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ORIX Corporation (ORXCF)

Subavaliada
Financial ServicesFinancial ConglomeratesJapan

Fundamental

61

Preço

$5865.00

Capitalização de Mercado

$6.37T

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

ORIX is a Japanese financial conglomerate that does not fit one label: it leases equipment to businesses, lends money, develops and manages real estate, runs private-equity investments and airport and water concessions, sells life insurance, owns a bank, leases aircraft and ships, and generates and retails renewable energy — mostly in Japan, with growing operations in the Americas, Europe and Asia. Its edge is being able to move capital across all of these businesses as opportunities shift.

Como gera receita

Because it spans leasing, lending, insurance, banking and investing, ORIX earns money in several different ways at once: interest and fees on loans and leases, insurance premiums, gains on private-equity and real-estate investments, and returns on aircraft, ship and infrastructure assets it owns and operates. Group results are reported mainly as segment profit rather than a single, clean revenue split, reflecting how different these businesses are from one another.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Spreading across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure means different parts of the group respond to different conditions at different times — private equity and real estate lean cyclical, insurance and core leasing lean steadier — so the group as a whole tends to be less exposed to any single economic swing than a pure-play in one of those businesses would be.

Principais riscos

  • Credit risk across many businesses — ORIX monitors credit exposure across loans, leases and investments by borrower type, region and asset quality; concentration in any of these can expose the group to loan and lease losses.
  • Interest rate exposure — A meaningful part of interest income comes from floating-rate installment loans and related instruments, so a drop in market interest rates can reduce income earned on that book.
  • Market risk from diverse exposures — The group is exposed to interest rate, foreign exchange and equity market price movements across its lending, investment and insurance businesses simultaneously.
  • Liquidity and funding risk — As a business that lends and leases using borrowed and raised capital, ORIX depends on continued access to funding markets at reasonable cost to sustain its lending and leasing activities.
  • Operational and cybersecurity risk — The group names information security, IT and operational risk among its principal risk categories, given how many financial systems and customer data it operates across its many business lines.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that spreading capital across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure lets ORIX shift money toward whichever business is performing best at a given time, and that this diversification makes the group's overall earnings steadier than any single one of its businesses would be on its own.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that a conglomerate spanning lending, insurance, real estate and private equity is hard for an outside investor to value cleanly, that credit, interest-rate and market risk hit several of its businesses at once in a downturn, and that segment profit — the way results are reported — can mask which parts of the group are actually struggling.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 19 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc. (三菱HCキャピタル株式会社)8593

Japan's largest diversified lessor, chasing the same corporate customers as ORIX in equipment leasing, auto mobility, aircraft, real estate and renewable-energy finance, both in Japan and overseas.

Tokyo Century Corporation (東京センチュリー株式会社)8439

Competes directly for Japanese equipment-leasing and auto-fleet contracts and, like ORIX, has built specialty finance in aircraft, shipping and international leasing.

Sumitomo Mitsui Finance and Leasing Company, Limited (三井住友ファイナンス&リース株式会社)Not tracked

One of the three biggest Japanese lessors, unlisted because it is jointly owned by Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Sumitomo Corporation, and it bids against ORIX for corporate leasing, aircraft and real-estate finance mandates.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited (みずほリース株式会社)8425

Offers the same mix of equipment leasing, lending, real-estate and aircraft operating leases to Japanese corporate borrowers that ORIX serves.

Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd. (芙蓉総合リース株式会社)8424

A mid-sized independent Japanese lessor competing for the same equipment, vehicle and real-estate leasing business among domestic small and mid-cap corporates.

AerCap Holdings N.V.AER

The world's largest aircraft lessor, competing head-on with ORIX Aviation for aircraft placements and sale-leaseback deals with the same global airline customers.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$2.27T

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$620.81B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

-

Capital Próprio Total

$4.47T

Passivo Total

$6.31T

Rácio de Liquidez

1.68

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

5.47

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$10471.14

Preço Atual

$5865.00

Margem de Segurança

+44.0%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$6806.24 - $14136.04

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$7000.00
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$16838.37
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$5636.81
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$24323.51
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$2709.73
P/B justificado:$3497.52
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$2222.63
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$7292.47
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (8B / 8H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+37.10%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

10.88

ROE

14.0%

Rácio P/B

1.42

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

43.6%

ROIC

5.5%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

5.5%

WACC

5.6%

ROIC − WACC

-0.1 pp

O ROIC está próximo do custo do capital — a empresa cobre apenas o custo do capital.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (13)

  • Price CAGR 13.54%
  • ROIC 5.5%
  • Gross Margin 43.6%
  • P/B Ratio 1.42
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 10.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 21.7%
  • PEG Ratio 0.71
  • Net Margin Trend 13.4% vs 12.2%

Reprovado (2)

  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Indisponível (12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Não há declarações institucionais para esta empresa.

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Hidetake TakahashiPresident & CEO for Digital Innovation, Representative Executive Officer and Director54
Mr. Seiichi MiyakeManaging Executive Officer & Head of Investment and Operation Headquarters57
Mr. Stan H. Koyanagi J.D.Senior Managing Executive Officer & Global General Counsel65
Mr. Satoru MatsuzakiRepresentative Executive Officer Deputy President, COO for Japan & APAC and Director59
Mr. Eiji AritaManaging Executive Officer & Head of Corporate Business Headquarters59
Mr. Masataka YamadaSenior Managing Executive Officer, CFO, Chief Strategy Officer & Director53
Mr. Paddy HoganGlobal Head of Investor Relations-
Koichi UchidaGeneral Manager of Group Corporate Communication-
Mr. Satoru KatahiraChairman of Health Insurance Society and Corporate Pension Fund of ORIX Group-
Mr. Shuji IrieSenior Managing Executive Officer, COO of Infrastructure Business Unit & Director62

Risco de Auditoria

1

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

1

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

7

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ORXCF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for ORXCF.