Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP)
Valor JustoFundamental
52
Precio
$84.30
Capitalización Bursátil
$76.76B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Canadian Pacific Kansas City runs a single freight railway connecting Canada, the United States and Mexico under one network — the only one of its kind since the 2023 merger of Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern. It hauls bulk commodities such as grain, coal and potash, merchandise freight like forest products, chemicals, metals and automotive parts, and intermodal containers, moving goods over track it owns rather than shares with competitors.
Cómo genera ingresos
Revenue comes from freight rates charged per carload or container, which vary by commodity, distance and contract terms; some grain traffic in western Canada is capped by a government-set revenue formula rather than freely negotiated. Because the railway owns its own track, most operating costs are fixed regardless of volume, so profit is highly sensitive to how much freight actually moves over the network rather than to price alone.
Ingresos por segmento
Forest products, energy, chemicals and plastics, metals, minerals, consumer products and automotive parts — the largest and most varied freight category. Share of freight revenue.
Grain, coal, potash and fertilizers moved in unit trains — commodities produced in large, predictable volumes. Share of freight revenue.
Containers moved between ports, terminals and customers, competing directly with long-haul trucking. Share of freight revenue.
Ventaja competitiva
Ventaja de costes · AmpliaBuilding a second transcontinental railway alongside an existing one is not economically rational, so CPKC's track competes against trucking more than against another railway on most routes. Owning the only single-line network connecting Canada, the US and Mexico after the Kansas City Southern merger gives it routes competitors cannot simply build to match.
Qué impulsa la demanda
Moderadamente cíclicoDemand is a mix: grain and potash volumes follow harvests and global agricultural demand more than the economic cycle, while merchandise freight — automotive parts, metals, chemicals — and intermodal containers move with industrial production and consumer spending. That blend cushions the network against a single downturn, but currency swings and fuel prices still move margins on every shipment.
Riesgos clave
- Dependence on key suppliers — The company depends on a limited number of suppliers for core railway equipment and materials, and disruption within the broader supply chain — ports, terminals, other railways — can hurt operating efficiency and raise costs.
- Fuel price volatility — Fuel is a significant share of operating costs. A fuel cost adjustment program mitigates but does not eliminate exposure to sharp price swings from supply shortages or geopolitical disruption.
- Three-currency exposure — Operating across Canada, the US and Mexico exposes results to swings in the Canadian dollar, US dollar and Mexican peso, and debt taken on for the Kansas City Southern acquisition limits financial flexibility.
- Merger integration risk — The company may fail to fully realize the cost savings, growth opportunities and synergies expected from the Kansas City Southern merger, and remains subject to continuing regulatory obligations from that transaction.
Concentración de clientes
The company states that for both 2025 and 2024 its revenues and operations were not dependent on any major customer — freight volume is spread across many shippers and commodities.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that being the only railway with a single-line route from Canada through the US to Mexico gives CPKC network advantages competitors cannot replicate, and that a freight mix spread across bulk, merchandise and intermodal, with no dependence on any single customer, makes revenue more resilient than a typical industrial company's.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that the debt taken on for the Kansas City Southern merger, exposure to three currencies, and dependence on diesel fuel leave margins vulnerable to macro shocks outside the company's control, and that realizing the promised synergies from combining two railways takes longer or costs more than planned.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The largest western US railroad, competing head-on for cross-border Mexican traffic through the Laredo and Eagle Pass gateways and for automotive, grain and intermodal freight in the US Midwest and Gulf.
Eastern US Class I railroad that competes with CPKC for chemicals, automotive and intermodal traffic moving between the Gulf Coast, the Southeast and the Midwest interchange points.
The other eastern US Class I railroad, competing for the same merchandise and intermodal shippers between Chicago, the Gulf and the Atlantic ports that CPKC reaches through its Kansas City Southern network.
The other Canadian transcontinental Class I railroad, competing for the same grain, intermodal, potash and forest-products shippers across the Prairies and for access to the ports of Vancouver and Montreal.
Owned by Berkshire Hathaway, it runs the other big western network and bids for the same Upper Midwest and Pacific Northwest grain, coal, energy and intermodal customers that CPKC serves south of the border.
The main Mexican rail network and the direct rival of CPKC's Mexican lines for domestic freight and for the automotive and intermodal flows moving between central Mexico and the US border.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$15.45B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$3.86B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
-
Patrimonio Neto Total
$46.83B
Pasivo Total
$39.12B
Ratio de Liquidez
0.59
Cobertura de Intereses
-
Deuda/EBITDA
3.05
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$72.46
Precio Actual
$84.30
Margen de Seguridad
-16.3%
Rango de Valor Justo
$53.11 - $91.80
Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
19.74
ROE
8.8%
Ratio P/B
1.57
P/FCF
-
Margen Bruto
-
ROIC
5.4%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)
ROIC
5.4%
WACC
7.0%
ROIC − WACC
-1.7 pp
El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (14)
- Price CAGR 11.95%
- ROIC 5.4%
- P/B Ratio 1.57
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 36.8%
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 8.4%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 14.4%
- Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.42
- Share Dilution -1.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Fallido (8)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -6.74%
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Earnings Surprise avg -3.7%
- PEG Ratio 6.06
- Net Margin Trend 27.4% vs 31.2%
No disponible (6)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención
Calidad de los Beneficios
Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Participaciones institucionales
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Keith E. Creel | CEO, President & Director | 56 |
| Mr. Nadeem S. Velani | Executive VP & CFO | 52 |
| Mr. Mark A. Redd | Executive VP & COO | 54 |
| Mr. John Kenneth Brooks | Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | 54 |
| Mr. James Dominic Luther Clements | Executive Vice-President of Strategic Planning & Corporate Services | 55 |
| Ms. Pamela Lynne Arpin | Senior VP & Chief Information Officer | 49 |
| Ms. Cassandra P. Quach | VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 51 |
| Ms. Maeghan Albiston | Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 42 |
| Mr. Laird Joseph Pitz | Senior VP & Chief Risk Officer | 80 |
| Corey Heinz | Managing Director of Asia | - |
Riesgo de Auditoría
3
Riesgo del Consejo
4
Riesgo de Compensación
8
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
3
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Documentos
- Ver documento
Informe anual (10-K)
Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.
Presentado el 2026-02-26
- Ver documento
Informe trimestral (10-Q)
Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.
Presentado el 2026-07-30
- Ver documento
Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)
Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.
Presentado el 2026-09-29
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CP, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/15/2026POSITIVE$1000 Invested In Canadian Pacific Kansas 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
An investment of $1000 in Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) made 15 years ago would have grown substantially, highlighting the company's strong long-term performance. While specific figures are not provided in the title, such a scenario typically implies significant capital appreciation and potentially dividend reinvestment over the period. This underscores CP's historical ability to generate value for shareholders, driven by factors such as operational efficiency, strategic acquisitions (like the Kansas City Southern merger), and its critical role in North American supply chains. Investors considering long-term holdings may find this historical performance indicative of future potential.
- 6/11/2026POSITIVEIf You Invested $1000 In Canadian Pacific Kansas Stock 20 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today
An investment of $1000 in Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) stock twenty years ago would have yielded a substantial return, illustrating the long-term growth potential of the railway operator. While specific figures are not provided in this summary, the article implies significant capital appreciation and potential dividend reinvestment over two decades. This historical performance underscores CP's resilience and ability to generate value for shareholders through operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions, making it a noteworthy consideration for long-term portfolio strategies.
via Markets Gazette