DLocal Limited (DLO)
被低估基本面
82
价格
$13.79
市值
$4.05B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
dLocal is a payments company headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay (incorporated in the Cayman Islands, listed on Nasdaq) that connects large global merchants to consumers in emerging markets. Global companies — in e-commerce, streaming and digital services, software-as-a-service, ride-hailing and on-demand delivery, advertising, travel and financial services — want to sell in countries such as Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Nigeria, Egypt, South Africa and India, where shoppers pay with local cards, bank transfers, instant-payment rails such as Pix, cash vouchers and digital wallets rather than with international credit cards. dLocal offers a single technical integration and a single contract that gives access to hundreds of local payment methods across dozens of countries, and handles the local licences, local bank accounts, foreign-exchange conversion and settlement behind the scenes. The platform works in two directions: pay-in, collecting money from local consumers on behalf of the merchant, and pay-out, sending money to local recipients such as drivers, sellers, freelancers and content creators. In its Form 20-F the company states that it manages its business under a single operating segment, payment processing. For the full year 2025 it reported total payment volume of US$40.8 billion, revenue of US$1,093.6 million and gross profit of US$402.8 million.
盈利方式
dLocal earns a fee on each transaction it processes, so revenue tracks total payment volume multiplied by an average take rate. The fee is typically a percentage of the amount processed, sometimes plus a fixed component, and it varies widely by country, by payment method and by merchant: cross-border flows (where dLocal also converts currency and moves money out of the country) carry a higher take rate than local-to-local flows, where the merchant already holds a local entity and dLocal only processes domestic payments. Because dLocal pays away a large part of that fee to local acquirers, banks and payment-method providers, gross profit — not revenue — is the number management steers by; in 2025 revenue grew 47% while gross profit grew 37%, meaning the average margin per dollar processed kept compressing as volume mix shifted toward large, lower-priced merchants and local-to-local business. There is no subscription or licence line: essentially all revenue is volume-based and repeats only as long as merchants keep routing payments through the platform. The 20-F does not disclose a numerical split of revenue between cross-border and local-to-local or between individual countries.
护城河
专利与许可 · 狭窄What is genuinely hard to copy is not the software but the regulatory and banking plumbing behind it: payment licences and registrations in dozens of emerging markets, local bank relationships, settlement accounts, tax and anti-money-laundering compliance in each jurisdiction, and hundreds of individually negotiated integrations with local payment methods. A global merchant that wanted to replicate this would have to repeat the work country by country, which is why a single contract and a single integration have value. The advantage looks narrow rather than wide: dLocal's own filing describes substantial and increasingly intense competition, from global processors moving into emerging markets and from strong local players, and the continuing gap between revenue growth and gross-profit growth shows that pricing power is limited. Large merchants routinely connect to more than one provider and can shift volume between them, and the spread of instant local rails such as Pix lowers the cost of entry for competitors.
需求驱动因素
中度周期性Volume comes from consumer spending in emerging markets on things that are partly discretionary — streaming subscriptions, online shopping, travel, ride-hailing, gaming, advertising bought by merchants — so it softens when local incomes or currencies weaken. Against that, the underlying shift from cash to digital payments in these countries is structural and continues through weak years, and dLocal can also grow by adding merchants, countries and payment methods regardless of the cycle: 2025 volume rose 60% year over year. The more specific sensitivity is not the global cycle but individual country shocks — the company's own commentary points to election-related currency and rate volatility in Argentina and a disrupted then partially recovering Egypt — and to the fact that revenue is earned in dollars on payments made in devaluing local currencies.
主要风险
- A handful of merchants provide most of the revenue — The company discloses that certain large merchants account for a significant share of its revenues: the top ten customers represented 61% of revenues in 2025, and two individual customers each exceeded 10% of revenues. Contracts are generally not exclusive and volume can be re-routed, so the loss of, or a pricing renegotiation with, one of these merchants would be felt immediately.
- Intense competition and pressure on pricing — Item 3.D states that competition is substantial and increasingly intense, and that failure to keep pace with rapid technological change in the payments industry could harm the business. Competitors include far larger global payment companies as well as local specialists in each market.
- Licences and evolving regulation in every country — The company warns that it may not hold, or may be unable to obtain or maintain, the regulatory licences required in the jurisdictions where it operates. Payment, e-money, foreign-exchange and anti-money-laundering rules in emerging markets are complex and change frequently, and losing or failing to obtain a licence can shut down a market.
- Currency devaluation, capital controls and tax complexity — dLocal reports exposure to complex and evolving tax regimes and foreign-exchange regulations, and to currency restrictions and devaluation in the countries where it operates. It holds local balances and converts currency as part of its service, so restrictions on moving money out of a country, or a sharp devaluation, hit both settlement and results.
- Concentration in Latin America and in politically unstable markets — A substantial portion of the end users served are concentrated in Latin America, and the filing flags political, economic, regulatory and social instability, government influence over the economies in which it operates, sovereign credit-rating downgrades, weak infrastructure and internet connectivity, and — in the 2025 filing — the 2026 U.S. military and economic intervention in Venezuela.
- Technology failures and cyberattacks — Interruption or failure of the information technology and communications systems would disrupt payment processing, and the company states it is subject to cyberattacks and may suffer security breaches. It handles payment data and holds merchant funds, so an incident carries both direct losses and reputational damage, and the filing separately notes that the business depends on its reputation.
- Voting control concentrated in the founders' shares — The dual-class structure means holders of Class B shares owned 43.76% of the shares as of December 31, 2025 but controlled the large majority of the voting rights, enough to elect the board. Minority shareholders therefore have little influence over governance decisions.
客户集中度
主要客户占营收的61%
The 20-F discloses that the top ten customers by revenue represented 61% of revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, against 62% in 2024 and 60% in 2023, and that two customers individually exceeded 10% of revenues in 2025 (two in 2024 as well, one in 2023, none in 2022). The company does not name them. Concentration has risen sharply since 2022, when the top ten were 50% of revenues, and it is disclosed as a risk factor in its own right.
看多理由
Buyers argue that dLocal sits on a structural shift — hundreds of millions of consumers in Latin America, Africa and Asia coming online and paying with local methods — and that global merchants will not build that plumbing themselves country by country. They point to volumes growing faster than the market, to a business that needs little capital and converts profit into cash, and to net income rising alongside volume in 2025. They also argue that licences, local banking relationships and years of integrations are a real barrier, that each new country and each new merchant is additive at low incremental cost, and that pay-outs and local-to-local processing open flows much larger than the original cross-border business.
看空理由
Sellers fear that the economics are quietly deteriorating: volume and revenue grow much faster than gross profit, which is what happens when a business wins ever-larger merchants by charging them less, and when the mix moves toward cheap local rails. They fear that with the top ten merchants at 61% of revenues and two above 10% each, a single renegotiation or a merchant bringing processing in-house changes the picture at once. They also point to the jurisdictional risk the company itself lists — licences that can be lost, tax and foreign-exchange rules that change, capital controls, devaluations, political instability in the markets that carry most of the volume — and to a dual-class structure that leaves outside shareholders without a vote if any of that is handled badly.
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
EBANX is the other emerging-market payments specialist, selling the same single-integration access to local payment methods in Latin America, Africa and Asia to the same global merchants such as streaming, gaming and e-commerce platforms.
Adyen sells large international merchants a single payment platform and has been adding local acquiring and local payment methods in Brazil, Mexico and India, the same contracts dLocal bids for.
Rapyd offers cross-border pay-ins and payouts in the same regions and, after buying PayU's acquiring business in six Latin American countries plus Nigeria and South Africa in March 2025, now holds local licences in dLocal's core markets.
Stripe is the default payment platform for digital-first global merchants and competes for the same budgets as it extends local payment methods into Brazil, Mexico and India.
Now focused on India, Turkey and Southeast Asia after selling its Latin American and African arm, PayU processes local payment methods for merchants selling into those markets, where dLocal is also present.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$1.36B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$204M
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$348M
股东权益合计
$333M
负债合计
$67M
流动比率
1.25
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
0.28
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$65.00
当前价格
$13.79
安全边际
+78.8%
公允价值区间
$42.25 - $87.75
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
20.24
ROE
41.3%
市净率(P/B)
7.35
P/FCF
7.04
毛利率
34.3%
ROIC
42.9%
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
42.9%
WACC
9.4%
ROIC − WACC
+33.5 pp
ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。
基本面分析标准
通过(15)
- ROIC 42.9%
- Gross Margin 34.3%
- P/FCF 7.04
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 37.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 60.0%
- Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.41
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.18
- Net Margin Trend 18.0% vs 16.1%
未通过(4)
- Price CAGR -17.00%
- P/B Ratio 7.35
- Earnings Surprise avg -3.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
不可用(8)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-评分
存在严重财务隐患
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
该公司暂无机构申报数据。
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Pedro Arnt | CEO & Director | 51 |
| Mr. Sergio Enrique Fogel Kaplan | Co-Founder & Strategic Advisor | 61 |
| Mr. Guillermo Lopez Perez | Chief Financial Officer | 49 |
| Mr. Carlos J. Menendez | Chief Operating Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Alberto Almeida | Chief Technology Officer | 37 |
| Mirele de Aragao | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Gabriela Vieira | Chief Legal & Compliance Officer | 36 |
| Mr. Christopher Stromeyer | Senior Vice President of Corporate Development | - |
| Mr. John O'Brien | Chief Revenue Officer | 40 |
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
Latest News
Recent headlines for DLO, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/14/2026NEUTRALDLocal Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
dLocal Limited has released its Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript. While the transcript itself is a factual record of the discussion, it does not inherently contain forward-looking guidance or specific financial results that would immediately impact the stock price. Investors will need to analyze the content of the transcript for any qualitative insights into business performance, strategic developments, or management outlook that may not have been fully captured in prior earnings releases. The absence of new quantitative data makes this a neutral signal pending further analysis of the transcript's details.
- 3/19/2026POSITIVEDLocal Shares Rise On Q4 Revenue Beat, Buyback Plan
DLocal's stock surged following its Q4 earnings report, which showcased a revenue beat against analyst expectations. The company also unveiled a substantial $300 million share buyback program, signaling strong confidence in its financial health and future prospects. This dual announcement suggests robust operational performance and a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Investors are likely to view the buyback as a positive catalyst, potentially driving the stock price higher by reducing the number of outstanding shares and increasing earnings per share.
via Markets Gazette