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Vistra Corp (VST)

Sobrevalorada
UtilitiesUtilities - Independent Power ProducersUnited States

Fundamental

60

Precio

$138.35

Capitalización Bursátil

$46.32B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$18.98B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$2.22B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$1.32B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$5.10B

Pasivo Total

$36.44B

Ratio de Liquidez

0.97

Cobertura de Intereses

3.15

Deuda/EBITDA

5.03

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Utility reguladaSobrevalorado

Valor Justo

$104.19

Precio Actual

$138.35

Margen de Seguridad

-32.8%

Rango de Valor Justo

$67.72 - $140.65

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$217.58
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):$144.30
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$81.94
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$69.62
P/B justificado:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):$18.86
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (22B / 2H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-55.13%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

23.33

ROE

18.5%

Ratio P/B

8.47

P/FCF

20.59

Margen Bruto

-

ROIC

8.8%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

8.8%

WACC

9.9%

ROIC − WACC

-1.1 pp

El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 25.35%
  • ROIC 8.8%
  • P/FCF 20.59
  • Operating Margin 18.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 41.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 92% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.31
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.31

Fallido (10)

  • P/B Ratio 8.47
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -9.4%
  • Share Dilution 14.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 11.7% vs 14.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

No disponible (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

2.31

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

14.0%

Emitiendo nuevas acciones, diluyendo la participación

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. James A. Burke CPAPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Kristopher E. MoldovanExecutive VP & CFO53
Ms. Stephanie Zapata MooreExecutive VP, General Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer52
Ms. Stacey H. Dore J.D.Chief Strategy and Sustainability Officer & Executive VP of Public Affairs52
Mr. Scott A. HudsonExecutive VP & President of Retail61
Ms. Margaret M. MontemayorSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller47
Mr. Tom FarrahSenior VP & CIO-
Mr. Eric Micek C.F.A.Vice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Amanda DonCarlosSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Ms. Sano BlockerSenior Vice President of Government Affairs-

Riesgo de Auditoría

4

Riesgo del Consejo

1

Riesgo de Compensación

2

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

5

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-02-27

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-08-10

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-09-24

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for VST, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/18/2026NEUTRAL
    Cramer Gives Vistra His Blessing, Backs Stryker, Steers Clear Of AI-Exposed FICO

    Jim Cramer has given his endorsement to Vistra Corp., signaling a positive outlook for the energy company. However, Cramer expressed significant caution regarding Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO), citing concerns over its exposure to Artificial Intelligence risks. He explicitly stated his intention to avoid FICO due to these perceived vulnerabilities. While Vistra receives a bullish call, the commentary on FICO suggests potential headwinds for companies heavily reliant on AI integration, impacting investor sentiment for those specific names.

  • 6/9/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Vistra 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Vistra Energy Corp. (VST) five years ago would have grown to approximately $780 by June 2026. This represents a substantial return on investment, significantly outperforming broader market indices over the same period. The company's performance is attributed to its strategic operations in the energy sector, including power generation and retail electricity services. Investors considering Vistra should analyze its current valuation, future growth prospects, and the competitive landscape within the evolving energy market.

  • 4/14/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Vistra 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Vistra Energy Corp. five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance and growth trajectory during that period. While specific figures are not provided in the title, the implication of substantial value appreciation suggests robust operational execution, strategic acquisitions, or favorable market conditions benefiting the energy sector. Investors considering Vistra should analyze its recent financial reports and future outlook to understand the drivers behind this historical performance and its potential for continued success.

  • 3/6/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $100 In Vistra Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Vistra Corp. (VST) five years ago would have yielded a significant return, demonstrating strong performance for shareholders. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the implication of a substantial increase suggests Vistra has outperformed market expectations during this period. This historical performance could indicate robust operational efficiency, strategic growth initiatives, or favorable market conditions benefiting the company's sector. Investors considering Vistra should note this historical trend as a potential indicator of future value creation, though past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Vistra (VST) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Vistra Corp. has announced the release of its Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While this is a routine event for publicly traded companies, the absence of specific content details from the call prevents in-depth analysis. Investors typically look to these documents to assess the company's financial performance, future outlook, and management commentary on strategies and challenges. Without this information, the market awaits concrete data to form judgments on the stock's trajectory. The transcript serves as a benchmark for transparency, but its market impact hinges on the disclosed figures and statements.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Preview: Vistra's Earnings

    The financial community is gearing up for the upcoming release of Vistra Corp.'s quarterly earnings, a key event scheduled for February 25, 2026. Investors will closely scrutinize the data to assess the company's financial health and its future trajectory within the energy sector. Focus will not only be on revenue and earnings per share but also on the guidance provided by management regarding the outlook for the coming quarters and the impact of market dynamics on operations. Past performance and analyst expectations will serve as benchmarks for interpreting the results, with any significant deviation potentially triggering price movements. This announcement represents a crucial moment for those holding or considering investing in Vistra, offering fundamental insights for portfolio decisions.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Should You Buy Vistra Stock While It's Below $200 -- Or Wait for a Better Yield?

    Vistra Corp is positioning itself as an attractive option for income-seeking investors. As a leading energy producer, the company not only has a solid market position but also stands out for its rapidly growing dividend policy, a strong signal of financial health and commitment to shareholders. The article raises a strategic point for investors: whether to take advantage of the current price, seen as a potential psychological threshold, to enter the stock, or to wait for an even higher dividend yield. This analysis suggests that Vistra's profile is particularly well-suited for income-oriented portfolios, combining the stability of the energy sector with the prospect of increasing cash flows for shareholders. The growing dividend is a key factor that could attract new capital and support the stock's valuation in the medium to long term.

via Markets Gazette