control. The credit decision is its own, but the licence, the deposits and the overdraft origination are rented from partner banks, and the company is in the middle of migrating its entire member base to Coastal, a transition it expects to finish only at the end of 2026. Pricing sits directly in the path of regulators: the CFPB has proposed an interpretive rule on paycheck advance products and has removed the overdraft exemption from Truth in Lending, and the Department of Justice has sued the company. They also note that the customer base is, by construction, people short of cash, so a weaker consumer raises demand and defaults at the same time, and that nothing stops a rival app from offering the same $500 advance to the same member tomorrow.

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Activehours, Inc. (EarnIn)Not tracked

Named by Dave in its own 10-K, EarnIn offers the same paycheck-advance product to the same paycheck-to-paycheck US consumers who would otherwise use Dave's ExtraCash.

MoneyLion Inc.Not tracked

Also named in Dave's 10-K, MoneyLion's Instacash advances and RoarMoney account target the same underbanked US customer, though the company is no longer separately listed after Gen Digital acquired it in April 2025.

Chime Financial, Inc.CHYM

Chime sells the same package as Dave — a fee-light mobile checking account with early direct deposit plus MyPay advances — to the same mass-market US consumer, and both earn mainly on debit card interchange.

Brigit, Inc.Not tracked

Brigit's Instant Cash advance runs on the same paid-subscription model as Dave's membership and competes for the same roughly two million subscribers seeking to avoid overdraft fees; it is now a unit of Upbound Group.

Tilt (formerly Empower Finance, Inc.)Not tracked

Tilt underwrites cash advances from bank-account cash flow rather than FICO scores, exactly as Dave's CashAI does, and courts the same non-prime US borrowers.

Varo Bank, N.A.Not tracked

Cited by Dave among the new entrants with banking licences, Varo offers a mobile checking account plus its Varo Advance product to the same low-balance US consumer.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$644M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$223M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$290M

Total Equity

$353M

Total Liabilities

$135M

Current Ratio

4.22

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.32

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$383.21

Current Price

$321.51

Margin of Safety

+16.1%

Fair Value Range

$303.76 - $462.67

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$444.21
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not enough data to compute it
Earnings multiple (P/E):$293.70
Graham growth formula:$257.22
Earnings power value (EPV):$71.28
Justified P/B:$137.46
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:-
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$240.16
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (16B / 3H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-86.90%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

20.81

ROE

55.5%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

17.8%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 84.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 35.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 84% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 32.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.47
  • Net Margin Trend 34.6% vs 12.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (3)

  • Price CAGR -0.11%
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Share Dilution 4.8%

Unavailable (9)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.47

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

4.8%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Kyle BeilmanCOO, CFO & Secretary36
Mr. Gopi KuchimanchiChief Technology Officer-
Ms. Joan Aristei J.D.Chief Legal Officer65
Mr. Kevin FrischChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Amanda WilsonVP of People-
Mr. Grahame FraserHead of Product Management-
Mr. Parker BarrileChief Product Officer42
Mr. Ryan ImaiDirector & Corporate Controller-

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-03-02

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-05

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-14

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DAVE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/14/2026NEGATIVE
    Is Dave Stock a Buy or Sell After a Director Dumped 30,000 Shares Worth $6.4 Million?

    A director at Dave Inc., a fintech firm specializing in digital banking and cash advances, offloaded 30,000 shares valued at approximately $6.4 million. This substantial insider selling comes after a period of strong stock performance for the company. For investors, such a significant sale by an insider can signal a lack of confidence in future price appreciation or a desire to realize profits, potentially creating downward pressure on the stock.

  • 3/12/2026POSITIVE
    Dave Stock Soars 150% in a Year as Newly Disclosed $7 Million Buy Signals Confidence in Fintech Upstart

    Dave Inc. shares have surged an impressive 150% over the past year, a remarkable performance for the fintech company specializing in digital banking and personal finance tools. The recent disclosure of a $7 million buyback program signals strong internal confidence in the company's future prospects and valuation. This move suggests that management believes the stock is undervalued, potentially attracting further investor interest and reinforcing the positive momentum. The buyback could also reduce the number of outstanding shares, potentially boosting earnings per share.

  • 3/6/2026POSITIVE
    Why Shares of Dave Are Surging This Week

    Dave Inc. shares experienced a significant surge this week following the release of its 2025 fourth-quarter earnings report and the issuance of its 2026 financial guidance. While specific figures were not detailed in the provided summary, the market's positive reaction suggests that the company's performance exceeded expectations and its future outlook is robust. Investors are likely encouraged by the company's strategic direction and its ability to generate value, potentially indicating strong revenue growth or improved profitability in the upcoming fiscal year. This positive sentiment could lead to further upward price momentum for DAVE stock.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    EXCLUSIVE: Neobank Dave Taps AI Across the Stack To Smash Q4 Estimates

    Dave Inc. surpassed its Q4 estimates by strategically implementing Artificial Intelligence (AI) across its technology stack. This AI integration has optimized operations, enhanced user experience, and ultimately boosted operational efficiency, leading to financial results exceeding expectations. CEO Jason Wilk and CFO Kyle Beilman shared exclusive insights into the impact of this innovation. For investors, this success highlights the company's ability to leverage cutting-edge technology for a competitive edge and drive growth.

  • 3/2/2026POSITIVE
    Neobank Dave Shares Rally After Q4 Earnings: Details

    Shares of neobank Dave experienced a significant rally following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report. Investor enthusiasm suggests a positive reaction to the financial data presented, which evidently either surpassed market expectations or provided an optimistic outlook for the future. This surge is a key signal for those monitoring the fintech sector and the performance of challenger banks. A detailed analysis of the quarterly report will reveal the specific factors, such as user growth, service expansion, or efficient cost management, that contributed to this performance. For investors, the rally indicates a potential opportunity, but it is crucial to delve deeper into the details to assess the sustainability of growth and associated risks.

via Markets Gazette