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NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Infravalorada
Consumer CyclicalFootwear & AccessoriesUnited States

Fundamental

64

Precio

$35.80

Capitalización Bursátil

$53.39B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Nike designs, markets and sells athletic footwear, apparel and equipment worldwide under the Nike and Converse brands. It owns no factories: production is contracted to independent manufacturers, mostly in Vietnam, Indonesia and China, while Nike keeps design, marketing and distribution in house. Products reach customers through wholesale partners — department stores, sporting goods chains, franchisees — and through Nike's own stores and digital channels.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue comes from selling physical goods, split between wholesale shipments to retail partners and direct sales through Nike-owned stores and e-commerce (Nike Direct). Margins depend on how much of the mix runs through the higher-margin direct channel versus wholesale, and on how much of a premium the brand can charge over competing products — a premium built on marketing spend, athlete endorsement contracts and continuous product turnover.

Ingresos por segmento

North America44.2%

The largest single market, covering the United States and Canada across both wholesale and Nike Direct.

Europe, Middle East & Africa27.1%

Second-largest region, spanning a wide range of income levels and football-driven demand.

Asia Pacific & Latin America13.5%

A wide grouping of developed and emerging markets outside the other three regions.

Greater China12.6%

China, Hong Kong and Taiwan; the region with the sharpest recent revenue decline as local competitors gain ground.

Converse2.5%

A separate footwear brand run as its own operating segment, much smaller than the core Nike business.

Ventaja competitiva

Marca · Estrecha

Decades of marketing spend and athlete endorsements built a brand that commands a price premium and secures prime shelf space with retailers worldwide. That advantage is real but no longer unchallenged: revenue has declined for two straight fiscal years as Adidas, On, Hoka and other rivals take share, particularly in China.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Footwear and apparel are discretionary purchases: households cut back when budgets tighten, and wholesale partners cut orders further in anticipation. Demand also swings with fashion cycles and with how fresh Nike's product line looks against competitors, not only with the economy.

Riesgos clave

  • Manufacturing concentrated in a few countries — Nike owns no factories and depends on independent contract manufacturers concentrated in Vietnam, Indonesia and China; disruption at a handful of them affects supply broadly.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company is exposed to tariffs, import duties and other protectionist measures on goods manufactured abroad and sold in the United States and elsewhere.
  • Intense competition — The athletic footwear and apparel market includes numerous established and emerging brands competing on price, innovation and marketing reach.
  • Currency and commodity volatility — A global business collects revenue and pays costs in many currencies and raw material prices, so exchange-rate and commodity swings move reported results.
  • Counterfeiting and IP infringement — The company periodically discovers counterfeit products and infringement of its trademarks and designs, which can dilute the brand and divert sales.

Concentración de clientes

No single customer reaches 10% of consolidated revenue, but the top three wholesale customers account for about 29% of U.S. sales and the top three non-U.S. customers for about 16% of international sales, so a handful of large retail chains still matter disproportionately.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the Nike brand remains the strongest in the industry, that a renewed focus on sport-led product innovation and tighter wholesale discipline can rebuild margins, and that the recent share losses to smaller rivals are a cyclical stumble rather than a structural decline.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that two consecutive years of revenue decline, sharpest in China, show a brand losing relevance to newer competitors, that tariffs on goods made in Vietnam, Indonesia and China compress margins further, and that rebuilding wholesale relationships takes years even if the product turnaround works.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 18.2Score: 66Market cap: $24.90B

The closest global rival to NIKE across performance footwear, sportswear apparel and football/basketball sponsorships, sold to the same consumers through the same wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels.

P/E: 11.1Score: 73Market cap: $10.69B

Through the HOKA brand it takes share from NIKE in premium performance running shoes sold in the same specialty run and athletic retailers.

PUMA SEPUM

Competes for the same sport-performance and sport-lifestyle customer in football, running and training, and for the same athlete and team sponsorships in Europe and the Americas.

On Holding AGONON

A fast-growing premium running and training brand competing for the same performance-footwear buyer and increasingly for the same shelf space in North America and Europe.

ANTA Sports Products Limited (安踏体育用品有限公司)2020.HK

The leading domestic sportswear group in Greater China, where it competes head-on with NIKE for the same running, basketball and outdoor consumers.

New Balance Athletics, Inc.Not tracked

Privately held US brand competing with NIKE in running and lifestyle sneakers across the same retail doors in North America, Europe and Asia.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$46.40B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/5/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$3.11B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/5/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$2.18B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$14.87B

Pasivo Total

$23.55B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.96

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

2.24

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Caso generalInfravalorado

Valor Justo

$54.58

Precio Actual

$35.80

Margen de Seguridad

+34.4%

Rango de Valor Justo

$35.48 - $73.69

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$47.32
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):$98.54
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$44.93
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:$15.71
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$19.58
P/B justificado:$28.55
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):$26.76
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:$72.11
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:$53.63
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (18B / 25H / 3S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+50.15%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

16.86

ROE

20.9%

Ratio P/B

2.04

P/FCF

13.86

Margen Bruto

42.9%

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.5%

ROIC − WACC

-

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (15)

  • Gross Margin 42.9%
  • P/FCF 13.86
  • P/B Ratio 2.04
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 22.0%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 47.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.92
  • Share Dilution -0.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Fallido (8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -3.16%
  • Price CAGR -3.38%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 6.7% vs 7.0%

No disponible (5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

0.92

Moderada: cierta brecha entre beneficios y efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-0.7%

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Mark G. ParkerExecutive Chairman69
Mr. Elliott J. HillCEO, President & Director61
Mr. Venkatesh AlagirisamyExecutive VP & COO48
Mr. Robert LeinwandEVP & Chief Legal Officer-
Ms. Treasure HeinleExecutive VP and Chief Human Resources & People Officer-
Mr. Matthew FriendAdvisor47
Mr. Philip H. KnightCo-Founder & Chairman Emeritus87
Mr. David M. DentonExecutive VP, CFO, Interim Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer60
Mr. Michael GondaEVP & Chief Communications and Strategy Officer-
Ms. Nicole Hubbard GrahamExecutive VP & Chief Marketing Officer-

Riesgo de Auditoría

9

Riesgo del Consejo

9

Riesgo de Compensación

10

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

10

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-07-15

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-04-01

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-09-16

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for NKE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 22h agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Nike potrebbero scendere dopo utili Q1: i dettagli

    Nike is facing significant investor disappointment heading into its Q1 2026 earnings report on October 1st. The consensus forecast anticipates earnings per share of $0.44 on revenues of $11.34 billion, both representing year-over-year declines. Year-to-date, Nike shares have plummeted by 80%. Options market data indicates a prevailing sentiment that the stock is likely to fall further post-earnings, despite ongoing turnaround efforts led by CEO Elliott Hill. The put-to-call ratio on expiring options suggests a bearish outlook among traders.

  • 3d agoNEUTRAL
    Nike vicino al minimo in 12 anni: gli utili potrebbero cambiare tutto

    Nike shares are trading near a 12-year low, closing Friday at $35.75, down 44% year-to-date. Bank of America recently warned that a recovery might take longer than anticipated. The company is set to report its fiscal first-quarter results after market close on Thursday. Wall Street analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $0.44 on revenues of $11.35 billion. Investors will be closely watching CEO Elliott Hill's commentary on distribution strategies and any indications of a turnaround to gauge the stock's future direction.

  • 6d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike: il titolo non ha ancora toccato il fondo, avverte un'analista

    Nike Inc. (NKE) shares faced renewed pressure following a downgrade by Bank of America analyst Lorraine Hutchinson to 'underperform'. Hutchinson also slashed her price target for NKE to $30, indicating a potential 15% downside from current levels. This downgrade is particularly impactful as Nike stock has already been a significant disappointment for investors in 2026, trading down approximately 45% from its yearly high. The bearish outlook stems from expectations of continued revenue weakness across key athletic footwear segments.

  • 6d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike’s stock is one of the worst in the S&P 500 — and BofA says it’s not done sliding

    Nike's stock has been among the worst performers in the S&P 500, and Bank of America analysts predict further declines. Their latest report forecasts continued falling sales through May, contradicting earlier expectations of a "spring inflection." This revised outlook suggests ongoing challenges for the sportswear giant, potentially impacting its market share and profitability. Investors are advised to monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance for signs of a turnaround strategy or further headwinds.

  • 13d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike sottotono a Wall Street, Mbappé diventa testimonial della svizzera On

    Nike Inc. shares experienced a decline of over 2% on Wall Street following the announcement that Swiss competitor On has signed French football star Kylian Mbappé as a testimonial. Mbappé was previously associated with Nike. This move by On signals an aggressive expansion strategy, potentially impacting Nike's market share and brand appeal, particularly among younger demographics. Investors are watching closely to see how Nike responds to this competitive challenge and if it affects future sales projections.

  • 14d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike bets on a millennial Arnault heir after bleeding $200 billion and being ousted from the S&P 100

    Nike has appointed Alexandre Arnault to its board of directors, a move that comes as the sportswear giant faces significant challenges. The company has seen its market value plummet by approximately $200 billion and was recently removed from the S&P 100 index. Arnault, known for his role in revitalizing luxury brands like Rimowa and Tiffany & Co., joins Nike as it struggles to reignite growth and maintain its cultural relevance among consumers, particularly millennials. Investors will be watching closely to see if this strategic addition can help reverse Nike's recent performance decline.

  • 23d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike exits the S&P 100 after 18 years and a $200 billion market-cap wipeout

    Nike Inc. is set to be removed from the S&P 100 index, a move that follows an 18-year tenure and a significant market capitalization decline of approximately $200 billion. This exclusion, effective September 21st, marks a stark reversal for the sportswear giant, which has experienced a nearly 80% stock price slump over the past five years. The primary driver cited for this prolonged downturn is weakness in the Chinese market, impacting Nike's global performance and investor sentiment. The replacement by a technology company in the S&P 100 underscores the shifting market dynamics and challenges faced by traditional consumer brands.

  • 23d agoNEUTRAL
    From Nike to Starbucks, Tariff Relief for Stocks Is Fleeting

    Nike and Starbucks, among other major US retailers and manufacturers, are experiencing a fleeting benefit from the recent tariff relief implemented by the Trump administration. While this policy shift offers some respite from import duties, the market reaction suggests the positive impact on share prices is minimal. This is largely attributed to the fact that the cumulative losses incurred by these companies during the period of high tariffs significantly outweigh the current gains from their reduction. Investors are likely to remain cautious, awaiting more substantial and sustained positive developments.

  • 24d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike fuori dall'S&P 100; titolo al minimo in 12 anni — cosa affligge NKE?

    Nike Inc. is set to be removed from the S&P 100 index, a move that underscores the sportswear giant's significant market value decline over recent years. The exclusion, effective September 21st, follows an extended period of slowing growth and intensified competition. While Nike will remain in the broader S&P 500, its departure from the S&P 100 signals a notable shift in its market standing. Investors should note this as a bearish indicator reflecting ongoing challenges in Nike's business performance and competitive positioning.

via Markets Gazette