Back to rankings

nCino, Inc. (NCNO)

Fair Value
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

68

Price

$19.13

Market Cap

$1.92B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

nCino, Inc., a software-as-a-service company, provides software solutions to financial institutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers solutions on the nCino Platform, including an Onboarding solution that streamlines and enhances the customer onboarding process through a digital platform for credit and non-credit onboarding, commercial account opening, and enterprise-level onboarding; and an Account Opening solution, which includes a Deposit Account Opening solution for consumers and small businesses. The company also provides Lending, which provides a loan origination platform for commercial, consumer, small business, and mortgage lending, such as the Commercial Loan Origination System that automates the loan lifecycle; Consumer Lending solution, which offers an omnichannel solution with automated credit decisioning and integrations; and Small Business Loan Origination solution for automation and machine learning. In addition, it offers Credit Monitoring, manages credit risks, monitors performance, and uncovers growth opportunities through a data-driven platform; Portfolio Analytics solution, which offers customizable dashboards to track loan, deposit, and application data; and Integration & Intelligence, provides integration capabilities to connect core banking systems, fintech applications, and third-party services via open APIs and a partner marketplace. The company serves global, enterprise, regional, and community banks, credit unions, challenger banks, and independent mortgage banks, business development managers, account executives, field sales engineers, and customer success managers. nCino, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on September 19, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

MeridianLink, Inc.MLNK

Sells cloud loan origination and deposit account opening software to the same US community banks and credit unions nCino targets, across consumer, mortgage and small-business lending.

Q2 Holdings, Inc.QTWO

Competes for the same digital banking budget at banks and credit unions, with account opening and its Cloud Lending origination suite overlapping nCino's onboarding and lending modules.

Finastra (Finastra Group Holdings Limited)Not tracked

Its Loan IQ and commercial origination products go head to head with nCino for the corporate and syndicated lending systems of mid-size and large banks worldwide.

Temenos AGTEMN

Offers banks in Europe, Asia-Pacific and the Americas an end-to-end banking platform whose origination and onboarding modules replace the need for nCino's.

Abrigo (Abrigo Holdings, formerly Sageworks)Not tracked

A long-standing commercial lending and credit-analysis platform for US community banks, chasing exactly the loan origination deals nCino bids for in that segment.

Blend Labs, Inc.BLND

Its borrower-facing mortgage and consumer banking origination software competes directly with the nCino Mortgage Suite and nCino's consumer account opening.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$622M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Net Income

$34M

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$83M

Total Equity

$1.06B

Total Liabilities

$579M

Current Ratio

0.85

Interest Coverage

2.70

Debt/EBITDA

7.36

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$16.83

Current Price

$19.13

Margin of Safety

-13.7%

Fair Value Range

$10.94 - $22.72

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$24.27
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$16.84
Earnings multiple (P/E):$4.10
Graham growth formula:$5.05
Earnings power value (EPV):$4.11
Justified P/B:$1.23
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$7.18
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$30.14
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (15B / 5H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+18.10%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

60.43

ROE

0.5%

P/B Ratio

2.06

P/FCF

14.50

Gross Margin

62.2%

ROIC

3.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.0%

WACC

8.2%

ROIC − WACC

-5.2 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 62.2%
  • P/FCF 14.50
  • P/B Ratio 2.06
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 23.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 43.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.98
  • Share Dilution -9.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.4% vs -5.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (7)

  • Price CAGR -19.83%
  • ROIC 3.0%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 3.4%

Unavailable (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

3.98

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-9.7%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Pierre NaudeCo-Founder & Chairman of the Board66
Mr. Sean DesmondCEO, President & Director51
Mr. Gregory D. OrensteinCFO & Treasurer56
Ms. April RiegerChief Legal & Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary45
Ms. Katie SmithDirector of Operations-
Jeanette SellersVice President of Accounting-
Mr. Izak CronierHead of Information Technology-
Mr. Davis BrannanExecutive Vice President of Strategic Operations-
Mr. Anthony MorrisSenior VP of Global Banking Strategy & Customer Advisory-
Mr. Mark BernhardiManaging Director of Australia & New Zealand-

Audit Risk

2

Board Risk

8

Compensation Risk

6

Shareholder Rights Risk

5

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-03-31

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-25

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-25

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for NCNO, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/1/2026NEGATIVE
    These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On nCino Following Q4 Results

    Despite nCino Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) reporting strong Q4 results and issuing upbeat guidance, alongside a new Chief Revenue Officer appointment, analysts have revised their price targets downwards. This divergence suggests that while the company's operational performance met or exceeded expectations, the forward-looking analyst sentiment is cautious. Investors should monitor the specific reasons cited by analysts for the target reductions, as they may indicate underlying concerns about future growth, competitive pressures, or market conditions that could impact the stock's trajectory.

  • 3/5/2026NEUTRAL
    This Investor Built a $34 Million Stake in nCino Despite Shares Sinking 50% in One Year

    An investor has built a $34 million stake in nCino (NCNO), even as the stock has fallen 50% over the past year. nCino, a cloud banking software provider serving financial institutions with SaaS solutions focused on automation, analytics, and compliance, is experiencing a significant market correction. This substantial investment, going against the prevailing negative trend, may signal long-term conviction in the stock's recovery potential or undervaluation. However, the stock's prior poor performance and the speculative nature of this move render the signal neutral for the broader market, pending operational confirmations or a sentiment shift.

via Markets Gazette