source: https://youtu.be/C8657B4v_t8?si=XA9E9WbLr-KSmxsY title: Warren Buffett | Lecture | Georgetown University | September 19, 2013 transcription: Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome to the stage Lindsey Bruin's Ma, an MBA candidate at the McDonough School of Business, John J. DeGioia, president of Georgetown University, Brian T. Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, and Warren E. Buffett, chairman of the board and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. Welcome. Good evening. Thank you all for being here. I must say I am beyond excited to be here and that I am in complete awe of the leaders on this stage and before me. We have our own Dean Thomas of the McDonough School of Business, Georgetown president Jack DeGioia, chief executive officer of Bank of America, Mr. Brian Moynihan, and though he really needs no introduction, Mr. Warren Buffett. My name is Lindsey Bruin's Ma. I am a second-year MBA candidate at the Georgetown McDonough School of Business with a focus on global business strategy and cause marketing. Over a decade ago in 2003, I was fortunate to attend the international relations program here at uh Georgetown University for high school students and it had a significant impact on what I wanted to achieve in my career. I've actually been trying to get back here ever since. Um and so 2 years ago when I decided to pursue my MBA, Georgetown's McDonough School was unquestionably it. I believed then, even more now I believe this, that Georgetown inspires students to positively sculpt the way that business and society interact. Programs such as the Global Social Enterprise Initiative, founded by my new friend Professor Bill Novelli, have very much made this belief a reality. I am a product of GSEI and our wonderful sponsor Bank of America, who partnered with the ONE Campaign last year to provide the opportunity for five students to apply business skills towards social and economic impact. Last summer, I interned with RED as a global strategy fellow. RED being a cause marketing organization founded by Bob Bono and Bobby Shriver under the ONE Campaign umbrella. Through this opportunity, I was able to implement business solutions in a nonprofit setting. And with RED, I was able to work with global iconic brands to take on the HIV and AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa through a cause marketing model. I would like to personally thank Mr. Brian Moynihan for creating this opportunity, as well as Ms. Anne Finucane of Bank of America, and the entire GSEI family, including Executive Director Ladonna Mantegui. I would also like to introduce and thank our President, Jack DeGioia, for his unwavering embrace of such programs as GSEI and for his continued dedication to community and service. Since 2001, President DeGioia has encouraged engagement at both a local and global level. Through this, he has given students not only the opportunity to follow in the footsteps of some very impressive leaders, but he has given them the opportunity to actively shape the new face of global leadership. And with that, please join me in introducing Georgetown University President Dr. Jack J. Dejoya. Thank you very much. It's a beautiful project. Well, thank you very much, Lindsay, for that introduction and for the example that you set through your commitment to social enterprise. We're very proud of you and your fellow students who are engaged in this very important work. It's my pleasure to have this opportunity to welcome you all to Georgetown this evening for a very special conversation between Warren Buffett and Brian Moynihan. We're deeply grateful to them both for sharing their unique experiences and insights with us this evening. I'll have the opportunity to more formally introduce our guests in just a few moments, but first I wish to express my gratitude to some of the individuals who helped to make this this evening possible. And I'd like to begin with the Dean of the McDonough School of Business, David Thomas, for his exceptional leadership and for for fostering such important initiatives as the Global Social Enterprise Initiative. I'd also like to thank Bill Novelli, a distinguished professor of the practice at the business school and the founder of GSEI. His commitment to social enterprise, corporate responsibility, and social change has enriched our community here at Georgetown, and he will moderate our Q&A a little later this evening. The values at the core of the work that we examine here tonight are defining characteristics of the tradition that animates our university community, a tradition rooted in our Catholic and Jesuit identity, a tradition that compels us to create and share knowledge in service to our world. As a university, we have been guided by this tradition since 1789 and now for over 224 years, we've been building upon and reimagining it in new and innovative ways. The GSEI, through its work to cultivate leaders who focus on both economic and social value, is a concrete example of our commitment to living this tradition in our contemporary world. As you know, tonight's conversation is made possible by Bank of America and I'd like to express my deep gratitude to two individuals, a proud Georgetown parent, Anne Finucane, global strategy and marketing officer at Bank of America, for her work in bringing us together this evening, and again Brian Moynihan, Bank of America's CEO, for his leadership and support of this extraordinary event. Under Mr. Moynihan's leadership, Bank of America has deepened its commitment to community development, philanthropy, and environmental and sustainability initiatives. This includes a 10-year 1.5 trillion-dollar community lending and investing goal, the largest ever by a financial institution. Since 2007, Mr. Moynihan Moynihan has also led Bank of America's global diversity and inclusion council, a group that is dedicated to creating an inclusive work environment, and the company is consistently recognized as having one of the best environments in corporate America. Tonight, he will be engaging in conversation with one of the world's great business leaders and philanthropists, Warren Buffett. Mr. Buffett, it's an honor to welcome you back to Washington, D.C. Many people may not know this, but this is a return home of sorts for Mr. Buffett. He attended high school just a few miles away at Woodrow Wilson High while his father was a member of Congress. Renowned and respected for his business and investment acumen at the company that he has led since 1965, Mr. Buffett is also well known for his deep commitment to philanthropy and social enterprise. He co-founded, along with Bill and Melinda Gates, the Giving Pledge, an effort to encourage the wealthiest Americans to donate at least 50% of their net worth to philanthropy. About 5 years ago, he pledged 99% of his Berkshire Hathaway shares to charity. And last year, the shares he donated went to foundations that work to fight poverty, elevate the status of women and girls around the world, and support early childhood education among many other causes. This led to his being ranked number one in 2012's philanthropy 50, a list of the nation's top philanthropists compiled by The Chronicle of Philanthropy. He's also given generously over the years to help support the work of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which focuses much of its efforts on global health and global development. So, Mr. Buffett, on behalf of our entire university community, it's an honor to welcome you to Georgetown. We're so pleased you could join us this evening, and it's now my my privilege to present to you all for our conversation this evening, Mr. Warren Buffett and Mr. Brian Moynihan. So, good evening, Georgetown. It's a pleasure to be here. Uh for those of you who were here last year, you know that we had uh Bono come talk to you about what he did. And uh Anne Finucane helped us arrange that through all the hard work she does for our company. And so, this year as I was thinking about with Anne who we should bring in, I actually talked to Bono. And he said, "Boy, if you want to bring a real rock star, bring Warren Buffett in." Because here's a guy who has done more for philanthropy than I can ever do and and etc. So, last year we brought you a rock star, this year we brought you a real rock star. So, what we're going to do is I'm going to ask Warren a series of questions over 25-30 minutes, and then we'll take your questions in the in the crowd and and let the students have a chance to ask Warren about his experiences. And I'm going to start a little bit with the president left off, which is this is your hometown. This is every part of your hometown. So, what are your best memories about being around Georgetown and uh Well, I delivered papers at Georgetown Hospital uh 66 years ago. And uh uh I like I I developed this affinity because in the hospital uh people tipped. Uh my regular my regular customers, the ones that knew me, never never tipped. But they uh but I would go to the hospital and and one of the things they would do uh they would give me cash tips, but they also would tell me if they were a woman that had given birth to a baby that was we'll say 8 lb 11 oz, they would whisper that number to me. And the numbers racket was very big in in Washington that time, and they felt they were giving me this terribly valuable information, the exact time in which the baby was born or something. And I was supposed to bet on that number in the in the in the numbers racket that day. So, I I have a lot of memories of uh of uh of Georgetown and uh um I was here during World War II, which was really a fascinating time to be in in Washington and uh uh my dad being in Congress and you know, it was it was really a a window on an extraordinary time in in America. And of course at that time we were probably more united than at any time in my lifetime about a common goal. I mean, it uh that was the time when people like Bobby Feller and all the athletes the day the war broke out went down and enlisted and and people really did voluntarily in a very high percentage uh play by the rules in terms of gasoline rationing and sugar rationing and meat rationing and all of that and uh we all bought savings bonds at at uh at school to help out the troops. So, it was it was quite a period. Well, so somewhere along there you started investing and and uh changed the nature. And I've read stories that you started investing at 13 or that whether they're true or not, but somewhere around that and then so 11. What what created the fascination with investing? It took me 5 years. I had to save $120. It took me 5 years to get $120 to buy a stock uh three shares of City Service Preferred when I was uh 11. I I just my dad originally was in the investment business. He really wasn't very interested in it. But I would go down on Saturday morning and uh and he had these books there in the office and I read all those and then I went to the Omaha Public Library and I I read every book on investments in the Omaha Public Library by the time I was by the time we moved to Washington. And then when we got here, I had the Library of Congress. Did you get through all those? Oh, I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I it it's an activity you know, if you're a you're a baseball player or something, you know, your legs may go or something. Well, my legs have long gone, but it doesn't make any difference in what I do. So, it's uh I have I I literally have as much I always have had fun working, but I have as much fun now as I've ever had in my life. I mean, it's I work with people I love doing what I love, and it just doesn't get any better than that. Well, the quote is that you tap tap dance to work every day. dance to work. And so, what what makes you do that? Don't don't ask me to demonstrate, but it's incidentally it was nice to get that round of applause at the start, but I've learned that crowds now applaud at the start because I'm 83 and they're not sure I'll be around at the end of the talk anyway. Well, I've I've shared enough dinners with you to know that you have more energy than anybody I I know, so it's Let's let's switch to a little bit on a philanthropy side. So, President Joya talked about the the Giving Pledge. How How did you come up with the idea with with Bill, and and how are you doing on it? I mean Yeah, well, we're doing great. And it was I don't know, three or four years ago Bill and Melinda and I were out in California and talking, and I'm not exactly sure how it came up, but we decided to call the right David Rockefeller and ask if he would host a dinner in New York for about 16 or 18 people. Just to talk about philanthropy, and Oprah Winfrey came, and and Mayor Bloomberg was there, and it was a private dinner, and and I started at having these people talk around the table as to how they developed their philosophy of philanthropy. It must have taken us 2 and 1/2 hours or so to get around it, but people were really interested in it. So, uh Bill and I were at that dinner, we decided that maybe there would be a possibility of of of taking this passion which these people show had shown, and and and going to other uh people that had a great deal of money, and see if we could develop something uh where people would pledge at least half their net worth, and we now have about 115 people. I've been I've been dialing for dollars. I I call these billionaires up, and uh uh sometimes they tell me how they can't do it and I decided I I tell them I'm going to write a book on how to live on $500 million cuz apparently there's this great need. They just can't seem to figure out how to do it and they need help. Uh, but it it's it's been very rewarding and and I received a letter from one woman. She and her husband had over $10 billion and she sent me a tie. She sent me two ties and she sent me this handwritten note and said that that uh they hadn't really faced it. It's a little like facing your own mortality to some extent making that plan and that that's tough for people sometimes and uh uh so she and her husband had changed things and and over half of that $10 billion was going to go to philanthropy. They They They do tend to postpone the decision so I tell these I tell these people I call you know the last will is what counts but I tell them you know are you If I'm talking to some 70-year-old do you really think your decision-making ability is going to be better when you're 95 with some blonde on your lap or So let's get on board fellows. You know. You know I I assume that that convinces them maybe the 70-year-old decision's better at that point. Well it's Bill is not a trivia Bill has gotten people around the world because he travels more than I do but uh uh what we're hoping is people do pick up on norms. I mean when I was young I read about Carnegie and Rockefeller and different people building too and and you do pick up behavior from those who come before and and we've collected letters from every one of these people. They're up on our website at the givingpledge.org and and I think they're worth reading. They're they're pretty remarkable and of course what we really want to do is get the younger people like Mark Zuckerberg has joined us for example and and he obviously is going to appeal to a much wider group than than than than than I would or uh so we are we hope it becomes you know this gospel of wealth that Andrew Carnegie uh came up with 100 years or so ago. That's influenced all kinds of people. Well, we've got better stories than that, you know, on these on these letters. So, I I just hope it moves. Now, I don't think I want to emphasize one thing. Nobody in our group has given away a dollar that in any way affects how they live. I mean, I have the much greater admiration, frankly, for the person who drops $5 or $1 in a collection plate on Sunday where it makes a difference in whether they go take their kids to a movie or whether they go to eat out or something of the sort. They are actually giving up something that has utility to them. I am giving up nothing that has utility to me. I have everything in the world I want that that that can be bought by money. And so, I have a whole bunch of stocks or tobacco that have no utility to me, and they can possibly have enormous utility to other people in vaccines or education or all kinds of things. So, people who give up something that that actually can have utility to their family and give that to some other person so it has utility to them. I Those are the people I really think deserve the kudos. But, it's still nice to go where the money is. I mean, you know, it's with the Willie Sutton approach. And and so, if we can get if we can work on polio or something like that and it it takes big contributions, then we want to go after it. So, I mean, the unique part of what you've done is with Bill and Melinda and their foundation and and and on the one hand how you're doing it and secondly that you've gone and said whatever the number will be, but most almost all your wealth. all my Berkshire Hathaway Right. And so, and so, talk about the Gates relationship and why you chose them as opposed to creating your own foundation or Well, originally my wife and I planned when we were in our 20s that when we had everything we needed, we would we would use the rest for society. And I thought she would outlive me. She was younger and women live longer, and then she she died in 2004. So, I had to come up with a different plan. And you you know, if you've read Adam Smith and the specialization of labor, you know that you know that if you're if you're good at one thing, you're not necessarily good at another and you ought to get the person you ought to use your talents where they're most useful and get other people to give their talents. So, you know, when my wife had babies, I mean, I went to an obstetrician. I didn't deliver myself. When I get a toothache, I go to a dentist. So, I wanted to go to people who were very good at giving away money and who were younger, energetic, smart, and had the same objectives in philanthropy that I did. And and the basic principle of the Gates Foundation is that every human life has equal value. And if you start with that as your basic assumption, then a lot of things flow from that and Bill and Melinda, as well as my children, cuz I have foundations for each one of my three three children that are of significant size. They and you can read the letters I wrote them up on the Berkshire Hathaway website. I I do not direct them to do anything, but I do tell them to swing for the fences. I tell them if they succeeded everything they do in philanthropy, they're doing the wrong things because the important things are the tough ones and you're going to fail on some of those, but I have got much younger people, very energetic people, common objectives, and they work for nothing. So, that's not a bad deal, but Like that that stretches the money a long way. Yeah, absolutely. And and the way I read it is that you require them to actually move the money out the other side of the foundation. they got they got it they got to spend it. And and when I die, uh all of the money has to be spent within 10 years after the estate is closed because I do not think that I can pick out some little great-great-grandchild yet to be born, you know, just cuz he has the right name of Buffett or she has the right name and they will be the best custodians. I mean there there'll be plenty of philanthropists 50 years after I die to take care of the problems of 50 years, but I want them to need to get spent promptly and then and I don't believe in trying to control things from the grave. I mean, I I like to think I can think outside the box, but thinking outside of that particular box That may take a lot of flares for you to figure that out. Let's um recently I read an article about East Lake and and Tom Cousins. So, this week the as many people know, the PGA finishes up his tournament at East Lake, which is a golf course in Atlanta. And and the story I read about the development is that you've now helped Tom Cousins in in the in the development work he does with communities. Talk a little about that because that's a little different than this type of thing. Yeah, but it's the same theory of loving the back people who are putting their own time and energy and and who are successful in in into a project that's worthwhile. Tom Cousins is a remarkable man who lives in Atlanta. Uh just extraordinary, and uh uh he took this terrible terrible neighborhood called East Lake in Atlanta and against a lot of community opposition, everything. It was it was it was crime-ridden, and nobody did it well in school and everything else. And he decided you had to a pri- to apply a holistic approach to it, and then and you couldn't just attack this thing or that thing. And so, he he worked for probably 10 years to develop this entirely new community out of this total disaster. And then Tom and I talked about it, and I said, "Tom, you know, everybody's going to say that that's only be- it can only be done because you're Tom Cousins, and you live in Atlanta, and you've done this." So, uh he and I and a fellow named Julian Robertson, but primarily Tom, uh decided to see if we could replicate this in other communities. And it seemed to me that and and Tom that New Orleans was a great one to do it. I mean, they've been racked by this the Katrina and everything. So, so uh we've taken it to the we've taken it to to New Orleans, where we've got hundreds of people and these are it's it's mixed income type uh a community. I mean, we do we do not want to have it with everybody being subsidized. We We want to create a new kind of community that where people of different races, different economic conditions work together, play together, and it's been successful in New Orleans. We went to Indianapolis, it's been successful there. We've got about 11 more towns we're working on now. And so I Tom Cousins has really he really come up with something. He had an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal about a week ago describing this, but he's a fantastic human being. And when you get a chance to to join forces with somebody that is as high quality as that and energetic and smart and putting his own funds in it, you know, you just got to jump at the chance. Let's uh we'll switch the economy now. What's going on in in move from philanthropy to the economy um that you create your wealth off of that you can do these wonderful great things with. So, what do you see in the economy and in what you're seeing in your companies, your operating companies, and from an investor's point Well, our our company business has come back very well from 5 years ago when the panic hit. And it was a panic like nobody's ever seen. I mean, whatever you think about it, it was worse. Uh I I'm dead serious about that. We were right on the edge of the cliff. Uh And fortunately, I give enormous credit to uh uh both Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson and and Tim Geithner. And and frankly, even though I didn't vote for him, never voted for him, President Bush, uh you know, I don't know how many of you have studied economics, but in Adam Smith they talk about comparative advantage and and and and uh you know, Keynes talked about animal spirits and all those people, but President Bush really came out with the great economic insight of all times. And he did it in 10 words in September of 2008. He went out there from the White House and he said, "If money doesn't loosen up, this sucker could go down." And I mean that that goes right up there with tear down those plaques of Adam Smith. And And he backed up. He backed up those fellows and and so it we've come back from it. But business has come back you know a lot of companies are having record profits including many of ours. And the American populace has all has not come back. I mean the inequality is getting wider. The The Forbes 400 which just came out showed aggregate wealth for the Forbes 400 of $2 trillion. You go back 20 years and that was 300 billion. So it's up six or seven for one. It's different people to some extent. But this is the top. 300 billion to 2 trillion. And if you read the paper today you you'll see that the median income, you know, is the same place it was in terms of real purchasing power. Uh from 1989 it hasn't changed. So it's the inequality is getting wider. Uh the rich are doing extremely well, extraordinarily well. Uh and uh business is doing well. Business profit margins are terrific compared to the record historically. Business returns on tangible equity are terrific. Uh but most you know, a great many people in our country if you take the bottom 20% of households that's 20 24 million households or something like that housing you know, close to six about 60 million people. You know, it's the top level is $22,000. And I'm I don't want to try to live on $22,000 with a couple of kids. So it we've got we've got an economy that is delivering $50,000 of GDP per capita. And we've got an awful lot of people who aren't living well. So it we we have learned how to turn out lots of goods and services but we haven't learned as well how to have everybody share in the in the bounty that we have. So, how do how do you think is that that we just got to grow out of it to provide growth growing. We're we're growing. I mean, if you take even 2% a year, if you think about it, people feel very unhappy with 2% a year, but the population grows 1% a year. So, that means 1% per capita real growth. That means in 20 years, a generation, there's a 20% gain in in in in GDP per capita. That's not bad in the generation. And but the question is how it gets distributed. This country will grow This system works, you know, in my lifetime. I was born in 1930. I was conceived in 1929 because my dad was a stock salesman and and after the crash, he didn't have anything to do. Nobody So, I I look back with great fondness on the 1929 crash, but since night since 1930, since I was born in 1930, real GDP per capita has increased six for one. Just think of that. Six for one. I mean, you went centuries when nothing happened for for people. And this this this country works. I mean, I consider the luckiest person on a probabilistic basis that ever lived is the baby that's born today in the United States. I mean, it is a fabulous country and the market system works all kinds of things, but we we do have to, in my view, we have to make sure that everybody participates to a reasonable degree. We don't want equality of results, but we also want a base level that's that's that's satisfactory for our people. So, you talked about the George Bush's statement economic statement about it could go down. Would you What do you think the lessons are of the last couple cycles that you've seen from an investor standpoint? We've got a lot of young kids out there. You've lived through multiple cycles in the in the 50, 60 years plus you've been doing investing 70 years investing. that. What are the lessons and what, you know, these are young people, what should they take away? The lessons are that people will continue to make the same mistakes they've made. I mean, it humans, and when it it it it doesn't correlate to IQ particularly. I mean, they when they get when they get greedy and we had this huge bubble in the most important asset the American public has, housing. I mean, so you had a huge bubble in something you could borrow heavily against, so you could run a margin account effect on a house instead of stocks. And and the conditions got very lax, and so when that bubble popped but people came into that gradually. When they get fearful, it happens all at once. I mean, when everybody wants when people get scared, they all want to leave at one time. And we had them all want to leave at one time, and we'll have that'll happen again. It'll happen with a different set of circumstances, but but uh the human animal uh will keep behaving pretty much the way it has in the past. So, we will have periodic uh recessions. We'll have an occasional panic, which doesn't all all recessions don't come from panics, but uh uh but the good news is, if you look at the 20th century in the 20th century, we had two World Wars, we had the Great Depression, we had the flu epidemic, we had the we had the Cold War, we had the atom bomb, you name it. The Dow Jones average went from 66 to 11,497. You know, with all these terrible things happening supposedly at various times. America works, and uh well, I when I bought my first stock when I was 11, that was in the spring of 1942, and that was a couple months after Pearl Harbor, and we were getting clobbered in the Pacific at Corregidor and Bataan. I mean, the death march of Bataan, and and and and and and the European theater, and the the blitz of England was on, and but and the Dow was at about 100. But just look at where we are now. I I the the country really works. The trick is I mean it seems to me the obligation of a society as prosperous as as ours is to figure out how nobody gets left too far behind. It was interesting cuz it last year with Bono's speech was a lot about how America is a society of dreams and you can accomplish more here. It was actually one of the best speeches about the optimism America should could have by a person who's not American by birth. So it's and I know you carry that optimism. So after all this, how do you how do you how what makes you most optimistic for the next decade about America? The next just imagine, you know, 1789. Just go back just a few hundred years. There wasn't anything here, you know, I mean in this country. And and you know the Sir Christopher Wren I think you know, the designed St. Paul's Cathedral was buried there and there's a there's a little plaque there and it says, you know, if you seek my monument look about you. Well, I say if you in America, if you if you seek America's monument look about you. This this country has all come about in a few hundred years. We had less than 4 million people, you know, when we became a country. China had 300 million people at that time. Europe had about 75 million. They were just as smart as we were. They worked just as hard as we did. They had natural resources that were similar to ours. And yet we ended up with a quarter of the world's GDP in a few hundred years later. We've got something that works and we don't want to mess that up. We want to figure out what we do with this abundance better as we go along. But but you don't have to worry about the system working. But you will have you will have periodic recessions and you will have an occasional panic brought on by something that who knows where it comes from, you know, at and the thing to remember at that time I wrote an op-ed piece in the New York Times in in the fall of 2008 and I said, you know, that the country will come back, you know, it'll go through this big recession and everything but it'll come back and it's coming back. So don't ever worry about America. It'll tell you You're in the right place. So, you've been famous for your investment strategy on basically that follows the the opposite side of principles invest when the chips are down and write it up at um that served you well. So, what's your favorite your favorite uh time that you were able to accomplish that when you cut somebody down and and and uh and move it up. Well, I I I I always think my favorite time's going to be tomorrow, you know, basically. I But, I it it's it's always been fun, you know, and and uh there's a company here in in in Washington called GEICO, you know, and I I first got exposed to that in 1950. I was I was 20 years I was 19 years or Well, it was '51, I'm sorry. I was 20 years old and uh I came down here and and I came down on a Saturday uh because I'd learned that my professor who I worshipped at Columbia named Ben Graham was the chairman. I got down here and the door was locked. And I went to the building uh cuz it was Saturday and I pounded on the door and some janitor let me in and a marvelous fellow named Lorimer Davidson uh spent 4 hours with me teaching me all about insurance and he he helped me so much in life. You're going to get you're going to get help by some wonderful people in life. It's it's a great thing to to remember later on when you get to be my age that you know, all the help you've received from different people because uh uh yeah, nobody does it alone. Obama got in trouble when he said that in the campaign that you know, nobody does it by themselves. Nobody does do it by themselves. We all sit in the shade of trees that were planted by others. So, it's bubbling up to here. I think the plan of few trees ourselves if we've had good luck. Uh it's it's been a great ride, but it's not over. But, you've only got But, when did you actually buy GEICO? The the When did you get When did you invest in GEICO the first time? Was it Well, GEICO I bought I I I met Lorimer Davidson when I was I was finishing up at Columbia and and then I started selling securities when I got out. I went out to my Aunt Alice and my Aunt Alice would have bought anything from me. And so I she bought 100 shares of Government Employees Insurance. It was the first stock I ever sold. And uh then a lot of years passed and Mr. Davidson was very kind to me in a variety of ways. But I went I you know I went in different directions. And then in 1976 the company got in big trouble because they miscalculated their reserves and they were going broke. And so I came back here and I I bought a third of the company in the market in a very short period of time. And then in 1995 by now our third had become a half because they'd repurchased their shares. And I went out to see Mr. Davidson who was was out in Bethesda. He was 96 or 97 and he had a bunch of stock in GEICO with no cost basis cuz he'd held it forever. And I said, "Davey, if I make an offer for this company for cash, you're going to pay a big tax. And of course if you die with the stock, you don't have that tax and you get a stepped-up basis. So I'm not going to make this offer unless it's all right with you." And and he said to me, he said, "Warren, he said, "I've I've hoped for this all my life." And so we bought the rest of the company. It was He was a great man. That's that's terrific. Well, let's let's turn it over to some student questions. So I they're going to put a microphone out here and uh uh we'll have you queue up and uh let you have uh questions for Warren or All right, uh want you let's go let's take the first question. Say tell us who you are and ask away. Go ahead sir. Hi, I'm Cassin Tavallali, a senior in SFS. Uh I was wondering if you have any stock tips for any of the students, you know, we're we're all trying to uh make make a little living. I I didn't think they taught that at Georgetown. They No they The best The best investment I ever made Well, I I bought a book in 1949 by a fellow named Ben Graham called The Intelligent Investor. I don't remember what I paid. But aside from what I paid for my two marriage licenses, that was the best investment I ever made. Uh and uh uh it's very important to have the right framework. You need You need You need to have an approach to investing that's sound. And Graham's approach is is simple. Uh but some people uh adopt it and and and and which I did immediately and and most people don't. Um but if you have the right philosophy, you will find opportunities uh as you go through the next 20, 30, 40, 50 years. And and frankly, you're most likely to find them uh when in periods like 5 years ago when we were having the panic. I mean, that uh stocks sell at silly prices from time to time. Most stocks at one time or another sell at very silly prices. Um and it doesn't take a high IQ to figure out that they're cheap. But it does take a temperament that's willing to step up and actually act. I tell people if they're going in the investment business, if you got a 160 IQ, sell 30 points to somebody else cuz you won't need it. I mean, that that it it it I mean, I figured out very early you don't have to be that smart in this business, which is fortunate. But you do have to have the right temperament. And you have to be able to ignore what other people are saying and and simply look at the facts and decide is this stock which is selling at X worth 2X. And occasionally you'll find things like that and if when you don't find it you don't do anything. So, that's my generalized stock tip. No names. I'll make it simple. Just buy Bank of America and you'll be set. Yeah, it worked all right for him. right. That's right. The next question, Um, good afternoon. My name is Nicholas Walker. I'm a sophomore in the SFS as well. Um, so Mr. Buffett, in the past you invested in China, South Korea, and Israel. Um, and recently you partnered with 3G Capital and Jorge Paulo Lemann, um, from Brazil over for the Heinz deal. Uh, does this mean are you tempted to venture into the Brazil market next? I didn't get the question. you you did the Heinz deal. The question is are you going to invest in Brazil next? Oh, uh, I don't know where I'm going to invest next. That's what That's what makes my job interesting. I mean, I'm I'm I'm I'm not kidding. I mean, if you went out and played golf and every drive went in the hole, you'd give up the game wouldn't be interesting. I mean, what what's interesting is when you get in the rough and have to come out and a few things like that. So, I I love the fact that I don't know what I'm going to do next. You mentioned the Israel investment. In 2006 in the fall, I got a letter from a fellow and I never heard of him and I never heard of the company he was talking about, but he said, "My name is Eitan Wertheimer and I want to tell you a little about my company Iscar." The letter was a page and a half long and he said, "If he sold the company, the family sold the company, the only company they wanted to sell it to was Berkshire Hathaway. And if I was interested, they'd be glad to come over from Israel and explain it to me." And it was a It just jumped off the page that this was an interesting idea. So, I emailed him and they came over very shortly and and we bought the business. We we handed them $4 billion for 80% of a company where I'd never seen it or anything, but Eitan kept saying, "You got to come over to Israel and see the plants and everything. You You won't believe how wonderful they are." And I said, "Eitan, I don't go to Council Bluffs, Iowa. You know, I mean, I am doing fine in Omaha. And uh he said, "No, you know, you got to see it." I said, "No, no, I don't I said, we can make a deal without seeing it." He said, "Well, if you buy if you buy the company, will you come and see it?" I said, "If we buy the company, I'll come." So, we bought the company and I went over there and it's true. I've never seen plants like this. It was the greatest operation I've ever seen. And Eitan said to me, he said, "You know, that's why I want you to come over to see these things." I said, "Listen, Eitan, if I'd come and seen them, I'd have paid more money, so I So it uh we we have a wonderful partnership with the people in Israel, but I don't know tomorrow uh our partnership with the people in Brazil, with Jorge Paulo Lemann and his associates, they are sensational people. I got to know Jorge Paulo when I was on the board of Gillette when and the opportunity to buy into a wonderful business and to be partners and they do they they'll do all the heavy lifting. They they run the place uh with Jorge Paulo and his associates. I mean, it it's just it's a it's a great opportunity for us. And I don't know what the opportunity will be tomorrow. With Jorge Paulo is last December uh I was going out to Boulder, Colorado where he had a group that met and he said, "I think I've got an idea that might interest you when I get out there." And so, I went out there and and uh and as we came back on the plane, he explained what he was thinking about in terms of Heinz and I said, "Count me in." And uh and I will tell you one other thing which is quite impressive about him. After I said that and went went a little little further in the thing, he sent me a one-page governance description of how it work would work between the two of us and he sent me a very brief description of what he thought would be a fair deal for both of us. I didn't have to change a word. I mean, those are the kind of people you like to associate with. Next question. Hi. Uh you mentioned that people will make the same mistakes in terms of the boom-bust cycle. And but there've been several recent financial developments such as the creation of derivatives which has since exploded recently. And you once called derivatives uh weapons of mass destruction. Right. Uh now that derivatives are a $700 trillion industry, do you see this as setting the stage for the next financial crisis? It's It's very hard to tell that, you know, we've enacted Dodd-Frank. And if you if you look at the what happened in September and October of 2008, there were some extraordinary things done. The Federal Reserve poured $85 billion into AIG and if they hadn't, our world would be very different. Uh Hank Paulson guaranteed money market funds at a time when 30 million Americans with money market funds were panicking and when 300 billion in 3 days had gone out of the non-government money market funds, 125 of it gone back into the government. 300 billion, that was that was almost equal to the deposits of Wells Fargo or Wachovia at the time which were then two separate institutions. Both of those authorities have essentially been tak- They I don't think they can do that under Dodd-Frank. I think they I don't think that Bernanke could do what he did and I don't think that Paulson can do what he what what he did. Uh when there's a panic, the only thing that will stop it basically is when somebody who has the ability and the will says, "I'm going to do whatever it takes." And basically that's what Bernanke and Paulson and finally Congress in a kind of a reluctant way, but said to the American public, and you could believe it. If Bernanke said, "I'm going to do whatever it takes." Nobody knows what section 13 three or of the Federal Reserve Act is, and it wasn't probably meant to do what what he did with it, but he did it. And the same way with the they call it the exchange stabilization fund of the of the Treasury. Nobody It was enacted back in 1934. Nobody dreamt it would be used to take care of money market funds, but you had these strong characters who had the ability to print money in the case of Bernanke, and they said, "We're going to do whatever it takes." And the president was behind them. That is the way you end a real panic. And and I I worry actually that that you know, Congress doesn't like to give anybody that much authority, and it bothers them that the Fed has all this authority, or that Paulson acted as he did in TARP. And I tip my hat to them, and I I I'm not sure. There will be another panic. You know, where it comes from, who knows. But when that time comes, the question will be are the people who have panicked, who have frozen, who have caused the economic engine to stop, you know, will they believe and come right back and be doing something? And I'm not sure whether the what's been enacted is a plus or a minus in that regard. Regardless, the the country will come through, but we uh it's very hard to write regulations that will keep people from acting foolishly, particularly when acting foolishly has been proven very profitable over the preceding few years. It's just It's just the way it works. And humans, you know, they they they all think they're Cinderella at the ball, you know, and they think, you know, as the night goes along, the music gets better, and the drinks flow, and everything, and they think they're going to all get They all think they're going to leave it 2 minutes to 12. And of course, there's no clocks on the wall, and they're still dancing. So, it'll happen again. But buy when it happens. Next question. I'll be buying. Hi, my name's John Ruff. Um I'm from Georgia, so I'm familiar with the work over at East Lake. Oh, that's great. Appreciative. But um you talked a little bit about income inequality. But if you look at class mobility rates and if you look at average household income for middle class families measured with inflation, a lot of these rates have been trending down since the 1970s. And some may argue that it's harder today for the middle class than it's been in 30 years. And I was wondering if you had any more thoughts on how a rising tide can lift all boats and not just the yachts. Yeah. Well, that's what's happened. It's like John Kennedy talked about rising tide lifting all yachts. And the yachts have been lifted like I say for the top 400 from 300 billion to 2 trillion just in the last 20 years. The there is a very, I think, structural problem as a market system gets more and more specialized. If you go back to an agrarian society like we had a couple hundred years ago with most people working on a farm, most people felt fit most job requirements. I mean, it was that as the world has become more and more specialized, uh I think we've keep moving away from that. So, a market system will not pay well for a significant percentage of society. They they aren't needed to keep GDP itself going up. And and people at the top And I think government has to address that. That it I think it's I I I I I sometimes toss out to students this proposition. Imagine that it's 24 hours before you're born. And you're sitting there, Johnny or Joni, we don't know yet, and you're in the womb. And a genie comes. And the genie says, "John or Joni, you strike me as a remarkable potential human being. And I'm going to give you an enormous responsibility. I'm going to let you decide the world, how the world is going to work into which you're going to emerge. You can decide on the economic system, the social system, the political system. You design it. And whatever you design, that's going to be the system in which you live, your children live, grandchildren live. And you being wise beyond your minus 24 hours of age, say, "I know all about you genies. What's the catch?" And the genie says there's one catch. Just before you emerge, having designed the system, put it in cement, you're going to go over to that barrel over there that has 7 billion slips in it, one for every human being in the world, and you're going to pull out a slip. It may say male, it may say female, it may say white, it may say black, it may say infirm, it may say it may say strong, it may say bright, it may say it may say uh below average. Uh it may say United States, it may say Bangladesh. Now, not knowing which ticket you're going to pull out, what kind of a world do you want to design? Well, you certainly want to design a world that produces lots of goods and services and keeps producing more and more. You want a lot of stuff around. It could be the world's fairest society, but if it's on a barren desert island, it's not going to do anybody good. So, you really want something that works in terms of output. But once you have something that works in kind of in terms of output, you know, you certainly want something that eliminates fear from everybody's life. Now, that doesn't just mean a lot of cops, it means fear of old age, fear of health, all of those problems. And you certainly want a system not knowing what tickets you're going to get. It takes care of the people that don't survive so well in that market system, which which maximizes the amount of output, your first goal. And I think we've done a wonderful job at the first stage. We have learned out of turned out lots of stuff. We have not thought as much. Although we thought a fair amount. I mean, when social security came in and all of that, I mean, this country has developed in terms of thinking about how a rich family should behave. But we have not I think we're in the stage where we need to focus more on making sure that the people who get the bad tickets do better than they are. And you know, we said that blacks were 3/5 or slaves were 3/5 of a person back when we started and said, you know, we said all men are created equal in 1776 and in 1789 we said blacks are 3/5 of a person. You know, we said we not only said all men are created equal, but in the Gettysburg Address, you know, Lincoln repeated it. It was 1920 before we passed the 19th Amendment for for women. So we just we we treated women as a essentially different class for all those years. So I think we've got I think we've gone in significantly in the right direction in terms of behaving better as a society. And I think we've gone terrifically in the right direction in terms of turning out lots of stuff. But I think we have to address the question of how do you treat the people that are left behind in a system that maximizes the output of goods and services. And that can only come through government. Next question. Good evening. My name is James Fishback. I'm the School of Foreign Service first year. It's no doubt that you're an outspoken fan of Ben Bernanke, but know he's going to be stepping down in January of next year. Whoever takes over the position, do you think that they should continue continue the Fed's controversial buyback program? And if so, for how long? Well, it I think I think they should take Bernanke's approach where she's he says he's going to keep doing it till he sees more improvement in the economy and I think he's been mildly disappointed uh in in not hugely disappointed but mildly disappointed in the rate of improvement uh in the economy in the last few years and therefore just the other day he said he's going to you know extend it further until he sees it. So he's he's not prejudging exactly when it's going to happen. He's telling you the conditions under which he'll he'll change and the economy is getting better. We are in in in a in an experiment which hasn't really been tried before. I mean we you know we have a Fed has a three and a half trillion-dollar balance sheet and and uh uh buying securities is usually easier than selling securities. Sometimes people find out. So uh we don't know how this game plays out. Uh and just the announcement whenever it was a few months ago or the hint that that tapering was going to occur, you know, that had some significant market reaction, probably 100 basis points or so in the tenure. And what will happen when it when they actually if if they actually try to deleverage the Fed. I mean what has happened is the American public deleveraged and the and the government leveraged up through the Fed. When the Fed if the Fed deleverages that in any big way, that will be that will be a new experiment and uh As Warren was we were talking earlier, that the question is when they do that, the economy has to be growing faster. has to be doing and the piece people don't take into account is they they're clear that they're going to stay there until the economy grows faster. they have no pressure on them. In fact, you know, the Fed is the greatest hedge fund in history. I mean and you've got a a one financed by currency in circulation which doesn't cost anything and they got about a trillion eight or nine from the banks at 25 basis point and I mean the Fed is going to make 80 billion or something like that. The Fed is the fourth largest contributor to the United States government's revenues uh that there is now. That wasn't the case a few years back, but it's 80 or 90 billion a year probably. And so and it is under no pressure. There's not whatsoever to have to deleverage. So it can pick its time and and if you have somebody wise there and I think Bernie he's wise and I and I certainly expect his successor to be. Uh it it can be handled. But it is it is something that's never quite been done on this scale. It'll be interesting to watch. No, it it it will be and we've seen the lesson the market moving ahead and back just based on the last 30 days. So I think we're going to take one more question and then the next student uh Hi, I'm still Warren Buffett. Um my name is Shirley and I'm from China. I'm currently a graduate student in Georgetown. Um my friend uh Dennis Zhao and I uh we are both a very big fan of you and your friend Charlie and we read his book which is very interesting. He had this whole system of criteria on how to evaluate a company. It's all very confusing, but he said that um Warren and I are always staying away from the industries we don't know. So you have candies, railways, and uh Coca-Cola. But um now the word is changing and we are living in a new era. The business models are changing. The B2C platforms, everybody is shopping online. Maybe in a few years everyone is going to pay with their iPhones and Bank of America no longer issues credit card. So nonprofit is a new model and um So what's the dinosaur going to like me going to do, yeah? Yeah, there's just so many things you don't know about. He'll take out his flip phone and show you. So he's not going to be one of This is my new one. Huh? It's going to take it's going to I I just turned in the one Alexander Graham Bell gave me, but Okay. Um so, the question is the business models are changing, the world are changing. They are the new technology, they are changing everything. There's no way you can just stay out of it and stay with the traditional. Now, um for the private investors, especially in the venture capital industry, what would you think is the most important thing, the key in evaluating a company? It's we are not I'm not asking about doing mediocre, I'm not asking about being average, but about excellent and remarkable. Just name one thing. The The most important thing is to decide is to be able to define which ones you can come to an intelligent decision on and which ones are beyond your capacity to evaluate. You don't have to be right about thousands and thousands and thousands of companies. You only have to be right about a company. couple I'm I'm I'm at Bill Gates on July 5th, 1991. We were at Seattle and Bill said you've got to have a computer. And I said, "Why?" And he said, "Well, he said you can do your income tax on it." I said, "I don't have any income. Berkshire doesn't pay a dividend." And he said, "Well, you can keep track of your portfolio." And I said, "I only have one stock." I said I I mean And he says, "It's going to change everything." And I said, "Well, will it change whether people chew gum?" And he said, "Well, probably not." And I said, "Well, will it change what kind of gum they chew?" And not I said, "Well, then I'll stick to chewing gum and you stick to computers, you know." I don't have to understand all kinds of There's all kinds of business I don't understand. But there's thousands of opportunities there. I did understand the Bank of America, you know. And and and uh and I'll be able I'm I'm able to do that. Uh I'm able to understand some given percentage. But Ted Williams wrote a book called The Science of Hitting. And in The Science of Hitting, he's got a diagram. Shows him at the plate, and he's got the strike zone divided into 77 squares, each the size of a baseball. And he says, "If I only swing at pitches in my sweet zone," which he shows there, and he has what his batting average would be, which is .400. "If he had to swing at low outside pitches, but still in the in the strike zone, his average would be .230." He said the most important thing in hitting is waiting for the right pitch. Now, he was at a disadvantage because if the count was 0 and 2, or 1 and 2, or so on, even if that ball was down where he was only going to bat .230, he had to swing at it. In investing, there's no called strikes. People can throw Microsoft at me, and you know, you you name it, any any stock, General Motors, uh and I don't have to swing. Uh nobody's going to call me out on called strikes. I only get a strike called if I swing at a pitch and miss. So, I can wait there and look at thousands of companies day after day, and only when I see something I understand, and when I like the price at which it's selling, then if I swing, if I if I hit it, fine. If I miss it, it's it's it's it's it's a strike. But it's an enormously advantageous game, and it's a terrible mistake to think you have to have an opinion on everything. You only have to have an opinion on a few things. In fact, I've told students if when they got out of school, they got a punch card with 20 punches on it, and that's all the investment decisions they got to make in their entire life, they would get very rich because they would think very hard about each one. And you don't need 20 right decisions to get very rich, you know, four or five will probably do it over time. So, uh I don't worry too much about the things I don't understand. If you understand some of these businesses that are coming along, and can spot things on if you if you can spot an Amazon for example, I mean it's a tremendous accomplishment what Jeff Bezos has done. And I tip my hat to him. He's a wonderful businessman. He's a good guy, too. But could I have anticipated that he would be the success and 10 others wouldn't be? I'm not good enough to do that. But I don't fortunately I don't have to. You know, I don't have to form an opinion on on Amazon. And I do I did form an opinion on the Bank of America and I formed an opinion and I'm Coca-Cola. I mean Coca-Cola's been around since 1886. There's 1.8 billion 1.8 billion 8 oz servings of Coca-Cola products sold every day. Now, if you take one penny and get one penny extra, that's $18 million a day. And 18 million * 365 is 7 billion three less 730 billion or 6 billion 570 million dollars. So, annually 6 billion 570 million dollars from one penny. Do you think Coca-Cola's worth a penny more than you know, Joe's Cola? I think so. So, uh you know, and I've got about 127 years of history that would indicate it. So, those are the kind of decisions I like to make and you may have an entirely different field of expertise than I would have and probably much more up-to-date in terms of the kind of businesses that we're seeing above and you can get very rich if you just understand a few of them and and and understand their future. But fortunately I don't have to. I mean, if we go into Heinz you know, and I I look at people pouring ketchup on you know, uh hamburgers and potatoes. I don't think it's going to change. And uh uh And the nice thing about it some products travel. Some products don't travel. Candy bars don't travel well. I mean, if you look at the Cadbury bars in England, they don't sell well here and if you look at the Hershey bars here, they don't sell as well someplace else. Soft drinks travel and ketchup travels. I like products that travel. Well, thank Okay. Thank you, Warren. Warren, I want to thank you for your taking the time to work with the students today. And I think for all the students out there, just think about this. This is a person who with a passion, he still has at 83 to make that right investment decision. But importantly, what we talked a lot earlier about is the ability to try to do something with all that wealth that will help a pretty near-term set of goals in society. And I think you will find very few people in the world have been able to do both things so well as Warren Buffett has. And there's a lesson to learn for all of us in that. So, thank you for spending time. Thank you. So wow. That's probably the first time in my life I ever heard um a positive outcome for the great economic crash of 1929. So, Brian, thank you for bringing us a rock star. We just We just heard a terrific conversation, a terrific discussion about economic impact and social impact and how the two fit together. And before this conversation, Brian Moynihan had a session with uh some of our business students in which he talked about community lending, philanthropy. He talked about environmental initiatives. And he talked about how they are good business as well as good for society. And this is the right place. Georgetown is the right place for that. Our president Jack Dejoya, he talks about global human development. And the dean of our business school, David Thomas, he talks about being in service to business and society. And that's why our global social enterprise initiative is flourishing and why it's in the right place. Um our organization, the global social enterprise initiative, um is driven by students. In fact, it was started by students. There's a student here, I should say a an alumnus here. I don't know where he is, Rahul Paswanikar, who flew in. He's a McKinsey executive. He flew in just for this conversation. He helped to to conceptualize this initiative. And Rahul, wherever you are, keep the good work going. Um Lederman Teague and I, we we think that students power what we do. And we have many projects going and students are involved in every one of them. And we're very thankful for that. And I can tell you that I love Georgetown. I love Georgetown because I come in here every day and I rub elbows with these students who are tomorrow's leaders. And every night I go home thinking the future is really in good hands. So um look for future GSEI um events. Look on our website. Um thank you again for this wonderful conversation. We've got to applaud these two gentlemen. I'm sorry that not every student got to ask a question, but there's always email. And would you please let the first two rows leave because there are some security issues involved. Thank you very much. Woo!