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Zillow Group, Inc. (Z)

Superavaliada
Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationUnited States

Fundamental

50

Preço

$27.05

Capitalização de Mercado

$6.33B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Zillow runs the most-visited real estate websites and apps in the United States — Zillow, Trulia, StreetEasy and HotPads — where people browse home listings, contact agents, and search for apartments to rent. It does not buy or sell homes itself: it exited that business in 2021 after losing money on it. Instead it earns money from three activities built around that audience: selling leads and advertising to real estate agents, helping landlords list and screen renters, and originating mortgages for buyers who found their home through the site.

Como gera receita

Most revenue comes from real estate agents who pay for placement and leads under the Premier Agent program, priced by lead or subscription rather than tied to any single home sale. Rentals revenue comes from landlords paying to list multifamily units and from renters paying application and screening fees. Mortgages revenue is the origination fee Zillow Home Loans earns when it funds a purchase loan for a buyer who found the property through Zillow. None of the three lines requires Zillow to own the property changing hands.

Receita por segmento

Residential (For Sale)66%

Advertising and lead-generation services sold to real estate agents seeking visibility on Zillow's listings — still the core of the business.

Rentals24.4%

Listing fees paid by multifamily landlords plus application and screening fees paid by renters — the fastest-growing line.

Mortgages7.7%

Origination fees earned when Zillow Home Loans funds a purchase loan for a buyer who found the home through Zillow.

Other1.9%

Smaller lines, including New Construction marketplace advertising, that do not fit the three main segments.

Vantagem competitiva

Efeitos de rede · Estreita

Zillow's audience of home shoppers is the largest of any US real estate site, which is what draws agents to pay for leads — a smaller rival cannot offer the same reach. The advantage stays narrow because multiple listing services feed the same property data to Zillow, Redfin and Realtor.com alike, so an agent can shift ad spend between them at little cost.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

The advertising revenue that still dominates the business tracks how many homes change hands and how much agents are willing to spend chasing buyers, both of which fall when mortgage rates rise and existing-home sales slow. Rentals and mortgages add some counterweight, since renters keep moving even when buyers wait, but the largest segment still rises and falls with the housing transaction cycle.

Principais riscos

  • Real estate commission structure in flux — Industry-wide settlements over how buyer agents are paid have changed since 2024 and the rules are still shifting; Zillow's advertising revenue depends on agents having commission-funded budgets to spend on leads.
  • Sensitivity to mortgage rates and transaction volume — Home sales, and the agent spending that funds Zillow's advertising business, fall when mortgage rates rise or affordability worsens, a cycle largely outside the company's control.
  • Competition for agent advertising budgets — Realtor.com, Redfin, and agents' own direct marketing all compete for the same advertising dollars, and an agent can redirect spend elsewhere with little switching cost.
  • New mortgage lending business carries credit and rate risk — Zillow Home Loans funds loans directly, exposing the company to interest-rate and credit risk it did not carry when it only referred buyers to outside lenders.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Zillow's audience lead is durable, that Rentals and Mortgages are diversifying revenue away from pure transaction advertising, and that a return to more normal home-sale volumes would flow straight through to the dominant Residential segment.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that changes to buyer-agent commissions shrink the budgets agents have to spend on leads, that rivals can reach the same audience through the same MLS data, and that a new mortgage-lending business adds balance-sheet risk to what was once a pure advertising model.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$2.81B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$55M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$235M

Capital Próprio Total

$4.88B

Passivo Total

$801M

Rácio de Liquidez

1.92

Cobertura de Juros

0.67

Dívida/EBITDA

2.43

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSobrevalorizada

Valor Justo

$21.76

Preço Atual

$27.05

Margem de Segurança

-24.3%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$14.14 - $29.37

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$46.00
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$2.60
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$3.74
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$0.27
P/B justificado:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$25.34
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (17B / 13H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+13.14%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

123.32

ROE

0.5%

Rácio P/B

1.12

P/FCF

18.64

Margem Bruta

72.9%

ROIC

0.2%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

0.2%

WACC

14.6%

ROIC − WACC

-14.4 pp

O ROIC está abaixo do custo do capital — a empresa está a destruir valor a cada dólar investido.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Gross Margin 72.9%
  • P/FCF 18.64
  • P/B Ratio 1.12
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 7.05
  • Net Margin Trend 2.0% vs -2.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Reprovado (12)

  • Price CAGR -2.38%
  • ROIC 0.2%
  • Operating Margin 0.4%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 1.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -5.0%
  • Share Dilution 9.5%

Indisponível (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

7.05

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

9.5%

A emitir novas ações, diluindo a participação

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Richard N. BartonCo-Founder & Co-Executive Chair57
Mr. Lloyd D. FrinkCo-Founder, Co-Executive Chairman & President60
Mr. Jeremy WacksmanCEO & Director48
Mr. Jeremy HofmannCOO & CFO39
Mr. David A. BeitelChief Technology Officer55
Mr. Bradley Allen BerningVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Cassandra KnightChief Legal & Policy Officer55
Mr. Dan SpauldingChief People Officer48
Mr. Errol G. SamuelsonChief Industry Development Officer59

Risco de Auditoria

3

Risco do Conselho

9

Risco de Remuneração

10

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

10

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-11

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-05

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-17

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for Z, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 15d agoNEGATIVE
    Zillow Loses Antitrust Battle Over Chicago Area Listing Feed

    Zillow Group Inc. has lost a crucial antitrust legal battle in Illinois, failing to secure access to the Chicago area's largest real estate listing feed. This ruling prevents Zillow from obtaining proprietary data from the provider, potentially impacting its market intelligence and competitive positioning in the region. The decision could limit Zillow's ability to offer comprehensive and up-to-date property information, a core aspect of its business model. Investors will monitor Zillow's strategy to overcome this data access hurdle and its potential financial implications.

  • 8/5/2026POSITIVE
    Zillow’s Revenue Jumps as Rentals Offer ‘Bright Spot’

    Zillow Group Inc. reported a significant 18% year-over-year increase in second-quarter revenue, reaching $772 million. The company highlighted its rentals segment as a 'bright spot,' with rental agreements growing at a faster pace than home purchases on its platform. This robust performance in the rental market suggests Zillow's diversified business model is effectively capitalizing on current real estate trends, potentially signaling strong future growth and increased user engagement across its services. Investors may view this as a positive indicator of the company's adaptability and market position.

  • 7/8/2026NEGATIVE
    Zillow, Rocket to Face August FTC Trial Over Rental-Listing Deal

    Zillow Group Inc. and Rocket Companies Inc.'s Redfin will face an August trial concerning their rental-listing partnership, as a Virginia judge denied the FTC's early ruling request. This legal challenge introduces significant uncertainty for Zillow's strategic alliances and could impact its market position in the rental sector. Investors will be closely watching the proceedings for potential regulatory hurdles that might affect future business development and profitability.

  • 5/6/2026NEGATIVE
    Zillow Shares Drop As Profit View Misses On Legal, Ad Costs

    Zillow Group Inc. experienced a significant decline of up to 9% in after-hours trading following the release of its second-quarter profit forecast. The company anticipates profits below Wall Street's consensus estimates, attributing the shortfall to increased legal expenditures and higher advertising costs. Furthermore, a stagnant housing market is contributing to the subdued outlook. For investors, this forecast suggests potential headwinds for Zillow's profitability in the near term, raising concerns about revenue generation and cost management strategies.

  • 3/7/2026POSITIVE
    $30K Boost in Buying Power Reshapes Home Market for Aspiring Buyers

    A median-income U.S. household now possesses the buying power for a home valued at $331,483, an increase of $30,302 from the previous year. This marks the most favorable affordability condition since March 2022, according to Zillow Group Inc. The enhanced purchasing capacity for aspiring homeowners suggests a potential uptick in demand for real estate, which could positively influence related market segments and companies like Zillow, which are integral to the housing transaction process.

via Markets Gazette