Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT)
InfravaloradaFundamental
49
Precio
$75.84
Capitalización Bursátil
$13.30B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Flutter Entertainment plc is the world's largest online sports betting and iGaming operator by revenue. It is an Irish-incorporated group whose shares are primarily listed in New York, and it runs a portfolio of local consumer brands rather than a single global one: FanDuel in the United States, Paddy Power and Sky Betting & Gaming in the UK and Ireland, Sisal in Italy, Sportsbet in Australia, Betnacional and NSX in Brazil, Junglee Games in India, and PokerStars worldwide. Customers place bets on sporting events and play casino, bingo, poker and lottery-style games, almost entirely through mobile apps and websites. The group reported $16,383 million of revenue for fiscal 2025 and says it serves roughly 100 markets and averaged 15.9 million monthly players.
Cómo genera ingresos
Flutter does not sell a product: it keeps a margin on money staked. In the sportsbook it sets odds with a built-in spread, so over many bets it retains a share of the amounts wagered — revenue is what is staked less customer winnings, less the cost of free bets and promotions, which the company deducts before reporting revenue. Sportsbook was 53% of fiscal 2025 revenue. In iGaming the margin is structural rather than statistical: casino, bingo and slot-style games have a fixed house hold, and that was 44% of revenue. A residual 3% comes from commissions rather than risk-taking — rake on peer-to-peer poker, commission on the Betfair exchange, prediction markets, daily fantasy sports, racing and B2B risk-management services sold to other operators. Because promotional spending is netted off, aggressive customer acquisition shows up directly as lower reported revenue.
Ingresos por segmento
Everything outside the United States — roughly 100 markets, including the UK and Ireland (Paddy Power, Sky Betting & Gaming, Betfair), Southern Europe and Africa (Sisal, Tombola), Asia-Pacific (Sportsbet in Australia, Junglee in India), Central and Eastern Europe, and Brazil (Betnacional, NSX), plus PokerStars globally. It sells sports betting and iGaming to retail consumers, with a small retail-shop and lottery presence alongside the online business.
The American business, built around FanDuel, together with the FanDuel Casino iGaming brand, TVG horse racing and prediction-market activity. It sells online sportsbook and casino to US consumers state by state, and can only operate where a state has legalised and licensed the relevant product.
Ventaja competitiva
Escala · AmpliaFlutter's advantage is arithmetic before it is anything else. Pricing a sportsbook well depends on how much betting data you have seen, and Flutter sees more of it than anyone: it is the largest operator in the world by revenue and runs its pricing, risk and platform technology once for brands in about 100 markets. That lets it spread product development, risk management and compliance costs over a revenue base of $16.4 billion, while a single-market rival pays the same fixed costs on a fraction of the turnover. Local brand strength reinforces it — FanDuel, Paddy Power, Sisal and Sportsbet are household names in their own markets — as does licensing, since a regulated licence is itself a barrier that keeps casual entrants out. The limit is that scale does not travel across borders automatically: each state and each country is its own licence, its own tax rate and its own competitive fight, and the company itself flags competition from rivals, prediction markets and illegal operators.
Qué impulsa la demanda
Moderadamente cíclicoTwo different forces move Flutter's revenue, and they should not be confused. The first is the calendar, not the economy: the sporting schedule concentrates activity around a few events, so quarters are uneven by construction, and results within those events swing revenue because the sportsbook carries the risk. The second is the cycle proper. Betting is paid out of discretionary income and the company names economic downturns as a risk, so stakes compress when household budgets tighten — but the habit itself is sticky, and iGaming, 44% of revenue, does not depend on a sporting calendar at all. What has dominated recent years is neither: it is the regulatory opening of new markets, chiefly US states, which adds revenue in a way that owes nothing to the economic cycle. Expect uneven quarters and a demand base that bends in a downturn rather than breaking.
Riesgos clave
- Regulation can change under the company's feet — Flutter states that adverse changes to the regulation of online betting, iGaming and adjacent industries — or simply a different interpretation of existing rules by a regulator — could have a material adverse effect on its growth prospects. It also flags that regulatory change and enforcement are inconsistent across the roughly 100 markets it serves, and that the legal position of online betting and iGaming remains uncertain in some of them.
- Gambling taxes can rise at any time — The company warns that changes in taxation laws, regulations and their interpretation could materially increase its tax liabilities and reduce customer demand. Betting duties are set by each jurisdiction and are a favourite target for governments looking for revenue; a higher rate is taken straight out of the margin unless it is passed to customers in worse odds, which itself reduces how much they play.
- Sporting results and mispriced odds hit profit directly — Flutter discloses that it may experience lower-than-expected profitability from a failure to determine odds accurately for any particular event. The sportsbook is a risk position, not a fee: an unusual run of favourites winning, or a single badly priced market, reduces revenue in the quarter it happens, regardless of how many customers are playing.
- Responsible gambling and public opinion — The filing names social responsibility concerns and public opinion on responsible gambling as a risk that can significantly influence regulation. This is the channel through which the political mood becomes a cost: advertising restrictions, affordability checks and deposit limits all follow from it, and each one reduces how much a licensed operator is allowed to take.
- Competition, including prediction markets and illegal operators — Flutter says it is exposed to competitive pressure from other online betting and iGaming companies, from prediction markets, and from illegal operators. The last two matter because they compete on a different cost base: an unlicensed site pays no gambling duty and runs no compliance function, and prediction markets have been reaching sports-linked contracts through a different regulatory route.
- Technology failure and cybersecurity — The company lists disruption to its technology systems, failed technology implementations, dependence on third-party data and content providers, dependence on payment processors, and cybersecurity breaches compromising customer data among its risk factors. An online-only business stops earning the moment its apps stop working, and the highest-value moments — a major sporting event — are exactly when load is heaviest.
- Customer retention and the cost of keeping players — Flutter identifies customer retention and engagement as a risk in its own right, alongside the need to keep investing in product development and technology. Switching betting app is a matter of downloading another one, so the acquisition and promotional spending that the company nets off its revenue is a permanent charge rather than a launch expense.
- Economic conditions and the customer's spare money — The company lists economic downturns and market conditions outside its control among its risk factors. Betting is paid for out of discretionary income, so a squeeze on household budgets shows up as smaller stakes before it shows up as fewer players.
Concentración de clientes
The 10-K does not disclose any customer concentration figure, and no single customer is identified as material. The business is consumer-facing: Flutter reported an average of 15.9 million monthly players across its brands in fiscal 2025, so no individual account can represent a meaningful share of revenue. The relevant question in this industry is different and the filing does not answer it either — betting revenue is known to be skewed towards a minority of very heavy players, and Flutter publishes no breakdown that would let a reader measure how much of its revenue comes from them. Note also that the group's B2B activity, which would be where real customer concentration could arise, sits inside the 3% 'other' product line.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Flutter is the scale winner in an industry where scale is the whole game. It is the largest online betting and iGaming operator in the world by revenue, with $16,383 million in fiscal 2025, and it builds pricing, risk and platform technology once for brands in roughly 100 markets — a cost structure a national rival cannot match. They point to the US, where FanDuel holds the leading position in a market still being opened state by state, and to iGaming, already 44% of group revenue, which carries a structural house margin instead of sporting risk and does not depend on a match calendar. They also argue the local-brand model travels: buying Sisal in Italy or Betnacional in Brazil lets Flutter add a market without building a name from nothing. And they note that regulation, which reads as a risk, works for the incumbent once it arrives — a licensing regime is a barrier that falls hardest on small and unlicensed competitors.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that Flutter's earnings belong to governments as much as to shareholders. Every market it operates in sets its own betting duty, and the company itself warns that changes in tax law could materially increase its liabilities and reduce customer demand; a rate rise is taken straight out of the margin in a business that cannot relocate its customers. They fear the political direction of travel on responsible gambling — the filing names public opinion as a force that can significantly influence regulation, and advertising bans, affordability checks and deposit limits all cap how much a licensed operator may take. They point out that the sportsbook is a risk position: Flutter discloses that inaccurate odds on any particular event can depress profitability, so a single bad run of results moves a quarter regardless of how well the business is run. They note the competitive squeeze the company describes from prediction markets and illegal operators, both competing without the duty and compliance costs Flutter carries. And they argue that switching apps costs a customer nothing, which is why acquisition and promotional spending is netted off revenue permanently rather than paid once at launch.
Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
DraftKings is FanDuel's closest rival in US online sports betting, iGaming and daily fantasy sports, chasing the same bettors state by state as each new market opens.
Caesars Sportsbook and Caesars Palace Online Casino compete with FanDuel for the same US online betting and iGaming customers, leaning on the group's rewards programme and casino brand.
Entain competes with Flutter brand for brand across its main markets — Ladbrokes and Coral against Paddy Power and Sky Bet in the UK and Ireland, Eurobet against Sisal in Italy, Ladbrokes and Neds against Sportsbet in Australia, and BetMGM against FanDuel in the US.
bet365 is the privately held global online sportsbook and casino operator that takes bets from the same customers in the UK, Italy, Australia and a growing number of US states.
Fanatics Sportsbook, privately owned and built on the group's sports-merchandise customer base, is expanding state by state in US online betting and casino against FanDuel.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$17.16B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$-866M
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$1.08B
Patrimonio Neto Total
$9.04B
Pasivo Total
$19.58B
Ratio de Liquidez
0.89
Cobertura de Intereses
0.94
Deuda/EBITDA
8.09
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$135.59
Precio Actual
$75.84
Margen de Seguridad
+44.1%
Rango de Valor Justo
$128.81 - $142.37
Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
-
ROE
-4.5%
Ratio P/B
1.48
P/FCF
10.42
Margen Bruto
42.5%
ROIC
-2.2%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)
ROIC
-2.2%
WACC
7.5%
ROIC − WACC
-9.6 pp
El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (12)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Gross Margin 42.5%
- P/FCF 10.42
- P/B Ratio 1.48
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Revenue Growth 5Y 23.7%
- Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 15.0%
- Share Dilution -65.5%
Fallido (11)
- Price CAGR -0.55%
- ROIC -2.2%
- Operating Margin -3.7%
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- ROE -8.4%
- Net Margin Trend -5.0% vs 2.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
No disponible (4)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
Piotroski F-Score
Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención
Calidad de los Beneficios
Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Participaciones institucionales
No hay declaraciones institucionales para esta empresa.
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Jeremy Peter Jackson | Group CEO & Executive Director | 50 |
| Mr. Robert Coldrake | Chief Financial Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Don H. Liu J.D. | Chief Legal Officer | 63 |
| Mr. Daniel Mark Taylor | President & CEO of Flutter International | 45 |
| Mr. Phil Bishop | Chief Operating Officer | 57 |
| Paul Tymms | Group Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Kate A. Delahunty | Chief Communications Officer | - |
| Mr. Charles Kelly | Head of Retail Operations In Ireland | - |
| Fiona Gildea | Head of Governance & Deputy Company Secretary | - |
| Mr. Edward Traynor | Group General Counsel & Company Secretary | 47 |
Riesgo de Auditoría
8
Riesgo del Consejo
1
Riesgo de Compensación
3
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
5
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Documentos
- Ver documento
Informe anual (10-K)
Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.
Presentado el 2026-02-26
- Ver documento
Informe trimestral (10-Q)
Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.
Presentado el 2026-08-05
- Ver documento
Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)
Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.
Presentado el 2026-10-01
via SEC EDGAR
Historial de Resultados
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for FLUT, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 4/27/2026NEGATIVEFanDuel Parent Flutter Loses $30B In Market Capitalization: What Role Do Kalshi, Polymarket Play?
Flutter Entertainment PLC experienced a significant market capitalization drop of $30 billion, largely attributed to its subsidiary FanDuel's involvement in prediction markets operated by Kalshi and Polymarket. This substantial valuation decline highlights investor concerns regarding regulatory risks and potential reputational damage associated with these platforms. In an attempt to mitigate further losses and regain market confidence, FanDuel is reportedly injecting $300 million into its operations. Investors will be closely monitoring Flutter's strategic response and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction markets.
- 2/27/2026NEUTRALFlutter (FLUT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Flutter Entertainment, a global giant in the online gambling sector, has announced the availability of the transcript for its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call. However, the specific details and financial metrics discussed during the call have not been made public or are not yet available for in-depth analysis. Investors and analysts are awaiting the release of the full results to assess the company's performance and future outlook, particularly in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving market like digital gaming. The absence of immediate financial data maintains a climate of anticipation, providing no clear directional cues for the stock at this stage.
- 2/27/2026NEGATIVEFanDuel parent’s stock tumbles as the house just can’t seem to win for its investors
Shares of Flutter Entertainment, the parent company of FanDuel, experienced a significant downturn following disappointing earnings results. The negative performance is largely attributed to market share losses in the sports betting sector, with numerous FanDuel users migrating to competitors. This customer exodus, driven by an excessive streak of losses for bettors, has eroded the user base and anticipated revenues. Investors are concerned about the company's ability to maintain its dominant position and reverse the trend, making the stock less attractive in the short term.
via Markets Gazette