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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Infravalorada
Financial ServicesCredit ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

82

Precio

$53.11

Capitalización Bursátil

$45.34B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

PayPal lets people and businesses send and accept money online without sharing bank details, through the PayPal wallet, Venmo for peer-to-peer transfers, and Braintree, which lets merchants build PayPal's checkout directly into their own apps and websites. It sits between a buyer's bank or card and a merchant, verifying identity and guaranteeing the payment goes through, which is why merchants pay to use it even though direct card processing can be cheaper.

Cómo genera ingresos

Transaction revenue, the large majority of the total, is a fee charged as a percentage of each payment processed, plus fixed amounts for currency conversion and cross-border transfers, so it scales directly with the dollar value flowing through PayPal's network. The rest, revenue from other value-added services, comes from interest on loans PayPal extends to consumers and merchants, interest earned on customer balances held with PayPal, and referral or subscription fees — income that does not require a transaction to occur.

Ingresos por segmento

Transaction Revenue90%

Fees earned as a percentage of payment volume processed through PayPal, Venmo and Braintree, plus currency conversion and cross-border charges.

Other Value Added Services10%

Interest on consumer and merchant credit products, interest on customer balances, and partnership, subscription and referral fees not tied to a transaction.

Ventaja competitiva

Efectos de red · Estrecha

PayPal benefits from a two-sided network: more merchants who accept it make it more useful for consumers, and more consumers who use it make it more valuable for merchants to offer. But that effect has weakened as card networks, Apple Pay and dedicated checkout providers like Stripe have become just as widely accepted, eroding PayPal's early advantage.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Transaction revenue tracks the overall volume of e-commerce and digital payments, which has grown steadily but is still tied to consumer spending and can slow when shoppers pull back in a weaker economy. Interest income on loans and customer balances adds a second, rate-sensitive driver that moves with monetary policy rather than with commerce itself.

Riesgos clave

  • Intensifying payments competition — Apple Pay, Google Pay, card-network wallets and checkout specialists like Stripe and Adyen all compete for the same merchant and consumer transactions, pressuring PayPal's take rate and market share.
  • Sensitivity to interest rates — A meaningful part of other value-added services revenue comes from interest income, so lower rates directly reduce this part of revenue independent of how much payment volume PayPal processes.
  • Regulatory exposure across many jurisdictions — PayPal operates as a money transmitter and lender across dozens of countries, each with its own consumer-protection, anti-money-laundering and payments regulation that can change and raise compliance costs.
  • Credit risk on consumer and merchant lending — PayPal extends credit directly to consumers and merchants through products like Buy Now Pay Later and working-capital loans, exposing it to losses if borrowers do not repay.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that PayPal's wallet, Venmo and Braintree together still process an enormous and growing volume of e-commerce, that a large base of stored customer balances and credit products gives it a second revenue stream beyond simple payment fees, and that recent efforts to modernize checkout can defend its take rate against newer competitors.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that checkout has become commoditized, with Apple Pay and card-network wallets now just as convenient as the PayPal button that built the company, that Venmo and Braintree still monetize below the core PayPal brand's rate, and that interest income leaves a chunk of revenue exposed to rate cuts outside management's control.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$33.73B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/3/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$5.06B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/3/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$5.56B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$20.26B

Pasivo Total

$59.92B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.26

Cobertura de Intereses

13.41

Deuda/EBITDA

1.43

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Caso generalInfravalorado

Valor Justo

$73.53

Precio Actual

$53.11

Margen de Seguridad

+27.8%

Rango de Valor Justo

$47.80 - $99.27

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$57.07
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):$115.41
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$49.30
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:$121.87
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$44.36
P/B justificado:$56.18
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):$1.77
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:$112.39
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:$64.63
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:$101.25
Consenso de Analistas:Mantener (14B / 35H / 3S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+5.92%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

9.86

ROE

25.8%

Ratio P/B

2.31

P/FCF

8.42

Margen Bruto

-

ROIC

14.5%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

14.5%

WACC

10.4%

ROIC − WACC

+4.0 pp

El ROIC supera el coste del capital: la empresa está creando valor para los accionistas.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.51%
  • ROIC 14.5%
  • P/FCF 8.42
  • P/B Ratio 2.31
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 24.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 1.03
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
  • Share Dilution -6.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.0% vs 14.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Fallido (5)

  • Price CAGR 2.90%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Analyst Consensus 27% Buy

No disponible (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Solidez financiera fuerte

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.26

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-6.9%

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Enrique J. LoresPresident, CEO & Director59
Ms. Jamie S. MillerChief Financial & Operating Officer and Executive VP56
Mr. Frank KellerPresident of Checkout Solutions & PayPal51
Ms. Suzan Bulyaba KereerePresident of Global Markets59
Mr. Christopher NataliSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer47
Mr. Srinivasan VenkatesanChief Technology Officer54
Mr. Steven Eric WinokerChief Investor Relations Officer-
Mr. Bimal PatelChief Legal Officer-
Ms. Amy BonitatibusChief Corporate Affairs & Communications Officer-
Mr. Antonio J. LucioChief Marketing & Corporate Affairs Officer66

Riesgo de Auditoría

1

Riesgo del Consejo

4

Riesgo de Compensación

3

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

6

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-02-03

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-07-28

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-07-28

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PYPL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/28/2026NEGATIVE
    PayPal’s stock slides as a takeover bid is said to fall through. What’s next for the company?

    PayPal's stock experienced a significant decline following reports that a potential takeover bid has failed to materialize. This news removes a key catalyst that had been supporting the stock price in recent months. Investors had been anticipating a potential acquisition as a catalyst for a turnaround, but the failure of this bid leaves PayPal facing the challenge of executing its strategic initiatives independently. The company must now demonstrate its ability to drive growth and improve profitability through its own operational efforts, which introduces a higher degree of uncertainty for shareholders.

  • 8/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Nasdaq-100® Inside the Index: PayPal Holdings (PYPL)

    PayPal Holdings (PYPL), a prominent member of the Nasdaq-100®, is highlighted for its extensive digital payments network spanning over 200 countries. The analysis delves into its dual-sided payment system, the expansion of its Venmo platform, and strategic initiatives in AI-driven commerce, lending, and advertising. These efforts aim to diversify revenue streams beyond conventional payment processing, signaling a focus on innovation and future growth avenues for the company.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    PayPal delivers an earnings beat — and suggests it’s not against a merger deal

    PayPal Holdings Inc. announced an earnings beat, exceeding analyst expectations for the latest fiscal quarter. The company's CEO indicated a willingness to explore strategic alternatives, including potential merger or acquisition discussions, if they present a clear path to superior shareholder value compared to their current strategy. This dual announcement of strong operational performance and openness to significant strategic shifts has generated positive sentiment among investors, suggesting potential upside catalysts for the stock.

  • 7/28/2026NEUTRAL
    PayPal expands stablecoin push as crypto assets factor into Q2 results

    PayPal reported Q2 revenue of $8.68 billion, meeting analyst expectations. The company highlighted growth in its stablecoin initiatives and the integration of AI-driven payment tools. A notable crypto-related earnings adjustment of $81 million was also disclosed. While the stablecoin expansion signals innovation and potential future revenue streams, the crypto adjustment introduces a degree of uncertainty. Investors will monitor the long-term impact of these digital asset strategies on profitability and overall business performance.

via Markets Gazette