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BASF SE (BFFAF)

被高估
Basic MaterialsChemicalsGermany

基本面

57

价格

$49.40

市值

$46.25B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

BASF is a German chemicals group that turns crude oil, natural gas and other raw materials into the intermediate products other industries build on: plastics, coatings, catalysts, crop protection chemicals and ingredients for food, pharmaceuticals and personal care. Its plants are organized in integrated complexes ("Verbund" sites) where one factory's waste heat or by-product becomes another's raw material, and it sells worldwide across chemicals, automotive, construction, agriculture and consumer goods customers.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling chemical products by volume and price, so results swing with the price of oil and gas feedstocks, plant utilization and global industrial demand rather than following a subscription-like pattern. Margins are thinnest in basic Chemicals, where products are largely interchangeable with competitors', and richer in specialty areas like Agricultural Solutions and Surface Technologies, where formulations and application know-how are harder to copy.

分部营收

Materials21.4%

Engineering plastics and polyurethane systems sold to the automotive, construction and furniture industries.

Chemicals16.9%

Basic petrochemicals and intermediates, largely feeding BASF's own downstream segments as well as outside customers.

Agricultural Solutions16.1%

Crop protection chemicals and seed treatments sold to farmers worldwide, BASF's highest-margin large segment.

Surface Technologies15%

Catalysts for vehicle emission control and battery materials, plus coatings for cars and industrial surfaces.

Industrial Solutions14.4%

Performance chemicals for industrial customers, including, since 2025, the chemical and refining catalysts business.

Nutrition & Care10.9%

Ingredients for food, pharmaceuticals, home care and personal care products, such as vitamins and surfactants.

Other5.4%

Non-allocated corporate businesses, including commodity trading activities, not attributed to the six operating segments.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Chemical volumes track global industrial production, construction and automotive output closely, so demand rises and falls with the manufacturing cycle rather than staying steady. BASF's own outlook ties its results to assumptions about global GDP growth, oil prices and the health of the automotive and construction sectors, and it has flagged persistent margin pressure across several product lines.

主要风险

  • Margin pressure across product lines — The company states that continuing pressure on margins for a number of products and value chains may lead to further declining margins, driven by price competition and raw material cost swings.
  • Energy and raw material cost exposure — As an energy-intensive producer, BASF's margins move with oil and gas prices, and higher CO2 costs under emissions trading schemes and energy legislation add a further regulatory cost layer.
  • Production disruption — Unplanned plant shutdowns from accidents, equipment failure or extreme weather can interrupt supply from BASF's integrated Verbund sites, even with redundant facilities and crisis management in place.
  • Macroeconomic and geopolitical risk — An unexpected slowdown in global growth, rising protectionism, or escalation of geopolitical conflicts could disrupt supply chains and constrain the energy and raw materials BASF depends on.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: —Score: 47Market cap: $20.10B

Dow is the closest Western equivalent to BASF's core portfolio, selling the same petrochemicals, polyethylene, polyurethanes and performance materials to the same packaging, automotive and construction customers worldwide.

P/E: 50.8Score: 58Market cap: $53.01B

Corteva competes with BASF Agricultural Solutions for the same farmers, selling crop protection chemistry and seed traits into the same North American, Brazilian and European growing seasons.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.LYB

LyondellBasell competes head-on with BASF's Chemicals and Materials segments in olefins, propylene oxide, polypropylene and other intermediates sold to industrial converters in Europe and the Americas.

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC)Not tracked

SABIC supplies the same commodity polymers and basic chemicals to European and Asian customers, and is exactly the low-cost Middle Eastern competition BASF names as the pressure on its core businesses.

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Sinopec (中国石油化工股份有限公司)Not tracked

Sinopec is the world's second-largest chemical producer and takes share from BASF in Asian volumes of ethylene, polyolefins and basic intermediates — the Chinese competition BASF flags in its 2025 report.

Covestro AGNot tracked

Covestro, now owned by Abu Dhabi's XRG and delisted from Frankfurt in May 2026, is BASF's direct rival in isocyanates (MDI/TDI), polycarbonates and polyurethane systems for the same automotive, furniture and insulation customers.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$62.80B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$5.88B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$1.05B

股东权益合计

$37.04B

负债合计

$26.68B

流动比率

1.85

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

4.06

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

周期性被高估

公允价值

$40.53

当前价格

$49.40

安全边际

-21.9%

公允价值区间

$28.33 - $52.73

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$52.58
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):$40.85
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$25.95
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):不适用于此类公司
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:买入 (15B / 8H / 6S)
最近财报超预期:+52.54%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

7.54

ROE

6.1%

市净率(P/B)

1.22

P/FCF

43.84

毛利率

24.0%

ROIC

4.0%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

4.0%

WACC

5.1%

ROIC − WACC

-1.1 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(10)

  • P/B Ratio 1.22
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 17.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 52% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.92
  • Net Margin Trend 2.7% vs 2.0%

未通过(10)

  • Price CAGR -5.21%
  • ROIC 4.0%
  • Gross Margin 24.0%
  • P/FCF 43.84
  • Operating Margin 3.7%
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -21.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.92

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Dr. Markus KamiethCEO & Chairman of the Board of Executive Directors55
Dr. Dirk ElvermannMember of the Board of Executive Directors, CFO & Chief Digital Officer54
Mr. Anup KothariMember of the Board of Executive Director & President of the Nutrition and Health Division57
Dr. Stephan KothradeCTO & Member of the Board of Executive Directors58
Dr. Katja ScharpwinkelMember of the Board of Executive Director56
Dr. Mary KurianMember of Board of Executive Director48
Dr. Livio TedeschiMembers of the Board of Executive Director53
Mr. Christian-Matthias JutziSenior VP of Mobile Emissions Catalysts & President of Corporate Finance48
Dr. Stefanie WettbergSenior Vice President of Investor Relations52
Ms. Silke WischeroppGeneral Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer46

审计风险

2

董事会风险

5

薪酬风险

1

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for BFFAF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for BFFAF.