eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)
UndervaluedFundamental
88
Price
$25.70
Market Cap
$2.04B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
eToro Group Ltd. runs a retail, multi-asset investment platform used by individual investors in dozens of countries. Through one app a user can buy stocks and ETFs, trade currencies, commodities and cryptoassets, and use leveraged contracts-for-difference where local rules allow them. Its distinguishing feature is social: users publish their portfolios, follow each other, and through CopyTrader can mirror another user's trades automatically. eToro also offers a money/payments product and paid membership tiers. The group is headquartered in Israel, is regulated through separate licensed entities in the UK, Cyprus, Australia, the US and elsewhere, and reports under IFRS as a foreign private issuer; it listed on Nasdaq and filed its first Form 20-F for the 2025 fiscal year. For 2025 it reported total revenue and income of $13.84bn, net contribution of $868m and net income of about $216m, with roughly 3.85m funded accounts.
How it makes money
eToro earns money in four ways: the spread and fees it takes when users trade, the interest it earns on user cash and on margin lending, currency-conversion and account fees, and subscriptions. One accounting detail matters more than anything else here. Crypto trades are executed as principal, so the filing books the entire sale proceeds as 'Revenue from cryptoassets' — $12.98bn in 2025 — and the purchase cost separately as 'Cost of revenue from cryptoassets' — $12.93bn. The difference, about $43m, is what the crypto spot business actually contributed. That is why the headline revenue line is enormous and almost meaningless as a measure of size. Management steers by 'net contribution', revenue net of the variable costs of producing it, which was $868m in 2025 against $788m in 2024. Underneath that, the economics are: trading spreads on equities, commodities and currencies ($399m of net trading income), net interest from users ($213m), crypto (spot plus derivatives), and currency conversion and other income ($96m).
Revenue by segment
Gross proceeds from selling cryptoassets to retail users, booked as principal. The matching purchase cost of $12.93bn is reported separately, so the line is close to a pass-through: the crypto spot business netted roughly $43m in 2025.
Spreads, fees and market-making results on shares, ETFs, commodities and currency positions, including leveraged CFDs where permitted. This is the largest genuinely net revenue line, $399m in 2025.
Interest earned on client cash balances and on financing extended to users who trade on margin, net of what is paid out. Worth $213m in 2025 and directly tied to central-bank policy rates.
Result on leveraged crypto positions offered as derivatives rather than as spot holdings, reported net. $124m in 2025.
Fees charged when a user funds or withdraws in a currency other than the account currency, plus the eToro Money payments product and subscription revenue. $96m in 2025.
Interest earned on the company's own corporate cash and investments, not on client balances. $30m in 2025.
Competitive moat
Network effects · NarroweToro's one hard-to-copy asset is its social layer: a public feed of real portfolios and the CopyTrader mechanism, where popular investors are paid to be copied. The more investors publish track records, the more useful the platform is to beginners who do not want to pick stocks themselves — a genuine network effect, and the reason eToro is recognised as a brand among first-time investors in Europe. It is narrow, not wide. Nothing stops a user from opening an account at a competing broker: eToro spent $209m on selling and marketing in 2025 against $868m of net contribution, which is what a business still buying its users looks like. Its own filing lists competition from fintechs, incumbent banks and less-regulated venues as a principal risk, and several rivals now run copy-trading features of their own.
What drives demand
CyclicalDemand is the appetite of retail investors to trade, and that appetite is procyclical in the extreme. Activity peaks when markets are rising and crypto is in the news — new accounts open, existing users trade more, spreads earn more — and drains away in flat or falling markets, exactly when marketing costs the most per new customer. The interest line adds a second, different cycle: it grew with the rate-rise years and shrinks as policy rates fall, independently of trading volumes. The one partly stabilising element is the stock of client balances, which earns interest whether or not anyone trades.
Key risks
- Results swing hard with market volatility — The company discloses that its operating results have fluctuated and will continue to fluctuate significantly from period to period, because the business depends on conditions in securities, cryptoasset, currency and commodity markets. A quiet quarter means fewer trades and less revenue, and abrupt or erratic market movements may leave it unable to execute or adjust its risk management in time — a risk it flags specifically for extended-hours trading, where liquidity can vanish.
- Keeping and adding users — eToro states that its success requires retaining existing users, adding new ones and keeping them engaged, and that many factors could reduce engagement. It separately warns that its historical growth rates may not indicate future growth, noting that growth in funded accounts has slowed and that growth pursued through acquisitions is unpredictable.
- A regulatory landscape that keeps changing — The filing describes an extensive, complex, overlapping and constantly changing regulatory environment, with heterogeneous requirements across the many jurisdictions eToro serves and evolving cryptoasset rules such as MiCA and the Travel Rule. It separately flags obligations on sanctions, fraud, anti-money-laundering, counter-terrorist-financing and anti-bribery, where its geographic spread raises the chance of a violation and sanctions enforcement is strict liability.
- Interest rates cut both ways — The company says it is directly and indirectly exposed to interest rate fluctuations: net interest income moves with central-bank policy rates, and it notes the possibility of regulatory restrictions on earning interest on client balances at all.
- Dependence on third parties, and counterparty default — Executing user trades, placing hedges and providing payment services depends on third-party liquidity providers and banking relationships, whose termination could disrupt operations. The company also discloses counterparty risk: leveraged users can leave it with credit losses, and the insolvency of a bank holding its assets would affect recovery. It adds that adequate insurance is not always available, particularly for cryptoasset crime and certain cyber incidents.
- Users lose money, and that is a business risk — Because eToro provides real-time services in volatile markets, its users are exposed to loss, and the company discloses that user dissatisfaction from those losses can turn into complaints, litigation and reputational harm. It lists brand and reputation as a risk in its own right, damaged by litigation, cybersecurity breaches or regulatory action.
Customer concentration
There is effectively none, and the filing discloses no customer accounting for a material share of revenue. eToro's revenue comes from roughly 3.85 million funded retail accounts spread across many countries, so no single client matters. The concentration that does exist is of a different kind: a large majority of gross revenue passes through one asset class, cryptoassets, and the company depends on a limited set of third-party liquidity providers and banks to execute and settle — a dependency it lists among its risk factors.
The case for
Buyers argue that eToro has already done the hard part: it has built a recognised consumer brand and a regulated licence stack across Europe, the UK, Australia and the US, assets that take years and a lot of money to assemble. They point to net contribution growing from $788m to $868m and net income from $192m to $216m, so the platform makes money rather than burning it, and to a diversified mix in which equities trading, interest and currency conversion together cover the running costs even when crypto goes quiet. They see the social layer as the part competitors cannot simply clone, since it depends on the community already being there, and they argue that a young, first-time-investor base still early in its wealth-accumulation years should deposit more over time, lifting both trading revenue and the interest-earning balance.
The case against
Sellers fear that this is a cyclical brokerage wearing the clothes of a technology platform. The revenue line of $13.8bn is almost entirely crypto sale proceeds booked gross against $12.9bn of matching cost, so the real business is the $868m of net contribution — and a buyer who anchors on the headline number is anchoring on nothing. They note that crypto spot contributed only about $43m net in 2025 while carrying all the regulatory and reputational weight, that the company itself says growth in funded accounts has slowed, and that $209m of selling and marketing against $868m of net contribution suggests users are rented rather than owned. They worry about the interest line, which grew in a high-rate world and shrinks as rates fall, and about regulation: the filing's own risk factors describe an environment where crypto rules, CFD leverage limits, and even the right to keep interest on client cash can change in a single jurisdiction and take a slice of revenue with them.
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Mobile-first, commission-free app competing for the same young self-directed investor trading stocks, options and crypto, and now expanding into eToro's European markets.
Competes for the crypto trading that supplies a large share of eToro's commissions, offering retail investors the same buy-and-hold access to digital assets.
Another Israeli-founded retail trading platform selling CFDs and, increasingly, share dealing to the same self-directed customers across Europe, the UK and Australia.
Privately held UK-based platform offering zero-commission stock, ETF and CFD trading to the same European retail audience eToro draws most of its funded accounts from.
Polish-listed broker pushing heavily advertised multi-asset and CFD accounts across continental Europe, the same customers and the same spread-based revenue.
Established UK retail broker offering CFDs, spread betting and share dealing in the UK, Europe and Australia, the markets where eToro earns most of its trading revenue.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$11.98B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$261M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$313M
Total Equity
$1.39B
Total Liabilities
$397M
Current Ratio
4.89
Interest Coverage
6.60
Debt/EBITDA
0.11
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$37.40
Current Price
$25.70
Margin of Safety
+31.3%
Fair Value Range
$25.09 - $49.72
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
9.96
ROE
15.5%
P/B Ratio
1.53
P/FCF
6.81
Gross Margin
5.5%
ROIC
14.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
14.8%
WACC
13.5%
ROIC − WACC
+1.4 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (19)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC 14.8%
- P/FCF 6.81
- P/B Ratio 1.53
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 19.0%
- Analyst Consensus 71% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 12.3%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.48
- Share Dilution 2.1%
- Net Margin Trend 1.6% vs 1.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (3)
- Price CAGR -22.64%
- Gross Margin 5.5%
- Operating Margin 2.0%
Unavailable (5)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Issuing new shares, diluting ownership
Institutional Holdings
No institutional filings reported for this company.
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Jonathan Alexander Assia | Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO | 44 |
| Mr. Ronen Assia | Co-Founder & Executive Director | 48 |
| Mr. Meron Shani | Chief Financial Officer | 49 |
| Dr. Hedva Ber | Global COO & Deputy CEO | 56 |
| Mr. Daniel Amir | Head of Global Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Lina Reshef | General Counsel & VP of Legal | - |
| Mr. Nir Szmulewicz | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Ms. Miri Kedem | Chief People Officer | - |
| Mr. Tuval Chomut | Chief Solutions Officer | 69 |
| Mr. Yaki Razmovich | Managing Director of eToro Singapore & Asia | - |
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ETOR, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/12/2026POSITIVEGold, Oil Saved eToro's Quarter, But CEO Yoni Assia Says Crypto All-Time Highs Are Still To Come In 2026
eToro Group surpassed Q1 earnings expectations, largely propelled by a nearly fourfold increase in commodities trading volumes. This surge in gold and oil trading significantly offset a concurrent decline in cryptocurrency volumes on the platform. Despite the crypto downturn, CEO Yoni Assia expressed optimism, forecasting new all-time highs for cryptocurrencies in 2026. The company's ability to leverage strength in traditional commodities trading while maintaining a positive long-term outlook on digital assets suggests resilience and strategic diversification for investors.
via Markets Gazette