Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)
Valor JustoFundamental
73
Precio
$66.98
Capitalización Bursátil
$298.64B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Netflix produces and licenses TV shows and films and streams them to paying members over the internet, with no physical discs or theatres involved. It operates worldwide, offering the same core service everywhere but adapting price, local-language content and, in most markets, an ad-supported cheaper tier to fit what each region can pay.
Cómo genera ingresos
Nearly all revenue comes from monthly membership fees, so growth depends on adding subscribers and raising prices without pushing them to cancel. A smaller and growing slice comes from advertising sold against the cheaper ad-supported plan. Content costs are largely fixed once a show is made, so each additional subscriber watching it adds revenue at very little extra cost, which is why profitability rises faster than the subscriber count.
Ingresos por segmento
The largest and most mature region, with the highest price per member of anywhere Netflix operates.
The second-largest region by revenue, growing faster than UCAN as membership and pricing both climb.
A mature but lower-priced market for Netflix, with membership growth now the main lever left for revenue.
The smallest region but the fastest-growing, now matching Latin America in revenue for the first time.
Ventaja competitiva
Escala · EstrechaNetflix's largest advantage is spreading a multi-billion-dollar content budget across roughly 300 million paying households, letting it outbid smaller streamers for content while charging a comparatively modest monthly fee. That scale is real but not permanent: well-funded rivals with their own content libraries — Disney, Amazon, Apple — can and do compete for the same subscribers and the same shows.
Qué impulsa la demanda
DefensivoA monthly streaming subscription is a small, discretionary expense that most members keep even when tightening their budget elsewhere, which has made Netflix's subscriber base historically resilient through downturns. The bigger swing factor is not the economy but whether the current content slate is strong enough to keep people from cancelling.
Riesgos clave
- Content and sports rights costs — Netflix is bidding against deep-pocketed rivals for the same films, series and live sports rights. Rising content costs, including a growing push into live events, pressure margins if they outpace subscriber and price growth.
- Streaming competition — Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Apple TV+ and others compete for the same subscription budget and the same viewing hours, and several bundle streaming with other services Netflix cannot match.
- Currency exposure — With most subscribers now outside the United States, revenue and reported earnings move with exchange rates in ways management does not fully control.
- Slowing subscriber growth in mature markets — UCAN and EMEA are large, penetrated markets where most of the future growth Netflix needs must come from price increases and advertising rather than new members, both of which have limits.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Netflix's global scale and content budget remain unmatched among pure streamers, that the ad-supported tier and password-sharing crackdown opened new avenues for revenue without needing endless subscriber growth, and that margins still have room to expand as the business matures.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that subscriber growth in the largest, most profitable markets is running out of room, that content and live-sports costs keep climbing as competitors bid for the same titles, and that a business built on discretionary spending is more exposed to a downturn than its recent history suggests.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 19 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Disney+ and Hulu sell the same monthly subscription to the same households Netflix targets, and both companies bid against each other for films, series and sports rights.
Prime Video competes for the same viewing hours and the same advertising budgets worldwide, and its studio arm bids for the same content and talent as Netflix.
HBO Max is the closest rival on premium scripted series, the segment Netflix built its brand on, and remains a separate listed company while the Paramount Skydance purchase is held up in court.
YouTube takes more U.S. television viewing time than any streaming service, so it competes directly for the leisure hours and the ad money Netflix wants.
Paramount+ and the free service Pluto TV chase the same subscribers and the same ad-supported viewers, with sports rights as the main lever.
Peacock puts NBCUniversal films and live sports in front of the same U.S. households, and Comcast's cable television business competes for the same entertainment spending.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$48.37B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$13.65B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$9.46B
Patrimonio Neto Total
$26.62B
Pasivo Total
$28.98B
Ratio de Liquidez
1.14
Cobertura de Intereses
16.94
Deuda/EBITDA
2.27
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$78.51
Precio Actual
$66.98
Margen de Seguridad
+14.7%
Rango de Valor Justo
$51.03 - $105.99
Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
21.34
ROE
41.3%
Ratio P/B
9.37
P/FCF
25.33
Margen Bruto
49.1%
ROIC
24.5%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)
ROIC
24.5%
WACC
12.3%
ROIC − WACC
+12.2 pp
El ROIC supera el coste del capital: la empresa está creando valor para los accionistas.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (22)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 5.47%
- Price CAGR 19.15%
- ROIC 24.5%
- Gross Margin 49.1%
- P/FCF 25.33
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 29.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 48.0%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 12.6%
- Analyst Consensus 74% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.66
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.88
- Share Dilution -1.4%
- Net Margin Trend 28.2% vs 24.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Fallido (5)
- P/B Ratio 9.37
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -7.1%
No disponible (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Solidez financiera fuerte
Calidad de los Beneficios
Moderada: cierta brecha entre beneficios y efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Participaciones institucionales
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Theodore A. Sarandos | Co-CEO, President & Director | 60 |
| Mr. Gregory K. Peters | Co-CEO, President & Director | 54 |
| Mr. Spencer Adam Neumann | Chief Financial Officer | 55 |
| Mr. David Hyman J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Secretary | 59 |
| Mr. Clete Willems | Chief Global Affairs Officer | 45 |
| Ms. Natalie Gutteridge | VP of Corporate Legal & Operations | - |
| Mr. Jeffrey William Karbowski | Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Ms. Elizabeth Stone | Chief Product & Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Spencer Wang | Vice President of Finance, Corporate Development & Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Dani Dudeck | Chief Communications Officer | - |
Riesgo de Auditoría
10
Riesgo del Consejo
3
Riesgo de Compensación
6
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
5
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Documentos
- Ver documento
Informe anual (10-K)
Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.
Presentado el 2026-01-23
- Ver documento
Informe trimestral (10-Q)
Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.
Presentado el 2026-07-17
- Ver documento
Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)
Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.
Presentado el 2026-07-30
via SEC EDGAR
Historial de Resultados
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for NFLX, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6h agoNEGATIVELe azioni Netflix hanno perso il 14% a settembre: NFLX è da comprare dopo lo sell-off?
Netflix shares experienced a significant decline of 14% in September, contributing to a broader 18% loss over the past month and a 25% year-to-date drop. This sell-off is driven by concerns over slowing user engagement, a less impactful content pipeline, and intensifying competition. Adding to investor worries, co-CEO Ted Sarandos acknowledged that the company's growth has not been rapid enough. The stock is now heading for its fifth consecutive week of losses, signaling significant headwinds for the streaming giant.
- 3d agoPOSITIVEHere’s what Netflix skeptics are getting wrong about the stock, according to an analyst
Deutsche Bank analysts are challenging skepticism surrounding Netflix stock, arguing that investors are overly focused on domestic market saturation and are consequently overlooking significant growth opportunities internationally. The firm suggests that expanding subscriber bases and revenue streams in emerging markets are not being adequately priced into the current valuation. This perspective implies that Netflix's global reach and diversified revenue model provide a more robust growth narrative than commonly perceived, potentially leading to a reassessment of its future earnings potential and stock performance.
- 10d agoNEGATIVENetflix: azioni in calo, HSBC cita YouTube e calo del coinvolgimento
Netflix shares fell 2% on Tuesday following an downgrade by HSBC, which cited increasing competition from Alphabet's YouTube and concerns over viewer engagement. HSBC downgraded Netflix to Neutral from Buy, slashing its price target from $96 to $76. The firm highlighted YouTube's growing share of US television viewing, suggesting a near-term rebound in Netflix engagement is less likely. YouTube has captured a record 14.2% of TV time, posing a significant challenge to Netflix's market position and future growth prospects.
- 14d agoNEGATIVEDow apre in calo di 90 punti mentre Buffett si dimette, azioni Netflix -5%
Netflix shares plunged 5% in early trading following news of Warren Buffett's resignation from the company's board. While the broader US markets opened mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 93 points, the S&P 500 flat, and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.33%, the significant drop in Netflix stock highlights investor reaction to the departure of a prominent figure. This move comes after a volatile week where markets experienced a sharp rebound on Thursday, driven by falling Treasury yields and cooling inflation data, but the specific news regarding Netflix appears to be a strong negative catalyst for its shares.
- 18d agoPOSITIVEAzioni Netflix in rialzo dopo che Evercore alza il target a $110
Netflix shares surged approximately 4.3% following Evercore ISI's upward revision of its price target to $110 from $100, maintaining an 'Outperform' rating. This new target suggests a potential 42% upside from Netflix's prior closing price. Evercore cited improving subscriber trends in the US and Japan, alongside growth avenues in live events, short-form content, and advertising. Analyst Kutgun Maral highlighted that Netflix's US penetration has reached a multi-year high of 63%. For investors, this indicates strong market positioning and potential for continued growth.
- 8/13/2026POSITIVEBill Ackman once exited his Netflix stake in a huff. He’s buying the streaming giant again, as well as these five stocks.
Prominent investor Bill Ackman, through his hedge fund Pershing Square, has re-entered a significant position in Netflix Inc. This move comes after a previous exit, signaling a renewed conviction in the streaming giant's prospects. Pershing Square has acquired stakes in five other undisclosed stocks over the past six months, indicating a broader strategic shift or rebalancing within Ackman's portfolio. The re-investment in Netflix suggests Ackman believes the company's valuation has become attractive, potentially driven by anticipated subscriber growth, content strategy adjustments, or improved profitability metrics. Investors will monitor Netflix's upcoming earnings reports for confirmation of these positive trends.
via Markets Gazette