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Zscaler, Inc. (ZS)

Sobrevalorada
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

38

Precio

$199.90

Capitalización Bursátil

$35.00B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Zscaler sells a cloud security service that inspects and secures internet and private application traffic for large organizations, in place of the on-premises hardware and VPNs that used to do the job. Instead of building a perimeter around a company's own data centre, all traffic is routed through Zscaler's cloud, where policies decide what a user, device or application is allowed to reach. It serves close to half of the Fortune 500 and roughly 40% of the Forbes Global 2000.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue comes almost entirely from subscriptions, typically sold as multi-year contracts covering a number of users or devices across a growing family of Zero Trust products bundled into pricing tiers. Existing customers are the main growth engine: once onboarded, Zscaler sells additional modules — data protection, AI security, digital experience monitoring — into the same account, so revenue expands with usage and product adoption even before a new customer is signed.

Ventaja competitiva

Costes de cambio · Estrecha

Once an enterprise routes its internet and private application traffic through Zscaler's cloud and retires its old hardware and VPN appliances, ripping it back out is operationally risky and slow, which supports high renewal rates. That said, the market still includes deeply entrenched appliance-based incumbents, and the company itself flags that habits built around legacy spending can slow how fast new customers move to its architecture.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Cybersecurity is one of the more resilient corners of IT spending because a breach is costly and boards treat it as a mandatory budget line, but Zscaler is still selling multi-year contracts to enterprises whose overall technology budgets can tighten in a downturn, and net losses mean the business has less room to absorb a slowdown in new bookings than an already profitable peer.

Riesgos clave

  • Still unprofitable, with large convertible debt — Zscaler has an accumulated deficit exceeding $1.1 billion and $1.725 billion of convertible notes due in 2028, meaning a slowdown in growth would test its ability to keep funding operations and refinance that debt.
  • Growth relies on renewals and upsell — Most revenue growth now comes from existing customers renewing and buying additional modules rather than from new customer contracts, so a dip in renewal rates would show up in results quickly.
  • Competing against entrenched appliance vendors — Established security vendors with large installed bases of on-premises hardware and deep customer relationships can slow enterprise adoption of Zscaler's cloud-only architecture even where it is technically superior.
  • Operational complexity in international markets — A large share of revenue comes from outside the US, adding exposure to local regulation, data-residency rules and operational complexity in markets such as India where the company has significant operations.

Concentración de clientes

No end customer accounted for more than 10% of revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023, so the exposure is to a broad enterprise IT spending cycle rather than to any single account.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that once an enterprise has rerouted its traffic through Zscaler's cloud and retired legacy hardware, switching back is disruptive enough to support durable renewal rates, and that cross-selling new Zero Trust modules into the existing customer base can keep growth strong even without adding many new logos.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that Zscaler is still unprofitable with over a billion dollars in convertible debt coming due, that entrenched appliance-based vendors can slow how fast enterprises adopt its architecture, and that growth increasingly depends on selling more to the same customers rather than expanding the customer base itself.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$3.35B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/7/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$-63M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/7/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$852M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$2.60B

Pasivo Total

$5.27B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.70

Cobertura de Intereses

11.30

Deuda/EBITDA

122.27

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Caso generalSobrevalorado

Valor Justo

$164.01

Precio Actual

$199.90

Margen de Seguridad

-21.9%

Rango de Valor Justo

$113.86 - $214.15

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$208.86
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):$107.94
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
P/B justificado:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:$8.38
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:$105.70
Consenso de Analistas:Compra Fuerte (45B / 12H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+6.47%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-2.4%

Ratio P/B

12.51

P/FCF

38.15

Margen Bruto

76.8%

ROIC

-2.1%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

-2.1%

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

-10.9 pp

El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (10)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 23.66%
  • Gross Margin 76.8%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 37.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 7.0%

Fallido (13)

  • ROIC -2.1%
  • P/FCF 38.15
  • P/B Ratio 12.51
  • Operating Margin -4.0%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -2.8%
  • Share Dilution 5.5%
  • Net Margin Trend -1.9% vs -1.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

No disponible (4)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

-

Baja calidad: investigue la contabilidad

Dilución de Acciones

5.5%

Emitiendo nuevas acciones, diluyendo la participación

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. Jagtar Singh ChaudhryCo-Founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board66
Mr. Mike RichChief Revenue Officer & President of Global Sales58
Mr. Kevin RubinChief Financial Officer50
Mr. Adam GellerChief Product Officer49
Mr. K. KailashFounder & Chief Architect-
Ms. Kimberly Anderson Watkins CFASVP of Investor Relations & Strategic Finance-
Mr. Robert S. Schlossman J.D.Chief Legal Officer & Secretary57
Ms. Natalia WodeckiGlobal Public Relations Director-
Mr. Sunil FridaChief Marketing Officer-
Mr. Brendan CastleChief People Officer-

Riesgo de Auditoría

1

Riesgo del Consejo

8

Riesgo de Compensación

6

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

8

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-09-03

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-05-26

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-09-24

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ZS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 14d agoPOSITIVE
    This is the only cybersecurity stock that can post big gains, according to one analyst

    Zscaler's stock has lagged the cybersecurity sector's performance year-to-date, but one analyst suggests it's poised for significant gains. The company's unique position within the cybersecurity landscape, particularly its cloud-native security platform, is highlighted as a key differentiator. Despite missing the broader sector rally, the analyst believes Zscaler's specific technological advantages and market strategy are set to drive substantial future growth. Investors are watching closely to see if Zscaler can capitalize on its potential and deliver the anticipated upside, potentially marking a turning point for the stock.

  • 5/31/2026NEGATIVE
    Zscaler, AutoZone, And Regencell Are Among Top 10 Large-Cap Losers Last Week (May 25-May 29): Are The Others In Your Portfolio?

    Zscaler Inc. was among the top 10 large-cap stock losers for the week of May 25-May 29, alongside AutoZone and PDD Holdings. The decline was attributed to factors including weak company guidance and downward revisions in analyst price targets. Declining energy prices also contributed to the broader market sentiment affecting these stocks. Investors are advised to monitor Zscaler's upcoming earnings reports and management commentary for signs of a potential turnaround or further headwinds.

  • 5/28/2026NEGATIVE
    Zscaler CEO: Anthropic's Mythos Has Added 'Fuel to the Fire'

    Zscaler's CEO, Jay Chaudry, commented on the cybersecurity landscape, mentioning Anthropic's Mythos as adding 'fuel to the fire.' However, this positive sentiment is overshadowed by the company's recent weak fourth-quarter revenue forecast, which fell below expectations. Furthermore, Evercore analysts downgraded the stock, citing a slowdown in net new customer acquisition. These factors suggest potential headwinds for Zscaler, despite the CEO's broader commentary on industry trends.

  • 5/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Zscaler’s stock sees record drop after investors are blindsided by a disappointing outlook

    Zscaler Inc. experienced a significant market reaction, with its stock plummeting over 31% following the release of a disappointing revenue outlook. This sharp decline indicates that investors were caught off guard by the company's forward-looking guidance, which failed to meet expectations. The cybersecurity firm's downbeat forecast suggests potential headwinds or a slowdown in growth, raising concerns about future performance and profitability. This event highlights the sensitivity of tech stocks to growth projections and could lead to a reassessment of the company's valuation by the market.

  • 5/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Zscaler Reports Q3 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript

    Zscaler Inc. has released its Q3 2026 earnings call transcript. While the transcript itself is informational, it does not contain specific financial results, forward-looking guidance, or immediate performance metrics that would allow for a definitive positive or negative signal. Investors will need to review the detailed transcript for specific operational updates, management commentary on market conditions, and any subtle indicators of future performance. The full earnings call details are crucial for a comprehensive understanding of the company's current standing and future prospects.

  • 5/26/2026NEGATIVE
    Zscaler Stock Tumbles On Q3 Earnings: Key Details From The Report

    Zscaler Inc. (NASDAQ:ZS) is set to report its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings after market close on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. While the company has a history of strong performance in cybersecurity, the market's reaction to this upcoming report is crucial for investors. The stock's performance hinges on key metrics such as revenue growth, billings, and future guidance, especially in the context of evolving cybersecurity threats and competitive pressures. Any deviation from analyst expectations could lead to significant price movements.

via Markets Gazette