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Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW)

Fair Value
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

51

Price

$92.44

Market Cap

$11.07B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, through its subsidiary, provides retail and wholesale electric services in the state of Arizona. The company engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity using nuclear, gas, oil, coal, and solar generating facilities. Its transmission facilities include overhead lines and underground lines; and distribution facilities consist of overhead lines and underground primary cables. The company also owns and maintains substations, including transmission and distribution yards; and owns energy storage facilities. Pinnacle West Capital Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on September 19, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Salt River Project Agricultural Improvement and Power District (SRP)Not tracked

SRP is the not-for-profit public power utility that serves roughly half of the Phoenix metropolitan area — the same fast-growing homes, businesses and data-center loads that Pinnacle West's Arizona Public Service serves in the other half.

Tucson Electric Power Company (UNS Energy Corporation, subsidiary of Fortis Inc.)Not tracked

TEP is the other large investor-owned electric utility in Arizona, serving more than 450,000 customers in the Tucson area and competing with APS for the same state regulatory approvals, generation projects and Arizona load growth.

TXNM Energy, Inc. (formerly PNM Resources)TXNM

TXNM Energy is the neighbouring regulated electric holding company, delivering power to more than 800,000 customers in New Mexico and Texas and competing with Pinnacle West in the same Southwestern wholesale power and transmission markets.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$5.55B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$651M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-820M

Total Equity

$7.05B

Total Liabilities

$22.94B

Current Ratio

0.59

Interest Coverage

2.46

Debt/EBITDA

8.10

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Regulated utilityFairly Valued

Fair Value

$80.22

Current Price

$92.44

Margin of Safety

-15.2%

Fair Value Range

$59.77 - $100.67

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$105.46
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$45.21
Earnings multiple (P/E):$91.00
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$90.40
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):$70.23
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (7B / 14H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-3.38%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

17.86

ROE

9.0%

P/B Ratio

1.60

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

3.1%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.1%

WACC

4.4%

ROIC − WACC

-1.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/B Ratio 1.60
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 20.5%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 638.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.72
  • Net Margin Trend 11.7% vs 11.3%

Failed (13)

  • EPS CAGR 4.47%
  • Price CAGR 2.11%
  • ROIC 3.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 33% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 24.07
  • Share Dilution 4.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

Unavailable (4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.72

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

4.7%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Theodore N. GeislerChairman of the Board, President & CEO46
Mr. Andrew D. CooperSenior VP & CFO46
Ms. Shirley A. BaumSenior VP, Corporate Secretary & General Counsel51
Mr. Adam C. HeflinExecutive VP & Chief Nuclear Officer of APS60
Mr. Jacob TetlowExecutive VP & COO of APS52
Ms. Elizabeth A. BlankenshipVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer53
Ms. Amanda HoDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Todd HortonSVP of Nuclear Regulatory & Oversight of Palo Verde Generating Station for APS-
Ms. Diane WoodAssistant VP & Corporate Secretary-
Mr. Christopher R. BauerVP & Treasurer49

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

8

Compensation Risk

3

Shareholder Rights Risk

6

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-25

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-04

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-30

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PNW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/4/2026POSITIVE
    Pinnacle West CEO Says Arizona Grid Is Ready to Support AI Growth

    Pinnacle West CEO Ted Geisler stated that the company's grid infrastructure is prepared to accommodate the burgeoning demand from AI-driven data centers. Geisler indicated that these data centers are expected to fund the necessary upgrades to the energy provider's grid. This development suggests a significant new revenue stream for Pinnacle West, driven by the substantial energy requirements of artificial intelligence technologies. Investors may view this as a positive catalyst for future growth and profitability, as the company positions itself to capitalize on the AI boom.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Pinnacle West (PNW) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) has announced the availability of its Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. However, the detailed content of this transcript has not yet been made public. Investors and analysts are keenly awaiting the company's financial data and future outlook, particularly regarding operational performance and growth strategies within the utility sector. The absence of concrete information prevents the market from forming immediate judgments, maintaining a cautious stance until official data is released, which could influence the stock's valuation.

via Markets Gazette