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Zillow Group, Inc. (Z)

Sobrevalorada
Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationUnited States

Fundamental

50

Precio

$27.13

Capitalización Bursátil

$6.33B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Zillow runs the most-visited real estate websites and apps in the United States — Zillow, Trulia, StreetEasy and HotPads — where people browse home listings, contact agents, and search for apartments to rent. It does not buy or sell homes itself: it exited that business in 2021 after losing money on it. Instead it earns money from three activities built around that audience: selling leads and advertising to real estate agents, helping landlords list and screen renters, and originating mortgages for buyers who found their home through the site.

Cómo genera ingresos

Most revenue comes from real estate agents who pay for placement and leads under the Premier Agent program, priced by lead or subscription rather than tied to any single home sale. Rentals revenue comes from landlords paying to list multifamily units and from renters paying application and screening fees. Mortgages revenue is the origination fee Zillow Home Loans earns when it funds a purchase loan for a buyer who found the property through Zillow. None of the three lines requires Zillow to own the property changing hands.

Ingresos por segmento

Residential (For Sale)66%

Advertising and lead-generation services sold to real estate agents seeking visibility on Zillow's listings — still the core of the business.

Rentals24.4%

Listing fees paid by multifamily landlords plus application and screening fees paid by renters — the fastest-growing line.

Mortgages7.7%

Origination fees earned when Zillow Home Loans funds a purchase loan for a buyer who found the home through Zillow.

Other1.9%

Smaller lines, including New Construction marketplace advertising, that do not fit the three main segments.

Ventaja competitiva

Efectos de red · Estrecha

Zillow's audience of home shoppers is the largest of any US real estate site, which is what draws agents to pay for leads — a smaller rival cannot offer the same reach. The advantage stays narrow because multiple listing services feed the same property data to Zillow, Redfin and Realtor.com alike, so an agent can shift ad spend between them at little cost.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

The advertising revenue that still dominates the business tracks how many homes change hands and how much agents are willing to spend chasing buyers, both of which fall when mortgage rates rise and existing-home sales slow. Rentals and mortgages add some counterweight, since renters keep moving even when buyers wait, but the largest segment still rises and falls with the housing transaction cycle.

Riesgos clave

  • Real estate commission structure in flux — Industry-wide settlements over how buyer agents are paid have changed since 2024 and the rules are still shifting; Zillow's advertising revenue depends on agents having commission-funded budgets to spend on leads.
  • Sensitivity to mortgage rates and transaction volume — Home sales, and the agent spending that funds Zillow's advertising business, fall when mortgage rates rise or affordability worsens, a cycle largely outside the company's control.
  • Competition for agent advertising budgets — Realtor.com, Redfin, and agents' own direct marketing all compete for the same advertising dollars, and an agent can redirect spend elsewhere with little switching cost.
  • New mortgage lending business carries credit and rate risk — Zillow Home Loans funds loans directly, exposing the company to interest-rate and credit risk it did not carry when it only referred buyers to outside lenders.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Zillow's audience lead is durable, that Rentals and Mortgages are diversifying revenue away from pure transaction advertising, and that a return to more normal home-sale volumes would flow straight through to the dominant Residential segment.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that changes to buyer-agent commissions shrink the budgets agents have to spend on leads, that rivals can reach the same audience through the same MLS data, and that a new mortgage-lending business adds balance-sheet risk to what was once a pure advertising model.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$2.81B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$55M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$235M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$4.88B

Pasivo Total

$801M

Ratio de Liquidez

1.92

Cobertura de Intereses

0.67

Deuda/EBITDA

2.43

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Caso generalSobrevalorado

Valor Justo

$21.76

Precio Actual

$27.13

Margen de Seguridad

-24.7%

Rango de Valor Justo

$14.14 - $29.37

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$46.00
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$2.60
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:$3.74
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$0.27
P/B justificado:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:$25.34
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (17B / 13H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+13.14%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

123.32

ROE

0.5%

Ratio P/B

1.12

P/FCF

18.64

Margen Bruto

72.9%

ROIC

0.2%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

0.2%

WACC

14.6%

ROIC − WACC

-14.4 pp

El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 72.9%
  • P/FCF 18.64
  • P/B Ratio 1.12
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 7.05
  • Net Margin Trend 2.0% vs -2.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Fallido (12)

  • Price CAGR -2.38%
  • ROIC 0.2%
  • Operating Margin 0.4%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 1.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -5.0%
  • Share Dilution 9.5%

No disponible (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Solidez financiera fuerte

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

7.05

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

9.5%

Emitiendo nuevas acciones, diluyendo la participación

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Richard N. BartonCo-Founder & Co-Executive Chair57
Mr. Lloyd D. FrinkCo-Founder, Co-Executive Chairman & President60
Mr. Jeremy WacksmanCEO & Director48
Mr. Jeremy HofmannCOO & CFO39
Mr. David A. BeitelChief Technology Officer55
Mr. Bradley Allen BerningVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Cassandra KnightChief Legal & Policy Officer55
Mr. Dan SpauldingChief People Officer48
Mr. Errol G. SamuelsonChief Industry Development Officer59

Riesgo de Auditoría

3

Riesgo del Consejo

9

Riesgo de Compensación

10

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

10

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-02-11

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-08-05

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-09-17

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for Z, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 15d agoNEGATIVE
    Zillow Loses Antitrust Battle Over Chicago Area Listing Feed

    Zillow Group Inc. has lost a crucial antitrust legal battle in Illinois, failing to secure access to the Chicago area's largest real estate listing feed. This ruling prevents Zillow from obtaining proprietary data from the provider, potentially impacting its market intelligence and competitive positioning in the region. The decision could limit Zillow's ability to offer comprehensive and up-to-date property information, a core aspect of its business model. Investors will monitor Zillow's strategy to overcome this data access hurdle and its potential financial implications.

  • 8/5/2026POSITIVE
    Zillow’s Revenue Jumps as Rentals Offer ‘Bright Spot’

    Zillow Group Inc. reported a significant 18% year-over-year increase in second-quarter revenue, reaching $772 million. The company highlighted its rentals segment as a 'bright spot,' with rental agreements growing at a faster pace than home purchases on its platform. This robust performance in the rental market suggests Zillow's diversified business model is effectively capitalizing on current real estate trends, potentially signaling strong future growth and increased user engagement across its services. Investors may view this as a positive indicator of the company's adaptability and market position.

  • 7/8/2026NEGATIVE
    Zillow, Rocket to Face August FTC Trial Over Rental-Listing Deal

    Zillow Group Inc. and Rocket Companies Inc.'s Redfin will face an August trial concerning their rental-listing partnership, as a Virginia judge denied the FTC's early ruling request. This legal challenge introduces significant uncertainty for Zillow's strategic alliances and could impact its market position in the rental sector. Investors will be closely watching the proceedings for potential regulatory hurdles that might affect future business development and profitability.

  • 5/6/2026NEGATIVE
    Zillow Shares Drop As Profit Outlook Miss Overshadows Upbeat 1Q

    Zillow Group Inc. experienced an 8% decline in post-market trading following the release of its first-quarter results. While the company presented strong first-quarter performance, its projected profit outlook for the second quarter fell short of Wall Street's consensus estimates. This forward-looking guidance miss is a key concern for investors, suggesting potential headwinds or increased operational costs that could impact future profitability. The discrepancy between current performance and future expectations often leads to a reassessment of the stock's valuation.

  • 3/7/2026POSITIVE
    $30K Boost in Buying Power Reshapes Home Market for Aspiring Buyers

    A median-income U.S. household now possesses the buying power for a home valued at $331,483, an increase of $30,302 from the previous year. This marks the most favorable affordability condition since March 2022, according to Zillow Group Inc. The enhanced purchasing capacity for aspiring homeowners suggests a potential uptick in demand for real estate, which could positively influence related market segments and companies like Zillow, which are integral to the housing transaction process.

via Markets Gazette