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Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF)

Sobrevalorada
Basic MaterialsGoldAustralia

Fundamental

68

Precio

$13.08

Capitalización Bursátil

$27.97B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Evolution Mining is an Australian miner that digs up and processes rock to extract gold, with copper as a significant byproduct at some of its mines. It operates a portfolio of underground and open-pit mines, including Cowal, Ernest Henry, Red Lake, Mungari and Northparkes, spanning Australia and Canada. It does not sell to a single end customer; it produces gold bullion and copper concentrate that are sold into global commodity markets at prevailing prices.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue is simply ounces of gold and tonnes of copper produced, multiplied by the market price on the day they are sold; Evolution has little influence over that price. Gold is the primary product across the portfolio, with copper — produced mainly at Ernest Henry and Cowal — a smaller but meaningful secondary contributor. Because mining and processing costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, profit is highly sensitive to swings in the gold and copper price.

Ventaja competitiva

Sin ventaja identificada · Ninguna

Gold and copper are undifferentiated commodities sold at a price set by global markets, not by Evolution. A mining company can have better or worse ore bodies and lower or higher costs than its peers, but it cannot charge more for its gold than anyone else does, so there is no durable competitive advantage in the way a brand or a patent provides one.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Evolution's results move with global gold and copper prices, which themselves swing with macroeconomic cycles: gold tends to rise when investors seek a safe haven during uncertainty or falling real interest rates, while copper tracks industrial and construction activity worldwide. A period of high metal prices can lift profit sharply, and a downturn in prices compresses it just as fast, independent of how well the mines themselves are run.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that record gold and copper output, combined with strong metal prices, has already delivered record profit and a higher dividend, and that a long-life, multi-mine portfolio spread across two countries reduces the risk of any single operation disappointing.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that today's record results depend on metal prices Evolution does not control and that could fall back, that mining carries operational risks such as lower ore grades or unexpected costs at any given site, and that a portfolio built around a handful of mines leaves less room to absorb a problem at one of them.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 14.6Score: 79Market cap: $122.28B

The world's largest gold miner, producing gold and copper from the Boddington and Tanami mines in Australia, the same metals and the same domestic operating ground as Evolution.

Northern Star Resources LimitedNST

The other large ASX-listed gold producer, mining the same Western Australian and multi-mine gold portfolio and competing with Evolution for the same ounces, assets, skilled workers and gold-equity investors.

Ramelius Resources LimitedRMS

A mid-tier Western Australian gold producer running the same hub-and-spoke model around Mt Magnet and Edna May, bidding against Evolution for Australian gold deposits and acquisitions.

Regis Resources LimitedRRL

An Australian pure-play gold producer with the Duketon operations and a stake in Tropicana, selling the same metal out of the same Australian cost base.

Genesis Minerals LimitedGMD

A fast-growing gold producer consolidating the Leonora district of Western Australia, competing directly with Evolution for regional gold assets and for the same investors in ASX gold stocks.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$5.59B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Beneficio Neto

$1.49B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Flujo de Caja Libre

$1.16B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$5.87B

Pasivo Total

$1.44B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.82

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

0.46

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

CíclicaSobrevalorado

Valor Justo

$10.22

Precio Actual

$13.08

Margen de Seguridad

-28.0%

Rango de Valor Justo

$6.65 - $13.80

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$13.48
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$10.89
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$5.00
P/B justificado:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Consenso de Analistas:Mantener (10B / 9H / 2S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-2.89%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

17.90

ROE

27.4%

Ratio P/B

4.54

P/FCF

24.01

Margen Bruto

45.4%

ROIC

25.5%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

25.5%

WACC

16.2%

ROIC − WACC

+9.3 pp

El ROIC supera el coste del capital: la empresa está creando valor para los accionistas.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (15)

  • Price CAGR 20.46%
  • ROIC 25.5%
  • Gross Margin 45.4%
  • P/FCF 24.01
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 39.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.0%
  • PEG Ratio 0.66
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
  • Net Margin Trend 26.5% vs 21.3%

Fallido (6)

  • P/B Ratio 4.54
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 48% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

No disponible (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.79

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Participaciones institucionales

No hay declaraciones institucionales para esta empresa.

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Lawrence John Conway BBus, C.P.A., MAICDCEO, MD & Director-
Ms. Frances SummerhayesChief Financial Officer-
Mr. Matthew O'NeillChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Nancy GuayChief Technical Officer-
Peter O'ConnorGeneral Manager of Investor Relations-
Mr. Evan Elstein A.C.A., B.Com., FCIS, GradDipACGCompany Secretary and VP of IT, Communications & Corporate Affairs-
Mr. Kirron SchmidtVice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. Paul Eagle CAHRI, MNLPVice President of People & Culture-
Ms. Fiona MurfittVice President of Sustainability-

Riesgo de Auditoría

2

Riesgo del Consejo

6

Riesgo de Compensación

9

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

7

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CAHPF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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