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Target Corp (TGT)

Fair Value
Consumer DefensiveDiscount StoresUnited States

Fundamental

68

Price

$156.69

Market Cap

$71.97B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers apparel for women, men, young adults, kids, toddlers, and babies, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty products, such as skin and bath care, cosmetics, hair care, oral care, deodorant, and shaving products. The company also provides food and beverage products comprising dry and perishable grocery, including snacks, candy, beverages, deli, bakery, meat, produce, and food service; electronics which includes video games and consoles, toys, sporting goods, entertainment, and luggage; bed and bath, home décor, school/office supplies, storage, small appliances, kitchenware, greeting cards, party supplies, furniture, lighting, home improvement, and seasonal merchandise; and household essentials, such as household cleaning, paper products, over-the-counter healthcare, vitamins and supplements, baby gear, and pet supplies. In addition, it sells merchandise through periodic design and creative partnerships, and shop-in-shop experience; and in-store amenities. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$104.78B

Fiscal year ended 1/31/2026

Net Income

$3.71B

Fiscal year ended 1/31/2026

Free Cash Flow

$2.83B

Total Equity

$16.16B

Total Liabilities

$43.33B

Current Ratio

0.99

Interest Coverage

11.50

Debt/EBITDA

2.27

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$168.30

Current Price

$156.69

Margin of Safety

+6.9%

Fair Value Range

$118.71 - $217.90

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$162.76
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$241.22
Earnings multiple (P/E):$155.00
Graham growth formula:$72.11
Earnings power value (EPV):$107.79
Justified P/B:$142.82
Dividend discount (Gordon):$83.00
P/FFO, funds from operations:$240.86
Mid-cycle earnings:$248.51
Revenue multiple:$279.44
Analyst Consensus:Hold (15B / 25H / 3S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+4.53%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

19.49

ROE

22.9%

P/B Ratio

3.99

P/FCF

15.97

Gross Margin

27.9%

ROIC

10.6%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

10.6%

WACC

8.1%

ROIC − WACC

+2.5 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.08%
  • Price CAGR 7.99%
  • ROIC 10.6%
  • P/FCF 15.97
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 26.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.99
  • Share Dilution -1.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (8)

  • Gross Margin 27.9%
  • P/B Ratio 3.99
  • Operating Margin 4.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 35% Buy

Unavailable (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.99

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.3%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Brian C. CornellExecutive Chair of the Board66
Mr. Michael J. FiddelkeCEO & Director48
Mr. James LeeExecutive VP & CFO50
Ms. Melissa K. KremerExecutive VP & Chief HR Officer47
Ms. Lisa R. RoathExecutive VP & COO47
Mr. Matthew A. LiegelSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller48
Mr. Pratabkumar VemanaExecutive VP and Chief Information & Product Officer53
Mr. John HulbertVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Grant B. McGee J.D.Executive VP and Chief Legal & Compliance Officer44
Joe ContrucciSenior Vice President of Stores Operations-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

6

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-03-11

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-28

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-19

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TGT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2d agoNEUTRAL
    Target’s price cuts are a sign of strength, some analysts say. Investors disagree.

    Target Corporation is implementing price cuts, which some analysts interpret as a strategic move to strengthen its market position and franchise health, potentially at the expense of short-term profits. Jefferies' analyst noted this prioritization of long-term franchise health over immediate profit optimization. However, investor sentiment appears divided, suggesting a divergence in how the market perceives the impact of these pricing strategies on the company's future performance and stock valuation. The differing views highlight uncertainty regarding the ultimate success of these aggressive pricing tactics.

  • 2d agoPOSITIVE
    Target abbassa i prezzi su 2.000 articoli in vista delle festività natalizie

    Target Corporation is implementing significant price reductions on nearly 2,000 items, spanning home goods, apparel, and accessories, ahead of the holiday season. This strategic move aims to provide consumers with more affordable options during a critical shopping period. For investors, these aggressive price cuts, while potentially impacting short-term margins, are designed to boost sales volume and market share against competitors. The initiative signals Target's commitment to attracting price-sensitive shoppers and could lead to increased foot traffic and revenue if successful in driving higher unit sales.

  • 8/31/2026NEGATIVE
    Target’s missteps have alienated consumers and shaken investors. Executive Chair Brian Cornell should step down

    Target Corporation's annual meeting results indicate significant investor dissatisfaction, signaling a demand for new leadership. The news suggests that executive leadership, including Executive Chair Brian Cornell, may be under pressure to step down due to missteps that have alienated consumers and shaken investor confidence. This sentiment implies a potential negative outlook for the company's stock as investors seek a turnaround strategy under new management. The article highlights a clear disconnect between current leadership and shareholder expectations for regaining market position.

  • 8/26/2026NEGATIVE
    Target’s minstrel-costume apology erased days of stock gains

    Target Corporation experienced a significant stock decline, falling 3.78% on August 25th, erasing recent gains. This downturn followed the company's decision to withdraw a "Pride" themed costume that faced accusations of being racist. The stock had previously reached a 52-week high of $169.89 on August 24th. The controversy highlights the financial risks associated with brand image and public perception, potentially impacting consumer trust and future sales for the retail giant.

  • 8/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Target, Starbucks and Nike are writing the 2026 turnaround playbook. Here are the key lessons 

    Target, Starbucks, and Nike are highlighted as companies potentially writing a 'turnaround playbook' for 2026. The article suggests that while the market may have been wary, there is potential for these companies to achieve success. Specifically, Target's CEO Fiddelke and Starbucks' CEO Niccol are noted for making progress, with Nike's CEO Hill also being a figure to 'bear watching'. This suggests a focus on leadership and strategic execution as key drivers for future performance, offering insights for investors observing retail and consumer discretionary sectors.

  • 8/20/2026POSITIVE
    Target’s second straight comeback quarter boosted by nearly $1 billion Trump tariff refund

    Target Corporation reported a second consecutive quarter of sales growth, with a 3.8% increase in revenue. However, a significant portion of its earnings per share ($1.65 out of $4.11) was attributed to a $1 billion refund related to U.S. government tariffs. While the tariff refund provided a substantial boost, the underlying sales increase indicates a positive consumer response. Investors should note the one-time nature of the refund, but the sales momentum suggests potential for continued recovery.

  • 8/19/2026POSITIVE
    Dovresti comprare azioni Target dopo i risultati del Q2? Jim Cramer risponde

    Target Corporation (TGT) shares are extending gains after reporting better-than-expected Q2 earnings. The retail giant posted $2.46 earnings per share on $26.54 billion in revenue, with strength attributed partly to tariff refunds. Despite the positive results, famed investor Jim Cramer advises waiting for a pullback before buying, stating, "I say let it come in and then buy it." Year-to-date, Target stock has surged nearly 60%. The strong earnings beat suggests resilience in consumer spending, though Cramer's cautious entry recommendation indicates potential for short-term volatility.

via Markets Gazette