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Duke Energy Corp (DUK)

Fair Value
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

66

Price

$114.01

Market Cap

$88.43B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers in the Southeast and Midwest regions. It generates electricity through coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel. This segment also engages in the wholesale of electricity to municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation natural gas sectors; and invests in pipeline transmission projects, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Duke Energy Holding Corp. and changed its name to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006. Duke Energy Corporation was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 21.2Score: 57Market cap: $92.83B

Southern is the closest structural twin to Duke: a vertically integrated regulated electric and gas utility holding company across the US Southeast, competing for the same industrial and data-center load growth and the same state rate-case outcomes.

P/E: 19.2Score: 67Market cap: $157.42B

Through Florida Power & Light, NextEra serves roughly 12 million people in Florida, the same state where Duke Energy Florida operates, and both also sell wholesale power and compete to build large-scale generation.

P/E: 17.9Score: 59Market cap: $53.12B

Dominion serves 3.6 million electric customers in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina, overlapping Duke's Carolinas heartland in the same regulatory arenas and the same wholesale power market.

P/E: 17.6Score: 56Market cap: $63.97B

AEP is a comparably sized regulated utility with 5.6 million customers in 11 states, including the Ohio, Indiana and Kentucky markets where Duke's Midwest utilities operate and where both bid for the same wholesale and large-customer supply.

P/E: 14.8Score: 49Market cap: $41.13B

Exelon is the other large multi-state regulated electric and gas utility group in the US, competing with Duke for the same regulated rate-base growth, the same transmission investment and the same income-oriented utility investors.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$32.52B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$5.14B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-1.69B

Total Equity

$51.84B

Total Liabilities

$142.72B

Current Ratio

0.66

Interest Coverage

2.43

Debt/EBITDA

5.53

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Regulated utilityFairly Valued

Fair Value

$99.71

Current Price

$114.01

Margin of Safety

-14.3%

Fair Value Range

$66.89 - $132.54

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$136.94
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$35.20
Earnings multiple (P/E):$109.64
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$116.96
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):$93.69
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (15B / 11H / 1S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+8.50%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

17.49

ROE

9.6%

P/B Ratio

1.63

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

4.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.0%

WACC

5.6%

ROIC − WACC

-1.6 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.76%
  • P/B Ratio 1.63
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 27.7%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.3%
  • PEG Ratio 0.60
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.27
  • Share Dilution -0.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.8% vs 15.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (6)

  • Price CAGR 4.40%
  • ROIC 4.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Unavailable (4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.27

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-0.6%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Harry K. SiderisPresident, CEO & Director55
Mr. Brian D. SavoyExecutive VP & CFO50
Mr. T. Preston Gillespie Jr.Executive Vice President of Nuclear Program Strategy62
Mr. Kodwo Ghartey-Tagoe J.D.Executive VP & CEO of Duke Energy Carolinas & Natural Gas Business62
Mr. Louis E. RenjelExecutive VP, CEO of Duke Energy Florida & Midwest and Chief Corporate Affairs Officer51
Ms. Abigail L. MotsingerSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller41
Mr. Richard DonaldsonSenior VP & Chief Information Officer-
Ms. Bonnie B. TitoneExecutive VP & Chief Administrative Officer51
Mr. Mike SwitzerVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Alexander Robert GlennExecutive VP & Chief Legal Officer60

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-26

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-04

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-25

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DUK, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/10/2026NEGATIVE
    Duke Energy Seeks $1.75 Billion From Equity Units Sale

    Duke Energy Corp. announced plans to raise approximately $1.75 billion through the sale of equity units. The primary objective of this capital raise is to facilitate debt reduction. While raising capital can strengthen a company's balance sheet, issuing new equity can dilute existing shareholders' ownership stake and potentially pressure the stock price in the short term. Investors will monitor how effectively the company utilizes these funds to improve its financial leverage.

  • 6/3/2026POSITIVE
    Duke CEO Sees AI Fueling Power Growth at 10 Times Historic Pace

    Duke Energy's CEO anticipates a tenfold increase in power demand growth over the coming decades, primarily driven by the burgeoning AI data center sector and the ongoing electrification of the economy. This forecast suggests a significant expansion opportunity for the utility company, potentially leading to increased infrastructure investment and revenue streams. Investors may view this as a strong positive signal for Duke Energy's future growth prospects, as it positions the company to capitalize on major secular trends.

  • 4/25/2026POSITIVE
    Utility giant Duke Energy plans to spend industry record $103 billion on growth as data centers and affordability take center stage

    Duke Energy has announced an ambitious capital investment plan of $103 billion, a record for the utility industry, to fuel future growth. This significant expenditure is primarily driven by the burgeoning demand from major technology companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta, which are expanding their data center operations within Duke's service territories. The company's strategy aims to meet this escalating energy need while also focusing on affordability for consumers. For investors, this signals a strong commitment to long-term expansion and a strategic positioning to capitalize on the digital infrastructure boom, potentially leading to sustained revenue growth and enhanced shareholder value.

  • 4/20/2026NEUTRAL
    Duke Energy: 100-Year Dividend Track Record — But $103B Capex Is Compressing The Credit Cushion

    Duke Energy, a prominent utility provider, boasts an impressive 100-year history of consistent dividend payments. However, the company's ambitious $103 billion capital expenditure plan over the next decade is raising concerns about its creditworthiness. This significant investment is aimed at modernizing infrastructure and expanding renewable energy capacity. While the capex is crucial for future growth and regulatory compliance, it is currently compressing the company's credit cushion, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and debt ratings. Investors are weighing the long-term growth prospects against the short-to-medium term financial strain.

via Markets Gazette