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Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF)

Superavaliada
Basic MaterialsGoldAustralia

Fundamental

68

Preço

$13.08

Capitalização de Mercado

$27.97B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Evolution Mining is an Australian miner that digs up and processes rock to extract gold, with copper as a significant byproduct at some of its mines. It operates a portfolio of underground and open-pit mines, including Cowal, Ernest Henry, Red Lake, Mungari and Northparkes, spanning Australia and Canada. It does not sell to a single end customer; it produces gold bullion and copper concentrate that are sold into global commodity markets at prevailing prices.

Como gera receita

Revenue is simply ounces of gold and tonnes of copper produced, multiplied by the market price on the day they are sold; Evolution has little influence over that price. Gold is the primary product across the portfolio, with copper — produced mainly at Ernest Henry and Cowal — a smaller but meaningful secondary contributor. Because mining and processing costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, profit is highly sensitive to swings in the gold and copper price.

Vantagem competitiva

Nenhuma vantagem identificada · Nenhuma

Gold and copper are undifferentiated commodities sold at a price set by global markets, not by Evolution. A mining company can have better or worse ore bodies and lower or higher costs than its peers, but it cannot charge more for its gold than anyone else does, so there is no durable competitive advantage in the way a brand or a patent provides one.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Evolution's results move with global gold and copper prices, which themselves swing with macroeconomic cycles: gold tends to rise when investors seek a safe haven during uncertainty or falling real interest rates, while copper tracks industrial and construction activity worldwide. A period of high metal prices can lift profit sharply, and a downturn in prices compresses it just as fast, independent of how well the mines themselves are run.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that record gold and copper output, combined with strong metal prices, has already delivered record profit and a higher dividend, and that a long-life, multi-mine portfolio spread across two countries reduces the risk of any single operation disappointing.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that today's record results depend on metal prices Evolution does not control and that could fall back, that mining carries operational risks such as lower ore grades or unexpected costs at any given site, and that a portfolio built around a handful of mines leaves less room to absorb a problem at one of them.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 14.6Score: 79Market cap: $122.28B

The world's largest gold miner, producing gold and copper from the Boddington and Tanami mines in Australia, the same metals and the same domestic operating ground as Evolution.

Northern Star Resources LimitedNST

The other large ASX-listed gold producer, mining the same Western Australian and multi-mine gold portfolio and competing with Evolution for the same ounces, assets, skilled workers and gold-equity investors.

Ramelius Resources LimitedRMS

A mid-tier Western Australian gold producer running the same hub-and-spoke model around Mt Magnet and Edna May, bidding against Evolution for Australian gold deposits and acquisitions.

Regis Resources LimitedRRL

An Australian pure-play gold producer with the Duketon operations and a stake in Tropicana, selling the same metal out of the same Australian cost base.

Genesis Minerals LimitedGMD

A fast-growing gold producer consolidating the Leonora district of Western Australia, competing directly with Evolution for regional gold assets and for the same investors in ASX gold stocks.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$5.59B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$1.49B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.16B

Capital Próprio Total

$5.87B

Passivo Total

$1.44B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.82

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

0.46

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

CíclicaSobrevalorizada

Valor Justo

$10.22

Preço Atual

$13.08

Margem de Segurança

-28.0%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$6.65 - $13.80

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$13.48
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$10.89
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$5.00
P/B justificado:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Consenso dos Analistas:Manter (10B / 9H / 2S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-2.89%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

17.90

ROE

27.4%

Rácio P/B

4.54

P/FCF

24.01

Margem Bruta

45.4%

ROIC

25.5%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

25.5%

WACC

16.2%

ROIC − WACC

+9.3 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (15)

  • Price CAGR 20.46%
  • ROIC 25.5%
  • Gross Margin 45.4%
  • P/FCF 24.01
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 39.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.0%
  • PEG Ratio 0.66
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
  • Net Margin Trend 26.5% vs 21.3%

Reprovado (6)

  • P/B Ratio 4.54
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 48% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.79

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Não há declarações institucionais para esta empresa.

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Lawrence John Conway BBus, C.P.A., MAICDCEO, MD & Director-
Ms. Frances SummerhayesChief Financial Officer-
Mr. Matthew O'NeillChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Nancy GuayChief Technical Officer-
Peter O'ConnorGeneral Manager of Investor Relations-
Mr. Evan Elstein A.C.A., B.Com., FCIS, GradDipACGCompany Secretary and VP of IT, Communications & Corporate Affairs-
Mr. Kirron SchmidtVice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. Paul Eagle CAHRI, MNLPVice President of People & Culture-
Ms. Fiona MurfittVice President of Sustainability-

Risco de Auditoria

2

Risco do Conselho

6

Risco de Remuneração

9

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

7

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CAHPF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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