Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP)
合理估值基本面
66
价格
$129.54
市值
$13.92B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Check Point sells the firewalls and related security software that sit at the edge of a company's network, inspecting traffic entering and leaving to block intrusions, malware and data theft. It was one of the pioneers of the corporate firewall in the 1990s and still sells physical security appliances, but has been extending its portfolio into cloud security, endpoint protection and email security to compete with newer, cloud-native rivals.
盈利方式
Revenue splits between selling hardware and perpetual software licences, ongoing security subscriptions that give customers access to updated threat protection, and software updates and maintenance contracts tied to the installed base. Subscriptions are the fastest-growing and most recurring part of the business, while hardware and one-time licence sales are lumpier and depend on new equipment refresh cycles.
分部营收
Recurring subscriptions giving customers access to updated threat prevention across network, cloud, endpoint and email products.
Support contracts and software updates tied to the large base of security appliances and software already installed at customers.
Security appliances and one-time software licences sold to new customers or as equipment refreshes for existing ones.
护城河
转换成本 · 狭窄Once Check Point's firewalls and security policies are configured deep inside a company's network, replacing them means re-architecting security operations, which customers put off unless something forces the change. That stickiness is weakening rather than strengthening: Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet and CrowdStrike have been taking share in newer categories like cloud and endpoint security, so the advantage today looks narrow.
需求驱动因素
中度周期性Cybersecurity spending is treated by most enterprises as close to non-discretionary, since a breach can be far costlier than the security budget itself, which cushions demand relative to general IT spending. Even so, the pace of new deals and equipment refreshes still tracks overall enterprise IT budgets and can slow when companies broadly tighten spending.
主要风险
- Losing share to newer security vendors — Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, CrowdStrike and Microsoft are all competing aggressively in cloud and endpoint security, categories where Check Point's legacy firewall position gives it less of an edge.
- Transition toward subscription-based security — Growing security subscriptions faster than legacy hardware and licence revenue declines is an ongoing execution challenge, and a slower transition would weigh on overall growth.
- Israel-based operations and geopolitical risk — A significant part of Check Point's research and development and management is based in Israel, exposing the company to regional political and military conditions that could disrupt operations.
- Being targeted as a security vendor — As a maker of security products, Check Point is itself an attractive target for attackers; a breach of its own systems or a flaw discovered in its products would damage trust in a business built on protecting others.
- Dependence on channel partners — Much of Check Point's sales go through resellers and distributors rather than a direct sales force, so its results depend on those partners continuing to prioritise its products over competitors'.
看多理由
Buyers argue that Check Point's security subscription revenue keeps growing at double-digit rates even as overall revenue growth is modest, that its large installed base of maintenance and support contracts provides a stable, high-margin recurring foundation, and that improving net margins show discipline as the mix shifts toward subscriptions.
看空理由
Sellers worry that Check Point's core firewall franchise keeps losing relative ground to faster-growing rivals in cloud and endpoint security, that overall revenue growth well below the broader cybersecurity market suggests share loss rather than category strength, and that Israel-based operations add a geopolitical risk most competitors do not carry.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Named by Check Point in its 20-F, Palo Alto Networks sells next-generation firewalls and a consolidated network, cloud and SASE security platform to the same large-enterprise security budgets.
Also named in Check Point's 20-F, Fortinet competes head-on in enterprise firewall appliances and integrated security platforms, and is especially aggressive in the mid-market where Check Point's Quantum gateways sell.
Cisco is listed among Check Point's competitors in the 20-F and sells firewalls and a broad security suite to the same corporate network buyers, often bundled with the networking hardware those customers already own.
Zscaler competes for the cloud-delivered security spend that Check Point targets with Harmony SASE and its secure web gateway and zero-trust access offerings.
Sophos, private since the Thoma Bravo buyout, sells firewalls and endpoint protection to the small and mid-sized businesses that also buy Check Point's Quantum Spark and Harmony Endpoint lines.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$2.76B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$1.05B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$701M
股东权益合计
$2.72B
负债合计
$1.97B
流动比率
1.67
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
2.33
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$154.98
当前价格
$129.54
安全边际
+16.4%
公允价值区间
$110.83 - $199.14
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
13.98
ROE
37.6%
市净率(P/B)
5.12
P/FCF
19.86
毛利率
87.5%
ROIC
12.8%
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
12.8%
WACC
7.0%
ROIC − WACC
+5.8 pp
ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。
基本面分析标准
通过(14)
- Price CAGR 5.27%
- ROIC 12.8%
- Gross Margin 87.5%
- P/FCF 19.86
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 36.4%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 5.7%
- Earnings Surprise avg 20.6%
- PEG Ratio 1.34
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.07
- Net Margin Trend 38.8% vs 33.0%
未通过(5)
- P/B Ratio 5.12
- CapEx intensity
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Analyst Consensus 44% Buy
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
不可用(8)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-评分
存在严重财务隐患
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
该公司暂无机构申报数据。
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Brig.Gen. Nadav Zafrir | CEO & Director | 54 |
| Ms. Nataly Kremer | Chief Product Officer and Head of R&D | - |
| Mr. Roi Karo | Chief Strategy Officer | - |
| Mr. Gil Friedrichl | General Manager of Workspace Security | - |
| Mr. Gil Shwed | Founder & Executive Chairman | 56 |
| Mr. Roei Golan | Chief Financial Officer | - |
| Mr. Jonathan Zanger | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Ariel Pisetzky | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Kip E. Meintzer | Head of Global Investor Relations | - |
| Shira Yashar | General Counsel | - |
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
Latest News
Recent headlines for CHKP, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 2/27/2026NEGATIVESphera Dumps 15,000 Check Point Software Shares Worth $3.1 Million
Sphera, a prominent investment fund, recently divested 15,000 shares of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd., totaling $3.1 million. This move, which sees a significant entity reduce its exposure to the cybersecurity giant, could be interpreted by investors as a cautionary signal. While Sphera's exact motivations remain undisclosed, the sale of such a substantial stake might suggest a revised outlook on the company's future prospects or a strategic capital reallocation. Market participants will closely monitor Check Point Software, a leader in integrated protection across networks, cloud, and endpoints, to ascertain if this divestment foreshadows a shift in overall sentiment.
via Markets Gazette