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Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)

Valor Justo
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementUnited States

Fundamental

61

Preço

$18.96

Capitalização de Mercado

$13.74B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Ares Capital is a business development company that lends directly to mid-sized private US businesses, mostly ones owned by private equity firms, instead of relying on banks or public bond markets. It is externally managed by an affiliate of Ares Management, which finds the loans, negotiates terms and monitors the borrowers, and it holds shares publicly so that individual investors can access private lending returns that are normally only open to large institutions.

Como gera receita

Income comes mainly from interest earned on the loans in its portfolio, which are predominantly first lien senior secured loans sitting at the front of the repayment line if a borrower runs into trouble, plus some second lien and subordinated debt and a smaller amount of equity co-investments. As a regulated investment company it must pay out at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends, and it borrows money itself to increase the size of the portfolio it can hold relative to its equity capital.

Vantagem competitiva

Escala · Estreita

As the largest publicly traded business development company, Ares Capital can write bigger cheques and access deals through the broader Ares Management origination platform in ways smaller direct lenders cannot easily match, and its size supports a lower cost of borrowing. That advantage is real but narrow: private credit has attracted heavy competition from other large BDCs, private equity firms' own credit arms and banks re-entering the space.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Deal volume tends to follow private equity buyout activity, which slows when financing is expensive or uncertain, but the interest income on an existing portfolio of hundreds of loans keeps flowing even when new deal-making pauses. The bigger swing factor is credit quality: in a weaker economy, more portfolio companies struggle to pay, and the loans themselves are what is exposed to the cycle rather than a product being bought or not.

Principais riscos

  • Leverage amplifies losses — Ares Capital borrows money to expand its loan portfolio beyond what its own capital would support; this magnifies gains in good times but also magnifies losses if portfolio credit quality deteriorates.
  • Credit risk from portfolio companies — Borrowers are mid-sized private companies, often carrying meaningful debt of their own; an economic downturn would raise the share of loans on non-accrual status and increase the risk of losses on individual positions.
  • Dependence on maintaining BDC and RIC tax status — Losing business development company status would reduce operating flexibility, and failing to maintain regulated investment company status would expose the company to corporate-level taxes, cutting into what is left to distribute to shareholders.
  • Interest rate exposure — Much of the portfolio earns floating-rate interest, so falling rates reduce investment income directly, while the cost of the company's own borrowing also moves with rates and can squeeze the spread it earns.
  • External management conflicts of interest — Because Ares Capital is managed by an affiliate of Ares Management rather than its own employees, the manager's fee incentives may not always align perfectly with what is best for shareholders, a standard risk of the externally managed structure.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Ares Capital's scale and access to the wider Ares Management origination platform give it first-lien-heavy deal flow that smaller lenders cannot match, that non-accrual levels remain below the sector's historical average, and that its size and diversification across hundreds of portfolio companies reduce the impact of any single credit problem.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that leverage means any broad deterioration in mid-market credit quality would hit shareholder returns harder than an unlevered lender, that heavy competition from other private credit funds is compressing the terms and pricing available on new loans, and that the externally managed structure leaves less direct alignment with shareholders than an internally managed peer.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 74.6Score: 53Market cap: —

The second-largest listed business development company, it originates the same senior secured loans to private-equity-backed U.S. middle-market companies that Ares Capital bids for.

P/E: 19.5Score: 66Market cap: $3.28B

A middle-market specialist whose portfolio is over 90% first-lien loans to private-equity-sponsored borrowers, the identical customer base Ares Capital serves.

Blackstone Secured Lending FundBXSL

Backed by Blackstone's credit platform, it competes deal by deal with Ares Capital for first-lien loans to the same large sponsor-owned borrowers.

FS KKR Capital Corp.FSK

Another large listed BDC lending senior secured and subordinated debt to private U.S. middle-market companies, drawing on KKR's origination network to win the same mandates.

Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.TSLX

Competes for the same directly originated, structured loans to upper-middle-market U.S. companies, often on the same transactions Ares Capital underwrites.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending FundMSDL

A listed direct-lending vehicle targeting the same sponsor-backed U.S. middle-market borrowers with senior secured unitranche loans.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$3.11B

Exercício encerrado em 31/12/2025

Resultado Líquido

$1.30B

Exercício encerrado em 31/12/2025

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

-

Capital Próprio Total

$14.32B

Passivo Total

$16.92B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.67

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

-

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Sem dados de resultados disponíveis

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$23.92

Preço Atual

$18.96

Margem de Segurança

+20.7%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$15.55 - $32.29

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$20.77
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$37.71
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$13.46
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$34.17
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$20.28
P/B justificado:$16.46
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$22.80
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$11.25
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (16B / 4H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-2.61%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

11.75

ROE

9.1%

Rácio P/B

0.98

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

-

WACC

5.9%

ROIC − WACC

-

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (10)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.29%
  • P/B Ratio 0.98
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.40

Reprovado (7)

  • Price CAGR 1.51%
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 6.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -2.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -1.07
  • Share Dilution 12.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

Indisponível (11)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

1/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-1.07

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

12.0%

A emitir novas ações, diluindo a participação

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Mitchell Scott Goldstein CPACo-Chairman, Partner & Co-Head of Ares Credit Group58
Mr. Michael Lewis SmithCo-Chairman of Board of Directors & Co-Head of Ares Credit Group54
Mr. Michael J. AroughetiExecutive VP & Director53
Mr. Kort SchnabelCEO & Co-Head of U.S. Direct Lending48
Mr. James MillerPresident & Co-Head of U.S. Direct Lending48
Mr. Bennett RosenthalCo-Founder, Director, Partner & Chairman of Private Equity Group62
Mr. Scott C. LemCFO & Treasurer47
Ms. Jana MarkowiczChief Operating Officer44
Mr. Won Jae ChoChief Accounting Officer42
Mr. John W. StilmarPartner & Co-Head of Public Markets Investor Relations-

Risco de Auditoria

4

Risco do Conselho

9

Risco de Remuneração

5

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

6

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-04

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-29

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-15

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ARCC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 18d agoPOSITIVE
    Queste 3 azioni sottovalutate potrebbero salire se la Fed alza i tassi questa settimana

    The Federal Reserve's September 15-16 meeting is highly anticipated, with over 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike. August core inflation data and hawkish commentary from Chairman Kevin Warsh have shifted market expectations away from easing. While higher borrowing costs generally pressure stocks, a rate increase could benefit select financial firms. Ares Capital, along with Starwood Property Trust and Ladder Capital, are identified as potential beneficiaries due to their specialization in lending, which could see improved earnings growth in a higher-rate environment. Investors should monitor these companies as potential beneficiaries of the Fed's policy shift.

  • 3/31/2026NEUTRAL
    Ares Capital's Dividend Buffer Looks Intact, But Rate Sensitivity Could Shift The Narrative

    Ares Capital Corporation's dividend coverage ratio remains robust, indicating financial stability and the ability to sustain payouts. However, the article highlights potential headwinds from interest rate sensitivity. While current conditions support the dividend, a sustained higher-rate environment could pressure earnings and the company's ability to maintain its payout levels without adjustments. Investors should monitor rate decisions and their impact on Ares Capital's net interest margin and overall profitability.

via Markets Gazette