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Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST)

Valor Justo
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicUnited States

Fundamental

73

Preço

$41.62

Capitalização de Mercado

$83.59B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Monster Beverage develops and markets energy drinks, led by its flagship Monster Energy brand, alongside a portfolio of smaller acquired brands and a young alcoholic-beverage business. It owns no bottling plants: cans are filled by outside manufacturers and shipped to market almost entirely through The Coca-Cola Company's global distribution network, an arrangement built after Coca-Cola took a large equity stake in Monster and swapped some of its own energy brands into the deal.

Como gera receita

Monster sells finished product to bottlers and distributors, who then sell it on to retailers — revenue is booked when product ships to the distribution network, not when a can is bought off the shelf. Because Coca-Cola's bottlers handle the actual distribution and much of the marketing muscle, Monster can run a relatively asset-light, high-margin business built on brand strength and shelf placement rather than on owning trucks and warehouses.

Receita por segmento

Monster Energy Drinks92.7%

The core Monster Energy lineup and its many flavor extensions — by far the company's largest and most profitable business.

Strategic Brands5.7%

Smaller energy and non-energy brands acquired over the years, including NOS and Full Throttle, sold through the same Coca-Cola distribution system.

Alcohol Brands1.6%

Craft beer, hard seltzer and spirits brands, a small and still-developing diversification away from energy drinks.

Vantagem competitiva

Marca · Ampla

Monster Energy is one of the two best-known energy drink brands worldwide, built over two decades of marketing tied to extreme sports and gaming culture, which earns it premium shelf space and price. The moat is being tested, though: newer brands like Celsius, Bang and Prime have taken meaningful share in recent years by appealing to health-conscious or younger drinkers Monster's image was not built for.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Energy drinks are a low-cost, habitual purchase that consumers tend to keep buying even when budgets tighten, which makes underlying demand fairly resistant to the economic cycle. The bigger swing factor is competitive and regulatory rather than macroeconomic: new entrants chase the same convenience-store shelf space, and any tightening of marketing or ingredient rules aimed at caffeinated drinks would matter more than a recession.

Principais riscos

  • Dependence on Coca-Cola's distribution network — Monster relies on The Coca-Cola Company's bottlers to distribute the large majority of its products; any disruption to that relationship, or unilateral decisions by bottlers about shelf space, would be difficult to replace quickly.
  • Intensifying competition — Celsius, Bang, Prime and other newer brands are taking shelf space and market share from established energy drink makers, forcing Monster to spend more on marketing and promotion to defend its position.
  • Health and regulatory scrutiny of caffeine and sugar — Energy drinks face recurring public and regulatory attention over caffeine content and marketing to younger consumers; new restrictions on ingredients, labeling or advertising could raise costs or limit how Monster reaches customers.
  • Input cost inflation — Aluminum cans, sweeteners and other raw materials are subject to price swings that Monster cannot always pass on to customers without risking volume, pressuring margins in periods of high inflation.
  • Unproven alcohol diversification — The Alcohol Brands segment is small, still developing and unprofitable in some periods, representing a diversification effort whose long-term payoff is not yet demonstrated.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Monster Energy's brand strength and shelf presence give it durable pricing power, that its asset-light distribution model through Coca-Cola's network produces unusually high margins, and that international markets still offer a long runway for a brand that remains far less penetrated outside the U.S.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that newer entrants like Celsius and Prime are eating into Monster's growth and shelf space, that heavy reliance on a single distribution partner concentrates a key business risk, and that regulatory scrutiny of caffeine and marketing to young people could constrain the category over time.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 114.0Score: 57Market cap: $6.92B

Celsius, which now also owns Alani Nu, is Monster's main challenger in the US on the "wellness" and sugar-free end of the energy category, the same shelf where Monster positions Monster Ultra and Reign.

P/E: 16.6Score: 61Market cap: $174.91B

PepsiCo owns Rockstar and Gatorade Fast Twitch and distributes Celsius, so it fights Monster both for the energy-drink consumer and for the retail distribution network that puts cans on the shelf.

P/E: 30.6Score: 62Market cap: $42.02B

Keurig Dr Pepper has built an energy portfolio squarely against Monster by buying GHOST and taking a large stake in Nutrabolt, maker of C4 Energy, and pushing both through its own US distribution.

Red Bull GmbHNot tracked

Red Bull is the brand Monster names first among its direct energy-drink rivals, competing for the same convenience-store cooler space and the same young consumers in essentially every country Monster sells in.

Nutrabolt (Woodbolt Distribution, LLC)Not tracked

Nutrabolt's C4 Energy is one of the brands Monster names as a direct rival to its performance line Reign, competing for the same gym-going and pre-workout drinker.

Living Essentials, LLC (5-hour ENERGY)Not tracked

5-hour ENERGY dominates the energy-shot format and sits at the same US convenience-store counter as Monster, competing for the same caffeine purchase on the same trip.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$9.22B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$2.13B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.97B

Capital Próprio Total

$8.25B

Passivo Total

$1.73B

Rácio de Liquidez

3.73

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

0.10

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$38.13

Preço Atual

$41.62

Margem de Segurança

-9.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$26.48 - $49.77

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$50.24
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$36.33
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$37.56
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$8.08
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$26.86
P/B justificado:$34.46
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$32.99
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$46.18
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$11.05
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (19B / 14H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+1.11%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

19.27

ROE

23.1%

Rácio P/B

4.35

P/FCF

19.43

Margem Bruta

55.5%

ROIC

22.0%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

22.0%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.0 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 14.76%
  • ROIC 22.0%
  • Gross Margin 55.5%
  • P/FCF 19.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 29.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 25.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 58% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.05
  • Share Dilution -3.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 23.1% vs 20.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Reprovado (5)

  • EPS CAGR 3.34%
  • P/B Ratio 4.35
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Indisponível (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.05

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-3.0%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Hilton H. SchlosbergCEO & Vice Chairman72
Mr. Thomas J. Kelly CPAChief Financial Officer71
Mr. Guy P. CarlingChief Executive Officer for EMEA & OSP48
Ms. Emelie C. TirreChief Strategy Officer55
Mr. Rob L. GehringChief Executive Officer for Americas58

Risco de Auditoria

8

Risco do Conselho

9

Risco de Remuneração

7

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-27

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-07

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-25

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MNST, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/11/2026POSITIVE
    You Need to Know the Bull and Bear Case for This Monster Stock That Turned a $1,000 Investment Into $64,000 in 10 Years

    Monster Beverage Corporation has delivered an exceptional 10-year return, transforming a $1,000 investment into $64,000, a testament to its strong performance in the beverage sector. This remarkable growth suggests robust revenue expansion and effective cost management, likely driven by increasing brand popularity and market share gains. Investors are presented with a compelling case for continued upside, as the company demonstrates its ability to consistently outperform market expectations and deliver significant shareholder value.

  • 2/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Monster (MNST) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Investors in Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) are currently awaiting the release of the Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While specific details remain unavailable, the analysis of such documents is paramount for understanding the company's financial performance, future outlook, and growth strategies. Management's commentary on sales, margins, and guidance for the upcoming year will directly influence market expectations and the stock's valuation. Traders will closely monitor any insights into product innovation, geographical expansion, or competitive challenges, all of which could trigger significant movements in the share price.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Monster Beverage Earnings Review: Q4 Summary

    Monster Beverage Corporation has recently released its Q4 financial summary. While the article does not provide specific details on sales figures or earnings per share, the analysis of this data is crucial for investors. Earnings reports offer a vital overview of the company's financial health, growth trajectory, and profitability. Analysts and shareholders will meticulously examine these results to assess past performance and formulate forecasts regarding the energy drink giant's future prospects. Sales trends, profit margins, and future guidance will be key factors in determining market reaction.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    A Peek at Monster Beverage's Future Earnings

    Investors in Monster Beverage Corporation are awaiting a preview of the company's future earnings, a key event that often acts as a catalyst for stock movement. Despite the announcement, no specific details regarding financial projections or growth expectations have been disclosed at this time. The lack of concrete information prevents an immediate directional assessment, leaving the market in a holding pattern. Monster Beverage, a leader in the energy drink sector, is constantly under analyst scrutiny for its ability to innovate and maintain market share in a competitive segment. Market participants will closely monitor any official communications for signals on future performance and their impact on share value.

via Markets Gazette