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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (BAYRY)

Valor Justo
HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralGermany

Fundamental

60

Preço

$44.98

Capitalização de Mercado

$48.51B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Bayer runs three separate businesses under one roof: seeds and crop-protection chemicals sold to farmers, prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, and over-the-counter health products such as vitamins and pain relievers sold directly to consumers. The three have little in common operationally — different customers, regulators and sales channels — and are grouped together mainly for historical reasons, which is why Bayer has repeatedly weighed splitting them apart.

Como gera receita

Crop Science sells seeds and chemicals to farmers and distributors on a seasonal cycle tied to planting calendars, so revenue is lumpy through the year and sensitive to weather and crop prices. Pharmaceuticals earns money when hospitals, pharmacies and health insurers buy prescription drugs, with prices and volumes shaped by each country's reimbursement system rather than by open retail pricing. Consumer Health sells packaged over-the-counter products through retailers at ordinary retail margins, the most straightforward of the three revenue streams.

Receita por segmento

Crop Science47.4%

Seeds, herbicides, fungicides and other crop-protection products sold to farmers worldwide; the largest of Bayer's three divisions.

Pharmaceuticals39.1%

Prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, covering areas including cardiology, oncology and women's health.

Consumer Health12.7%

Over-the-counter brands such as vitamins, allergy and pain-relief products sold directly to consumers through retailers.

Vantagem competitiva

Patentes e licenças · Estreita

Patented seed traits and drugs under patent protection give temporary pricing power in Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals, but that protection expires and competitors sell generic or biosimilar equivalents once it does. Consumer Health brands carry some loyalty but compete against store brands and other established names, so none of the three divisions has a durable, wide advantage on its own.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Crop Science demand depends on farmers' planting decisions, which swing with crop prices and weather and can be genuinely cyclical in a bad year. Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Health are steadier, since people keep taking prescribed medicines and buying basic health products in most economic conditions, which offsets some of the agricultural volatility at the group level.

Principais riscos

  • Glyphosate litigation — Bayer carries billions of euros in provisions for lawsuits alleging its glyphosate-based Roundup herbicide causes cancer, and paid roughly $1.3 billion in settlements and judgments in 2025 alone; the final cost of resolving remaining and future claims is still uncertain.
  • Patent expirations — Both Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals rely on patent-protected products for their best margins, and once a patent expires generic or biosimilar competitors typically erode price and volume quickly.
  • Regulatory and reimbursement risk — Crop-protection products face ongoing regulatory review that can restrict or ban active ingredients in some markets, while pharmaceutical prices depend on reimbursement decisions by governments and insurers that can change with little notice.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the glyphosate litigation is closer to its end than its beginning after large settlements were reached, that the pharmaceutical pipeline can refill as older drugs lose patent protection, and that the sum of three global, essential businesses is worth more than the market allows while the legal overhang lasts.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that litigation costs and provisions could keep growing beyond what has already been set aside, that key drugs face patent cliffs without fully proven replacements, and that running three unrelated global businesses under one roof dilutes management focus compared with more focused pure-play competitors.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 8.2Score: 71Market cap: $53.01B

Corteva competes head-to-head with Bayer in seeds and traits for corn and soybeans, above all in North and South America where both sell genetically modified seed together with the herbicides it tolerates.

BASF SEBFFAF
P/E: 7.4Score: 59Market cap: $46.25B

BASF's Agricultural Solutions unit offers a crop protection and seeds portfolio that overlaps with Bayer's on the same crops and the same distribution channels, and the two German groups also bought parts of each other's divested businesses after the Monsanto deal.

Syngenta Group (先正达集团)Not tracked

Syngenta sells crop protection chemicals and seeds to the same farmers Bayer's Crop Science division serves, and the two are the largest suppliers of herbicides, fungicides and insecticides worldwide.

Roche Holding AGROG.SW

Roche's Vabysmo competes directly with Bayer's Eylea for the same retinal-disease patients and the same ophthalmologists, on dosing intervals between injections.

Novartis AGNOVN.SW

Novartis competes with Bayer's Pharmaceuticals division in cardiovascular medicine and ophthalmology, selling to the same hospital systems and payers in Europe and the United States.

Sanofi S.A.SAN.PA

Sanofi competes with Bayer on two fronts at once: prescription medicines in Europe, and over-the-counter consumer health brands sold in the same pharmacies and supermarkets.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$45.38B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$-1.74B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$6.56B

Capital Próprio Total

$29.58B

Passivo Total

$38.43B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.04

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

3.79

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$57.23

Preço Atual

$44.98

Margem de Segurança

+21.4%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$37.20 - $77.25

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$58.22
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$106.19
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$6.77
P/B justificado:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$1.16
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$181.27
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (24B / 5H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+14.80%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

-

ROE

-5.7%

Rácio P/B

1.64

P/FCF

7.39

Margem Bruta

60.5%

ROIC

4.8%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

6.2%

ROIC − WACC

-1.4 pp

O ROIC está abaixo do custo do capital — a empresa está a destruir valor a cada dólar investido.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (10)

  • Gross Margin 60.5%
  • P/FCF 7.39
  • P/B Ratio 1.64
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 28.3%

Reprovado (7)

  • Price CAGR -6.89%
  • ROIC 4.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE -6.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 1.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -7.9% vs -5.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. William N. AndersonChairman of the Management Board & CEO59
Mr. Stefan OelrichPresident of the Pharmaceuticals Division & Member of the Board of Management57
Ms. Heike PrinzChief Talent Officer, Labor Director & Member of Management Board61
Dr. Judith HartmannCFO & Member of Management Board56
Mr. Rodrigo SantosMember of Management Board, Head of the Crop Science Division & President of Crop Science Division52
Mr. Julio TrianaMember of Management Board & President of Consumer Health Division60
Mr. Alex BuschermohleChief Information Officer, Head-Digital Transformation & IT-Crop Science Division-
Ms. Jana Marlen AckermannHead of the Investor Relations41
Mr. Bill DoderoGeneral Counsel and Senior VP of Law Patents & Compliance-
Mr. Michael PreussHead of Communications, Government Relations and Corporate Brand-

Risco de Auditoria

6

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

2

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

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