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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Valor Justo
Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersUnited States

Fundamental

49

Precio

$373.08

Capitalización Bursátil

$1.49T

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Tesla designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles directly to buyers, without a franchised dealer network, and builds its own battery cells at vertically integrated factories in the US, China and Germany. Alongside cars it sells energy-storage batteries and solar equipment to homes and utilities, and is pushing into new, unproven lines: paid driving-assistance software, a robotaxi service, and Optimus, a humanoid robot still in early development.

Cómo genera ingresos

Tesla earns most of its money selling vehicles outright, recognizing revenue on delivery rather than through a dealer network, which keeps a larger slice of the sale price but pushes service, financing and inventory risk onto the company itself. It also sells high-margin regulatory emissions credits to other automakers who need them to meet clean-air rules. A growing services line covers Supercharging, insurance and paid driving-assistance software subscriptions.

Ingresos por segmento

Automotive73.32%

Sales and leases of electric vehicles, plus automotive regulatory credits sold to other manufacturers.

Energy Generation and Storage13.47%

Megapack and Powerwall battery systems sold to utilities and homeowners, plus solar panels and roofing.

Services and Other13.21%

Used-car sales, paid Supercharging, non-warranty maintenance, insurance and parts and merchandise sales.

Ventaja competitiva

Ventaja de costes · Estrecha

Tesla builds its own battery cells and runs vertically integrated Gigafactories, which has kept its unit production costs below most legacy automakers and funded the largest fast-charging network in North America. But Chinese manufacturers such as BYD have matched or undercut Tesla's costs, so the advantage is narrowing rather than widening as competition intensifies.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Vehicle purchases are large, discretionary, and sensitive to interest rates, financing costs and government incentives, all of which can shift abruptly with policy changes. Demand has swung sharply in several markets as EV tax credits and subsidies were reduced or removed, showing how much of Tesla's volume depends on conditions outside its control.

Riesgos clave

  • Intensifying EV competition — Chinese manufacturers and legacy automakers are launching competitive electric vehicles at lower prices, eroding the cost and technology lead Tesla built in its early years.
  • Supplier and manufacturing dependence — Tesla relies on suppliers, including single-source ones, for critical components; a shortage or disruption at any of them can directly delay production and deliveries.
  • Dependence on Elon Musk — Tesla's strategy, product direction and public profile are closely tied to Elon Musk, who also runs several other companies; his divided attention or departure would be a material loss for Tesla.
  • Unproven new product lines — Robotaxi services, full self-driving software and the Optimus robot are still in early, nascent stages, face significant technical and regulatory hurdles, and compete against well-funded rivals.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Tesla's lead in vertical integration and self-driving software will eventually translate into higher-margin businesses such as robotaxis and robots, and that its Supercharger network and brand keep customers loyal even as EV competition grows.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that Chinese and legacy competitors are closing the EV cost gap faster than the new robotaxi and robot businesses can generate revenue, and that much of the company's valuation rests on projects that remain unproven.

Datos por segmento del ejercicio fiscal 2025Fuentes: Tesla, Inc. — Form 10-K, fiscal year 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$103.62B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$3.80B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$6.22B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$82.14B

Pasivo Total

$54.94B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.94

Cobertura de Intereses

13.09

Deuda/EBITDA

1.50

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

CíclicaValoración Justa

Valor Justo

$396.62

Precio Actual

$373.08

Margen de Seguridad

+5.9%

Rango de Valor Justo

$376.79 - $416.45

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$396.62
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$6.91
P/B justificado:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (30B / 25H / 6S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-36.43%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

327.88

ROE

4.6%

Ratio P/B

16.10

P/FCF

242.72

Margen Bruto

18.9%

ROIC

3.0%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

3.0%

WACC

14.0%

ROIC − WACC

-10.9 pp

El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 38.88%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.91
  • Share Dilution 1.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Fallido (13)

  • ROIC 3.1%
  • Gross Margin 18.9%
  • P/FCF 242.72
  • P/B Ratio 16.10
  • Operating Margin 4.2%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 4.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 49% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -7.0%
  • PEG Ratio 10.29
  • Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 6.3%

No disponible (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

4.91

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

1.1%

El número de acciones es estable

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Elon R. MuskCo-Founder, Technoking of Tesla, CEO & Director54
Mr. Vaibhav TanejaChief Financial Officer47
Mr. Xiaotong ZhuSenior Vice President of APAC & Global Vehicle Manufacturing45
Travis AxelrodHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Brandon EhrhartGeneral Counsel & Corporate Secretary-
Mr. Franz von HolzhausenChief Designer-
Ms. Roxanne Inskip-KayeHead of Operations - Electric Vehicle Business-
Mr. John WalkerVice President of Sales - North America62
Mr. Rodney D. Westmoreland Jr.Director of Construction Management-
Mr. Lars MoravyVice President of Vehicle Engineering-

Riesgo de Auditoría

4

Riesgo del Consejo

10

Riesgo de Compensación

10

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

9

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-01-29

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-07-23

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-10-02

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TSLA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 40m agoPOSITIVE
    Tesla tonica a Wall Street dopo consegne terzo trimestre oltre le attese

    Tesla Inc. shares surged on Wall Street following the release of its third-quarter 2026 delivery figures. The electric vehicle manufacturer, based in Austin, Texas, reported production of 464,391 vehicles and approximately 22,000 deliveries that exceeded market expectations. This positive delivery report is a key indicator of demand and operational efficiency, often leading to upward revisions in analyst price targets and increased investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

  • 1d agoNEGATIVE
    Tesla’s delivery report is just around the corner. Expect a sales drop.

    Tesla's upcoming delivery report is anticipated to reveal a sales drop, reflecting waning investor interest in the company's EV business. While the exact figures are yet to be released, the expectation of a decline suggests potential headwinds for the electric vehicle giant. This news could impact investor sentiment and lead to a reassessment of Tesla's valuation, especially if the drop is more significant than currently priced in by the market. Investors will be closely watching for any commentary on future production and demand drivers.

  • 3d agoNEUTRAL
    Tesla Lines Up $30 Billion to Borrow With Spending on Rise

    Tesla Inc. has secured $30 billion in new loans and credit facilities, signaling an increased capital expenditure strategy. The funds are earmarked for significant investments in artificial intelligence and robotics initiatives, suggesting a pivot or expansion beyond its core electric vehicle manufacturing. While securing substantial financing can be seen as a positive step for growth, the increased borrowing and investment focus may also introduce higher financial leverage and execution risk. Investors will be watching closely to see if these AI and robotics ventures can deliver future returns commensurate with the capital deployed.

  • 4d agoNEUTRAL
    Azioni Tesla: perché il prossimo report sulle consegne potrebbe contare poco

    Tesla is set for a pivotal week with the unveiling of its next-generation Roadster and its Q3 delivery report. Despite the historical significance of delivery numbers, Wall Street's focus has shifted to high-margin technological catalysts, including the Roadster, robotaxi network, and Physical AI initiatives. While the stock dipped 3% on Monday ahead of the delivery report, it has recovered approximately 20% from its year-to-date low. This suggests that while delivery figures are a factor, future growth drivers are currently taking precedence in market sentiment.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Previsioni su Tesla: principali catalizzatori per le azioni TSLA questa settimana

    Tesla shares have experienced recent downward pressure, trading at $372 after a peak of $384 last week, amid investor concerns about its business operations. Key catalysts this week include the release of Q3 delivery data, which is crucial for assessing the company's performance. Expectations are for a decline in Q3 deliveries compared to the previous quarter. Goldman Sachs notably reduced its delivery target from 490,000 to 435,000 units, signaling potential headwinds. Investors will scrutinize these figures for insights into Tesla's growth trajectory and operational efficiency.

via Markets Gazette