Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (CPCAY)
InfravaloradaFundamental
84
Precio
$14.74
Capitalización Bursátil
$87.20B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Cathay Pacific is Hong Kong's home airline, flying passengers and freight between Hong Kong and destinations across Asia, North America, Europe and Australia, using the city's international airport as its hub. The group also owns the low-cost carrier HK Express and a large cargo operation that flies dedicated freighter aircraft. Its business depends on Hong Kong remaining an attractive stopover point for travellers and shippers moving between Asia and the rest of the world.
Cómo genera ingresos
The airline sells seats and cargo space on scheduled flights; revenue is booked when a passenger flies or a shipment moves, and results move with two separate drivers — how full the planes are (load factor) and how much each seat or kilogram of cargo fetches (yield). Fuel is the single largest cost, so profitability is squeezed whenever oil prices rise faster than fares and freight rates can be adjusted.
Ingresos por segmento
Passenger flights on Cathay Pacific and HK Express, plus catering, engineering and other airline-related services; not broken out separately in reported results.
Dedicated freighter and belly-hold cargo capacity, which carried 1.67 million tonnes in 2025 for HK$24.3 billion in revenue.
Ventaja competitiva
Escala · EstrechaCathay's position as the dominant carrier at Hong Kong International Airport, with decades of accumulated route rights, slots and a large widebody fleet, gives it a real hub advantage that a new entrant could not quickly replicate. The advantage is narrow: airlines compete hard on price for the same passengers, and Cathay's own results show yields falling under regional competition even as the hub advantage holds.
Qué impulsa la demanda
CíclicoAir travel and air freight demand rise and fall with global trade and travel activity, and fares fall quickly whenever regional airlines add capacity, as happened across Asia in 2025 as carriers restored seats after the pandemic. Jet fuel, priced off volatile crude oil, is a further swing factor the airline can only partly hedge.
Riesgos clave
- Geopolitical route disruption — A volatile geopolitical environment can force sudden route cancellations and reroutings, as happened when the group cancelled all flights to Dubai and Riyadh in response to Middle East tensions, cutting capacity with little notice.
- Fuel price volatility — Jet fuel is one of the largest items on the airline's cost base; management has hedged only around 30% of anticipated 2026 fuel needs at roughly $70 a barrel for Brent crude, leaving most of the exposure unhedged.
- Regional competition on fares — Asian airlines restoring post-pandemic capacity pushed fares down across the region in 2025, cutting Cathay Pacific's full-service yield by 12% and low-cost subsidiary HK Express's yield by 23% year on year.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Cathay's Hong Kong hub advantage remains intact, that group profit rose to HK$10.8 billion in 2025 on record passenger volumes, and that continued long-haul network expansion to North America and Europe positions the airline to keep capturing recovering travel demand.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers worry that regional overcapacity is already pushing fares and yields down, that geopolitical shocks can force route cancellations with almost no warning, and that with most of its fuel exposure unhedged a sustained rise in oil prices would hit margins hard just as competitive pressure caps how much fares can rise.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The other premium Asian hub carrier, competing directly for long-haul premium and connecting traffic between Southeast Asia, Europe, Australia and North America.
Dubai's hub carrier competes for the same Asia-to-Europe, Africa and Middle East connecting passengers that Cathay routes through Hong Kong.
The largest mainland Chinese carrier competes on price and capacity for Chinese outbound travellers on regional and long-haul routes Cathay feeds through Hong Kong.
Seoul Incheon is a rival Northeast Asian transfer hub disputing the same transpacific and Asia-Europe connecting flows.
State-owned Gulf carrier that draws Asian passengers onto its Doha hub for Europe, Africa and the Americas, the same one-stop itineraries Cathay sells.
Privately held rival operating from the same home airport, competing head-on with Cathay on Asia-Pacific regional routes where yields have been falling.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$126.50B
Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción
Beneficio Neto
$12.54B
Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción
Flujo de Caja Libre
$15.46B
Patrimonio Neto Total
$58.02B
Pasivo Total
$63.49B
Ratio de Liquidez
0.44
Cobertura de Intereses
-
Deuda/EBITDA
2.79
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$19.76
Precio Actual
$14.74
Margen de Seguridad
+25.4%
Rango de Valor Justo
$15.37 - $24.16
Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
7.15
ROE
24.5%
Ratio P/B
1.54
P/FCF
5.64
Margen Bruto
65.2%
ROIC
8.2%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)
ROIC
8.2%
WACC
4.6%
ROIC − WACC
+3.6 pp
El ROIC supera el coste del capital: la empresa está creando valor para los accionistas.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (16)
- ROIC 8.2%
- Gross Margin 65.2%
- P/FCF 5.64
- P/B Ratio 1.54
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 12.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 22.7%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 20.0%
- Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 50.5%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.58
- Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs 9.2%
Fallido (4)
- Price CAGR 4.57%
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
No disponible (7)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupaciones financieras graves
Calidad de los Beneficios
Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Participaciones institucionales
No hay declaraciones institucionales para esta empresa.
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Guy Martin Coutts Bradley J.P. | Executive Chairman of the Board | 59 |
| Mr. Siu Por Lam | CEO & Executive Director | 52 |
| Ms. Rebecca Jane Sharpe | CFO & Executive Director | 54 |
| Mr. James John McGowan | Chief Operations & Service Delivery Officer and Executive Director | 52 |
| Ms. Hoi Zee Lau | Chief Customer & Commercial Officer and Executive Director | 54 |
| Mr. Keith Fung | General Manager of Corporate Finance | - |
| Ms. Joanna Lai | Group General Counsel & Company Secretary | 40 |
| Ms. Patricia Hwang | Director of People | - |
| Christopher J. Buckley | Head of Financial Service | - |
| Mr. Jonathan Ng | Regional Head of Customer Travel & Lifestyle - Southeast Asia | - |
Riesgo de Auditoría
3
Riesgo del Consejo
4
Riesgo de Compensación
5
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
8
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CPCAY, sourced from Markets Gazette.