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eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR)

被低估
Financial ServicesCapital MarketsIsrael

基本面

88

价格

$25.68

市值

$2.04B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

eToro Group Ltd. runs a retail, multi-asset investment platform used by individual investors in dozens of countries. Through one app a user can buy stocks and ETFs, trade currencies, commodities and cryptoassets, and use leveraged contracts-for-difference where local rules allow them. Its distinguishing feature is social: users publish their portfolios, follow each other, and through CopyTrader can mirror another user's trades automatically. eToro also offers a money/payments product and paid membership tiers. The group is headquartered in Israel, is regulated through separate licensed entities in the UK, Cyprus, Australia, the US and elsewhere, and reports under IFRS as a foreign private issuer; it listed on Nasdaq and filed its first Form 20-F for the 2025 fiscal year. For 2025 it reported total revenue and income of $13.84bn, net contribution of $868m and net income of about $216m, with roughly 3.85m funded accounts.

盈利方式

eToro earns money in four ways: the spread and fees it takes when users trade, the interest it earns on user cash and on margin lending, currency-conversion and account fees, and subscriptions. One accounting detail matters more than anything else here. Crypto trades are executed as principal, so the filing books the entire sale proceeds as 'Revenue from cryptoassets' — $12.98bn in 2025 — and the purchase cost separately as 'Cost of revenue from cryptoassets' — $12.93bn. The difference, about $43m, is what the crypto spot business actually contributed. That is why the headline revenue line is enormous and almost meaningless as a measure of size. Management steers by 'net contribution', revenue net of the variable costs of producing it, which was $868m in 2025 against $788m in 2024. Underneath that, the economics are: trading spreads on equities, commodities and currencies ($399m of net trading income), net interest from users ($213m), crypto (spot plus derivatives), and currency conversion and other income ($96m).

分部营收

Revenue from cryptoassets93.8%

Gross proceeds from selling cryptoassets to retail users, booked as principal. The matching purchase cost of $12.93bn is reported separately, so the line is close to a pass-through: the crypto spot business netted roughly $43m in 2025.

Net trading income from equities, commodities and currencies2.9%

Spreads, fees and market-making results on shares, ETFs, commodities and currency positions, including leveraged CFDs where permitted. This is the largest genuinely net revenue line, $399m in 2025.

Net interest income from users1.5%

Interest earned on client cash balances and on financing extended to users who trade on margin, net of what is paid out. Worth $213m in 2025 and directly tied to central-bank policy rates.

Net trading income from cryptoasset derivatives0.9%

Result on leveraged crypto positions offered as derivatives rather than as spot holdings, reported net. $124m in 2025.

Currency conversion and other income0.7%

Fees charged when a user funds or withdraws in a currency other than the account currency, plus the eToro Money payments product and subscription revenue. $96m in 2025.

Other interest income0.2%

Interest earned on the company's own corporate cash and investments, not on client balances. $30m in 2025.

护城河

网络效应 · 狭窄

eToro's one hard-to-copy asset is its social layer: a public feed of real portfolios and the CopyTrader mechanism, where popular investors are paid to be copied. The more investors publish track records, the more useful the platform is to beginners who do not want to pick stocks themselves — a genuine network effect, and the reason eToro is recognised as a brand among first-time investors in Europe. It is narrow, not wide. Nothing stops a user from opening an account at a competing broker: eToro spent $209m on selling and marketing in 2025 against $868m of net contribution, which is what a business still buying its users looks like. Its own filing lists competition from fintechs, incumbent banks and less-regulated venues as a principal risk, and several rivals now run copy-trading features of their own.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Demand is the appetite of retail investors to trade, and that appetite is procyclical in the extreme. Activity peaks when markets are rising and crypto is in the news — new accounts open, existing users trade more, spreads earn more — and drains away in flat or falling markets, exactly when marketing costs the most per new customer. The interest line adds a second, different cycle: it grew with the rate-rise years and shrinks as policy rates fall, independently of trading volumes. The one partly stabilising element is the stock of client balances, which earns interest whether or not anyone trades.

主要风险

  • Results swing hard with market volatility — The company discloses that its operating results have fluctuated and will continue to fluctuate significantly from period to period, because the business depends on conditions in securities, cryptoasset, currency and commodity markets. A quiet quarter means fewer trades and less revenue, and abrupt or erratic market movements may leave it unable to execute or adjust its risk management in time — a risk it flags specifically for extended-hours trading, where liquidity can vanish.
  • Keeping and adding users — eToro states that its success requires retaining existing users, adding new ones and keeping them engaged, and that many factors could reduce engagement. It separately warns that its historical growth rates may not indicate future growth, noting that growth in funded accounts has slowed and that growth pursued through acquisitions is unpredictable.
  • A regulatory landscape that keeps changing — The filing describes an extensive, complex, overlapping and constantly changing regulatory environment, with heterogeneous requirements across the many jurisdictions eToro serves and evolving cryptoasset rules such as MiCA and the Travel Rule. It separately flags obligations on sanctions, fraud, anti-money-laundering, counter-terrorist-financing and anti-bribery, where its geographic spread raises the chance of a violation and sanctions enforcement is strict liability.
  • Interest rates cut both ways — The company says it is directly and indirectly exposed to interest rate fluctuations: net interest income moves with central-bank policy rates, and it notes the possibility of regulatory restrictions on earning interest on client balances at all.
  • Dependence on third parties, and counterparty default — Executing user trades, placing hedges and providing payment services depends on third-party liquidity providers and banking relationships, whose termination could disrupt operations. The company also discloses counterparty risk: leveraged users can leave it with credit losses, and the insolvency of a bank holding its assets would affect recovery. It adds that adequate insurance is not always available, particularly for cryptoasset crime and certain cyber incidents.
  • Users lose money, and that is a business risk — Because eToro provides real-time services in volatile markets, its users are exposed to loss, and the company discloses that user dissatisfaction from those losses can turn into complaints, litigation and reputational harm. It lists brand and reputation as a risk in its own right, damaged by litigation, cybersecurity breaches or regulatory action.

客户集中度

There is effectively none, and the filing discloses no customer accounting for a material share of revenue. eToro's revenue comes from roughly 3.85 million funded retail accounts spread across many countries, so no single client matters. The concentration that does exist is of a different kind: a large majority of gross revenue passes through one asset class, cryptoassets, and the company depends on a limited set of third-party liquidity providers and banks to execute and settle — a dependency it lists among its risk factors.

看多理由

Buyers argue that eToro has already done the hard part: it has built a recognised consumer brand and a regulated licence stack across Europe, the UK, Australia and the US, assets that take years and a lot of money to assemble. They point to net contribution growing from $788m to $868m and net income from $192m to $216m, so the platform makes money rather than burning it, and to a diversified mix in which equities trading, interest and currency conversion together cover the running costs even when crypto goes quiet. They see the social layer as the part competitors cannot simply clone, since it depends on the community already being there, and they argue that a young, first-time-investor base still early in its wealth-accumulation years should deposit more over time, lifting both trading revenue and the interest-earning balance.

看空理由

Sellers fear that this is a cyclical brokerage wearing the clothes of a technology platform. The revenue line of $13.8bn is almost entirely crypto sale proceeds booked gross against $12.9bn of matching cost, so the real business is the $868m of net contribution — and a buyer who anchors on the headline number is anchoring on nothing. They note that crypto spot contributed only about $43m net in 2025 while carrying all the regulatory and reputational weight, that the company itself says growth in funded accounts has slowed, and that $209m of selling and marketing against $868m of net contribution suggests users are rented rather than owned. They worry about the interest line, which grew in a high-rate world and shrinks as rates fall, and about regulation: the filing's own risk factors describe an environment where crypto rules, CFD leverage limits, and even the right to keep interest on client cash can change in a single jurisdiction and take a slice of revenue with them.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 49.8Score: 63Market cap: $0

Mobile-first, commission-free app competing for the same young self-directed investor trading stocks, options and crypto, and now expanding into eToro's European markets.

P/E: 44.8Score: 46Market cap: $52.55B

Competes for the crypto trading that supplies a large share of eToro's commissions, offering retail investors the same buy-and-hold access to digital assets.

Plus500 Ltd.PLUS

Another Israeli-founded retail trading platform selling CFDs and, increasingly, share dealing to the same self-directed customers across Europe, the UK and Australia.

Trading 212 Ltd.Not tracked

Privately held UK-based platform offering zero-commission stock, ETF and CFD trading to the same European retail audience eToro draws most of its funded accounts from.

XTB S.A.XTB

Polish-listed broker pushing heavily advertised multi-asset and CFD accounts across continental Europe, the same customers and the same spread-based revenue.

IG Group Holdings plcIGG

Established UK retail broker offering CFDs, spread betting and share dealing in the UK, Europe and Australia, the markets where eToro earns most of its trading revenue.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$11.98B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$261M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$313M

股东权益合计

$1.39B

负债合计

$397M

流动比率

4.89

利息覆盖率

6.60

债务/EBITDA

0.11

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$37.40

当前价格

$25.68

安全边际

+31.3%

公允价值区间

$25.09 - $49.72

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$47.60
现金流折现法(DCF):$50.12
市盈率法(P/E):$25.15
格雷厄姆成长公式:$45.26
盈利能力价值(EPV):$19.92
合理市净率(P/B):$24.81
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$342.96
分析师共识:买入 (15B / 6H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+9.11%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

9.96

ROE

15.5%

市净率(P/B)

1.53

P/FCF

6.81

毛利率

5.5%

ROIC

14.8%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

14.8%

WACC

13.5%

ROIC − WACC

+1.4 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 14.8%
  • P/FCF 6.81
  • P/B Ratio 1.53
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 19.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 71% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 12.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.48
  • Share Dilution 2.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 1.6% vs 1.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(3)

  • Price CAGR -22.64%
  • Gross Margin 5.5%
  • Operating Margin 2.0%

不可用(5)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.48

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

2.1%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Jonathan Alexander AssiaCo-Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO44
Mr. Ronen AssiaCo-Founder & Executive Director48
Mr. Meron ShaniChief Financial Officer49
Dr. Hedva BerGlobal COO & Deputy CEO56
Mr. Daniel AmirHead of Global Investor Relations-
Ms. Lina ReshefGeneral Counsel & VP of Legal-
Mr. Nir SzmulewiczChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Miri KedemChief People Officer-
Mr. Tuval ChomutChief Solutions Officer69
Mr. Yaki RazmovichManaging Director of eToro Singapore & Asia-

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ETOR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/12/2026POSITIVE
    Gold, Oil Saved eToro's Quarter, But CEO Yoni Assia Says Crypto All-Time Highs Are Still To Come In 2026

    eToro Group surpassed Q1 earnings expectations, largely propelled by a nearly fourfold increase in commodities trading volumes. This surge in gold and oil trading significantly offset a concurrent decline in cryptocurrency volumes on the platform. Despite the crypto downturn, CEO Yoni Assia expressed optimism, forecasting new all-time highs for cryptocurrencies in 2026. The company's ability to leverage strength in traditional commodities trading while maintaining a positive long-term outlook on digital assets suggests resilience and strategic diversification for investors.

via Markets Gazette