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Beazley plc (BZLYF)

被高估
Financial ServicesInsurance - SpecialtyUnited Kingdom

基本面

53

价格

$1308.37

市值

$7.79B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Beazley is a specialist insurer operating mainly through Lloyd's of London: it underwrites risks that standard insurers avoid or price poorly, such as cyberattacks, kidnap and ransom, and large or unusual property and marine exposures. Brokers bring it individual risks, Beazley's underwriters price and accept them, and the company collects premiums up front in exchange for a promise to pay claims that may not surface for years.

盈利方式

Revenue is insurance premium, earned gradually over the life of each policy rather than booked all at once when it is written, plus investment income on the reserves held to pay future claims. Profit depends on charging more in premiums than the claims and expenses eventually paid out — a gap the industry calls the combined ratio — so the same dollar of premium can be very profitable or a loss depending entirely on how claims develop years later.

分部营收

Specialty Risks32.3%

A broad book of professional liability, executive risk and other specialty commercial lines outside the other four categories.

Property Risks27.9%

Insurance on physical property and related business interruption, including large and catastrophe-exposed commercial risks.

Cyber Risks20.1%

Cover against data breaches, ransomware and other digital attacks — one of the newer and fastest-changing lines Beazley underwrites.

MAP Risks16%

Marine, aviation and political risk lines, grouped together as a single underwriting division.

Digital3.8%

Smaller commercial risks underwritten and distributed through digital, algorithm-driven channels rather than traditional broker placement.

护城河

专利与许可 · 狭窄

Underwriting specialty risks like cyber or kidnap and ransom well requires claims data and expertise built up over many years, which is hard for a new entrant to replicate quickly. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because capital, not just expertise, backs an insurer's ability to write business, and well-funded rivals can buy their way into the same specialty lines.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Insurance pricing moves in multi-year cycles driven by how much capital the industry has available to write risk: after large losses, prices rise and Beazley can charge more for the same risk; after a run of profitable years, new capital enters, competition increases and rates soften, as the company itself reported happening across its book in 2025.

主要风险

  • Catastrophe and cyber accumulation risk — The company identifies catastrophe risk — large events caused by nature such as hurricanes and earthquakes, or by people such as a coordinated cyberattack, pandemic or war — as a principal risk that can generate claims far larger than any single premium collected.
  • Softening underwriting cycle — Rates on renewal business decreased by 3.6% on average across the portfolio in 2025, a softening market that, if it continues, would compress the margin Beazley earns on the same risks over time.
  • Reserving and reserve adequacy — Beazley names reserving risk among its principal insurance risks: claims on specialty lines like cyber or professional liability can take years to emerge, so reserves set aside today may prove too low once the true cost of past policies becomes known.

看多理由

Buyers argue that specialty underwriting expertise built over decades lets Beazley price risks that generalist insurers cannot, that a combined ratio in the low 80s shows real underwriting discipline rather than luck, and that cyber and other specialty lines still have room to grow as more of the economy needs that cover.

看空理由

Sellers fear that softening rates on renewal business will keep compressing margins as more capital chases the same specialty risks, that a single large catastrophe or cyber event could produce losses far above what current reserves assume, and that reserves set years ago for slow-to-emerge claims may need to be strengthened later.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 9.4Score: 72Market cap: $21.56B

Markel's insurance arm competes head-on in US excess and surplus specialty liability and at Lloyd's, with overlapping professional liability, cyber and marine offerings.

P/E: 7.2Score: 79Market cap: $32.42B

Arch underwrites professional lines, cyber, property and marine through its London and Lloyd's operations and its US insurance segment, chasing the same broker-placed specialty business.

Hiscox LtdHSX

The closest London-listed peer: Hiscox underwrites the same Lloyd's specialty book — cyber, professional indemnity, D&O, property and marine — and competes for the same brokers and commercial clients in the UK and the US.

Chubb LimitedCB

Chubb is the other leader of the global standalone cyber market alongside Beazley and bids for the same large corporate cyber, D&O and specialty liability programmes worldwide.

AXIS Capital Holdings LimitedAXS

AXIS writes the same specialty lines — cyber, professional lines, marine and property — through both its Lloyd's syndicate and its US excess and surplus platform, targeting Beazley's core mid-market and corporate buyers.

Lancashire Holdings LimitedLRE

Lancashire is the other London-listed Lloyd's specialty underwriter competing in property, energy, marine, aviation and political risk — the classes that make up Beazley's Property and MAP divisions.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$5.56B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$656M

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$-7M

股东权益合计

$3.67B

负债合计

$624M

流动比率

36.00

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.50

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$338.68

当前价格

$1308.37

安全边际

-286.3%

公允价值区间

$220.14 - $457.22

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$1312.86
现金流折现法(DCF):$21.25
市盈率法(P/E):$9.97
格雷厄姆成长公式:$13.51
盈利能力价值(EPV):$13.09
合理市净率(P/B):$20.07
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$8.86
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$24.38
分析师共识:买入 (9B / 8H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-41.75%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

1190.74

ROE

14.2%

市净率(P/B)

160.76

P/FCF

-

毛利率

29.4%

ROIC

14.9%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

14.9%

WACC

7.4%

ROIC − WACC

+7.5 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(10)

  • Price CAGR 12.92%
  • ROIC 14.9%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 14.2%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 13.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 53% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.88

未通过(8)

  • Gross Margin 29.4%
  • P/B Ratio 160.76
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -13.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.0% vs 18.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

不可用(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

1/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.88

中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Adrian Peter CoxCEO & Executive Director54
Ms. Barbara Plucnar JensenGroup CFO & Executive Director54
Mr. Troy DehmannChief Operating Officer-
Mr. Stuart SimpsonChief Investment Officer-
Mark MoerdykChief Technology Officer-
Ms. Sarah BoothHead of Investor Relations & Chair of the Diversity Steering Group-
Ms. Georgina Peters-VenzanoChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Elizabeth Mary Jane AshfordChief People Officer & Head of ESG58
Mr. Jeremiah Edward Sullivan Jr.Head & Chair of US Management Committee-
Mr. Patrick HartiganGroup Head of Treaty-

审计风险

1

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

10

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for BZLYF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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