Volver a la clasificación

APi Group Corp (APG)

Valor Justo
IndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionUnited States

Fundamental

69

Precio

$38.60

Capitalización Bursátil

$16.57B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

APi Group is a business services provider built around fire and life safety, security, elevator and escalator work, and a set of specialty contracting trades. It operates from more than 500 locations in over 20 countries, mostly through locally run branded businesses rather than one national brand. The work is done by field technicians who design, install, inspect, service and monitor safety systems in buildings — offices, hospitals, data centres, warehouses, factories — and, on the specialty side, build and maintain infrastructure such as utility and telecom networks and fabricated piping. Customers range from Fortune 500 companies to single-location businesses, in both the private and the public sector. The company grew largely by acquiring family-owned contractors and has been deliberately shifting its mix away from one-off construction projects toward repeat inspection and service work.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue comes in two shapes. The first is recurring: inspections that legislation or insurance policies oblige building owners to repeat on a schedule, plus the service, repair and monitoring contracts that follow from them, often under multi-year master service agreements. The 10-K describes growing this inspection, service and monitoring revenue as the company's main organic growth priority, precisely because the inspection creates the relationship and pulls through the higher-margin service work. The second is project revenue: installing systems on new or renovated buildings, and specialty contracting jobs, won contract by contract. Contracts are billed on progress against performance milestones, sometimes billed in advance, sometimes on completion, and some carry retainage the customer holds back until the job is signed off.

Ingresos por segmento

Safety Services69%

Design, installation, inspection, service and monitoring of fire protection and electronic security systems, plus elevator and escalator services, in North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific. Customers are building owners and operators in high tech, advanced manufacturing, healthcare, fulfilment centres and critical infrastructure. This is where the mandated, repeat inspection work sits.

Specialty Services31.1%

Specialty contracting, fabrication and distribution, and infrastructure and utility services, almost entirely in North America: work on electric and gas utility networks, telecom infrastructure, and fabricated piping and mechanical systems. Since January 2025 this segment also contains the HVAC business, moved over from Safety Services because of how the units are now managed.

Ventaja competitiva

Costes de cambio · Estrecha

The strongest argument for a durable advantage is the recurring inspection base. The 10-K notes that inspections are often required by legislation or insurance mandates, which means the customer must buy them from someone, on a schedule, whether or not business is good — and the incumbent who already knows the building's systems is the natural choice for the repair and monitoring work that follows. Density of branches also matters: a national customer with sites everywhere can be served by one provider. Against that, this is still a labour-intensive contracting business with low barriers to entry at the local level and thousands of small competitors, and the project half of the revenue is won on price. That is why the advantage reads as narrow rather than wide.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

The two halves behave differently. Inspection, service and monitoring demand is close to non-negotiable: the filing says inspections are often required by legislation or insurance mandates, so a building owner defers them only at the cost of breaking a rule or voiding a policy — that revenue holds up through a downturn. Project revenue behaves like construction: it follows new building starts, factory and data-centre investment, renovation budgets and utility and telecom capital spending, all of which are postponed when credit tightens or when a customer's own cycle turns. The company itself discloses exposure to economic cycles in the industries it serves and to the level of infrastructure investment. Weather and seasonality move work between quarters without changing the year.

Riesgos clave

  • Cost estimates on fixed-price contracts — The company discloses that much of its work is priced up front, while revenue is recognised over time on estimates of cost to complete. If a job runs long, materials cost more than assumed, or productivity disappoints, the loss falls on APi rather than the customer, and previously reported margins have to be revised.
  • A decentralised operating model — APi runs hundreds of locally managed businesses and lists this structure itself as a risk: local leaders make pricing, bidding and safety decisions, and central management has limited ability to catch a bad decision before it costs money. The related disclosure on internal control deficiencies belongs to the same family of concerns.
  • Acquisitions and their integration — Growth depends in part on buying other contractors, and the filing warns that the company may not find, price or integrate them successfully, and may not realise the expected benefits. It separately flags the risk of impairment of the goodwill and intangible assets those deals create.
  • Debt, interest rates and refinancing — The company discloses risks tied to its level of indebtedness, to its ability to refinance when facilities come due, and to movements in interest rates and credit markets — a direct consequence of funding acquisitions with borrowed money.
  • Finding and keeping skilled technicians — The filing flags labour shortages and the risk of an underutilised workforce, together with collective bargaining agreements and multiemployer pension obligations. The service is the technician; without enough of them the recurring work cannot be delivered, and with too many the payroll runs ahead of revenue.
  • Cyclicality of the end markets and of infrastructure spending — APi discloses that the industries it serves are subject to economic cycles and that part of its work depends on continued investment in infrastructure, including government spending, with the risk that awarded backlog is reduced or cancelled.
  • Systems: the ERP migration and cyber risk — The company lists the implementation of a new ERP system and reliance on cloud-based applications among its risks, alongside cybersecurity incidents and data-privacy obligations — concrete concerns for a group knitting together hundreds of previously independent businesses.
  • Operational hazards, weather and litigation — Field work carries physical hazards; the filing discloses exposure to health, safety and environmental litigation, to self-insurance estimates that may prove too low, and to seasonality and weather that shift work between quarters.

Concentración de clientes

The 10-K states that the company has low customer concentration, with no single customer accounting for more than 5% of total net revenues for 2025. It does not publish a combined figure for the largest customers, so no aggregate percentage can be given. The shape of the business is consistent with that: hundreds of local branches serving everything from Fortune 500 accounts to businesses with a single site.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the mix is shifting toward the better half of the business. Safety Services grew net revenues 13.7% in 2025 to $5,456 million and lifted its segment earnings margin to 16.8% from 15.9%, while consolidated revenue rose 12.7% to $7,911 million; the growth the company emphasises is inspection, service and monitoring, which is mandated, repeats on a schedule and pulls higher-margin repair work behind it. They point to a fragmented industry of family-owned contractors that APi can keep buying at modest multiples and fold into a denser branch network, to low customer concentration as a source of stability, and to a decentralised model that keeps local operators close to their customers.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that underneath the safety-services story this remains a contracting business. Roughly a third of revenue — $2,460 million in 2025 — sits in Specialty Services, whose segment earnings margin fell to 10.7% from 11.4%, and much of the work is priced up front while revenue is booked on estimates of cost to complete, a mechanism the company itself lists as a risk. They worry that growth depends on a continuing stream of acquisitions financed with debt, with the filing disclosing risks around integration, refinancing, interest rates and impairment of the goodwill those deals create; that a decentralised model with hundreds of local decision-makers is hard to control, an issue APi names alongside internal-control deficiencies and an ERP migration in progress; and that project work and infrastructure spending can be deferred when the cycle turns, while skilled technicians remain scarce and expensive to keep.

Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 41.2Score: 72Market cap: $79.09B

Its Cintas Fire Protection division sells route-based extinguisher, sprinkler, alarm and emergency-light inspection and service to the same small and mid-sized commercial customers APi covers in the United States.

P/E: 40.7Score: 83Market cap: $58.36B

A mechanical and electrical specialty contractor whose work includes fire protection and building systems installation and service, it competes with APi for the same high-tech, data centre, healthcare and industrial projects in the United States.

P/E: 23.5Score: 82Market cap: $33.77B

One of the largest North American mechanical, electrical and building-services contractors, it bids for the same specialty contracting and facility maintenance work that APi's Specialty Services segment pursues.

Johnson Controls International plcJCI

Through its Tyco and SimplexGrinnell fire and security brands it designs, installs, inspects and services fire alarm, sprinkler and electronic security systems for the same commercial, industrial and institutional buildings APi serves in North America and Europe.

Pye-Barker Fire & Safety, LLCNot tracked

Privately held and built by serial acquisitions of local fire contractors, it disputes exactly the same recurring inspection, testing and service contracts on sprinklers, alarms and suppression systems that make up APi's Safety Services base in the United States.

Convergint Technologies, LLCNot tracked

A private global service-based integrator of electronic security, access control and fire alarm systems, it bids against APi's Chubb electronic security and monitoring business for large multi-site corporate and public-sector accounts.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$8.44B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$346M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$663M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$3.41B

Pasivo Total

$5.53B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.39

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

3.26

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Caso generalValoración Justa

Valor Justo

$34.41

Precio Actual

$38.60

Margen de Seguridad

-12.2%

Rango de Valor Justo

$22.36 - $46.45

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$52.36
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):$19.20
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$8.20
P/B justificado:$5.75
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:$16.53
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:$54.92
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (14B / 1H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+0.34%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

48.34

ROE

8.9%

Ratio P/B

4.74

P/FCF

24.68

Margen Bruto

31.4%

ROIC

6.5%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

11.0%

ROIC − WACC

-4.6 pp

El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 20.94%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • Gross Margin 31.4%
  • P/FCF 24.68
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 10.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 17.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 93% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.26
  • Net Margin Trend 4.1% vs 3.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Fallido (3)

  • P/B Ratio 4.74
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

No disponible (5)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Solidez financiera fuerte

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

2.26

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Russell A. BeckerCEO, President & Director59
Mr. Glenn David JackolaExecutive VP & CFO45
Mr. Louis B. LambertSenior VP, General Counsel & Secretary49
Ms. Kristina M. MortonSenior VP & Chief People Officer50
Mr. Andrew WhiteExecutive Vice President of Operations-
James ArseniadisVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Andrea CiccoliniChief Information Officer-
Adam WaltersSenior Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. Fred LeggettVice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. Paul W. GrunauChief Learning Officer60

Riesgo de Auditoría

9

Riesgo del Consejo

5

Riesgo de Compensación

6

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

4

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-02-25

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-07-30

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-07-30

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for APG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    APi Group (APG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Markets Gazette reports that the transcript for APi Group's (APG) Q4 2025 earnings call has been made available or is pending publication. While the specific content has not yet been disclosed, investors eagerly await such events to assess the company's financial performance, future outlook, and growth strategies. Earnings calls are crucial for understanding operational health and management's strategic decisions, often influencing market expectations and investor sentiment. Analyzing these details will be essential for those holding or considering acquiring APG shares, providing clarity on past results and forecasts for upcoming fiscal periods.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    APi Group Earnings Report: Q4 Overview

    Markets Gazette reports that APi Group (APG) has announced the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report. However, the current announcement lacks specific details regarding the financial results, such as revenues, earnings per share, or future guidance. Investors are awaiting more in-depth information to assess the company's performance and its impact on growth prospects. The absence of concrete data makes it challenging to form a definitive judgment on the stock's trajectory, maintaining a wait-and-see atmosphere in the market. A thorough analysis of the complete figures will be crucial to understand APi Group's operational and strategic health.

via Markets Gazette