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Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)

Valor Justo
Basic MaterialsGoldUnited States

Fundamental

67

Preço

$236.00

Capitalização de Mercado

$21.39B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Royal Gold provides upfront cash to mining companies that need capital to build or expand a mine, and in exchange receives either a royalty — a percentage of the mine's future revenue or production — or a stream, the right to buy a fixed share of future gold, silver or copper output at a low, fixed price. It owns interests in dozens of mines and exploration projects worldwide but does not operate any of them, employing only a small corporate staff.

Como gera receita

Revenue is recognized when Royal Gold sells the metal it receives, at prevailing market prices, so it captures the full upside of higher gold, silver and copper prices without spending on exploration, construction or day-to-day mining costs. Stream ounces are bought at a fixed cost far below the market price, so streams carry the widest margins; royalties cost nothing to Royal Gold at all, since they are simply a contractual cut of someone else's production or revenue.

Receita por segmento

Stream66.63%

The right to buy a fixed share of a mine's future gold, silver or copper output at a low, contractually fixed price — Royal Gold's highest-margin revenue.

Royalty33.39%

A contractual percentage of a mine's revenue or production, paid with no cost to Royal Gold and no exposure to operating costs.

Vantagem competitiva

Patentes e licenças · Estreita

Each royalty or stream is a unique, long-lived contract, often lasting the entire life of a mine, built through decades of relationships with mining companies and hard-to-replicate deal expertise. That portfolio of contracts cannot easily be copied, but Royal Gold still competes for every new deal against Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals and mining companies' own balance sheets.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Revenue moves directly with gold, silver and copper prices and with the production volumes of the mines Royal Gold has interests in, both of which swing with commodity cycles and broader risk appetite. Because Royal Gold has no control over operating decisions at those mines, its results also depend on production choices made entirely by other companies.

Principais riscos

  • Concentration in a handful of large mines — A large share of revenue comes from a small number of mines such as Mount Milligan, Pueblo Viejo and Khoemacau. An operational setback, strike or geological problem at any one of them would disproportionately hit results.
  • No operating control — Royal Gold does not operate any of the mines it has interests in and cannot control production schedules, cost decisions or mine-life extensions; it simply receives what the operator chooses to deliver.
  • Commodity price exposure — Revenue rises and falls with gold, silver and copper prices, which Royal Gold does not hedge and cannot control; a sustained price decline would reduce revenue even if production stayed constant.
  • Reserve depletion and reinvestment risk — Every mine eventually depletes its reserves, so Royal Gold must continually strike new royalty and stream deals to replace declining production, and there is no guarantee future deals will be as attractive as past ones.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Royal Gold captures the full upside of rising gold, silver and copper prices without bearing mining, construction or exploration costs, and that its portfolio of long-lived contracts across dozens of mines gives it exposure that is diversified even though management is not.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that revenue is concentrated in a handful of mines it does not control, that a sustained fall in metal prices would hit results directly, and that replacing depleting mines with equally attractive new deals gets harder as competition for royalty and streaming agreements increases.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$1.55B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$738M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

-

Capital Próprio Total

$7.16B

Passivo Total

$2.33B

Rácio de Liquidez

2.92

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

0.49

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

CíclicaJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$199.40

Preço Atual

$236.00

Margem de Segurança

-18.4%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$129.61 - $269.18

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$307.33
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$187.76
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$110.32
P/B justificado:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$165.89
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (17B / 3H / 1S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-6.86%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

26.11

ROE

6.5%

Rácio P/B

2.64

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

66.8%

ROIC

8.1%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

8.1%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+0.2 pp

O ROIC está próximo do custo do capital — a empresa cobre apenas o custo do capital.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 11.38%
  • Price CAGR 14.84%
  • ROIC 8.1%
  • Gross Margin 66.8%
  • P/B Ratio 2.64
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 61.4%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.42

Reprovado (7)

  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -4.7%
  • PEG Ratio 3.68
  • Share Dilution 5.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 47.7% vs 56.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Indisponível (5)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.42

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

5.8%

A emitir novas ações, diluindo a participação

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. William H. HeissenbuttelPresident, CEO & Director60
Mr. Paul K. LibnerSenior VP & CFO51
Dr. Martin Raffield P.Eng., Ph.D.Senior Vice President of Operations56
Mr. Randy Shefman J.D.Senior VP & General Counsel51
Mr. Daniel K. BreezeSenior Vice President of Corporate Development - RGLD Gold AG52
Mr. Alistair BakerSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp.-
Mr. David R. Crandall Esq.VP, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer42
Mr. Jason Franklin Hynes B.Sc., M.B.A.Senior Vice President of Strategy & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp47

Risco de Auditoria

3

Risco do Conselho

3

Risco de Remuneração

1

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

2

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-19

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-06

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-05

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for RGLD, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for RGLD.