Flex Ltd. (FLEX)
被高估基本面
53
价格
$111.95
市值
$41.52B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Flex designs and manufactures electronic products on behalf of other companies, taking a customer's design and turning it into finished hardware at scale across a global network of factories. Its customers span data-center servers, medical devices, cars, home appliances and consumer electronics, so Flex succeeds or fails less on any product of its own and more on how well it manages capacity, components and quality across an enormous range of unrelated industries at once.
盈利方式
Flex is paid to build what customers design, so revenue is booked as products ship, and margins are thin because it competes on manufacturing cost and reliability rather than on owning the underlying product. Grouping customers into two segments — data center and communications hardware on one side, industrial, automotive and health devices on the other — lets Flex balance a fast-growing but lower-margin cloud infrastructure business against a smaller but steadier industrial one.
分部营收
Data-center, cloud and communications infrastructure, plus manufacturing of consumer devices, household appliances and power tools.
Industrial equipment, automotive components and medical device manufacturing, where quality and long product lifecycles matter more than speed.
护城河
规模效应 · 狭窄Running factories, supply relationships and engineering teams across dozens of countries gives Flex purchasing power and manufacturing flexibility that a smaller contract manufacturer cannot match, which helps it win large, complex programs. That scale advantage is shared with a handful of similarly sized rivals, so it lowers costs without giving Flex pricing power over its customers, who can and do move production between competing manufacturers.
需求驱动因素
周期性Demand tracks the capital spending and inventory cycles of Flex's own customers across very different industries, from cloud data-center buildouts to car production, so a slowdown in any one end market shows up quickly in orders. Customers also adjust their own inventory levels ahead of demand shifts, which can amplify swings in what Flex is asked to build well beyond the change in underlying consumer demand.
主要风险
- Concentration among top customers — The ten largest customers make up a significant share of sales, and the loss of a major program, or a customer bringing manufacturing in-house, would leave a gap that is not easily replaced quickly.
- Thin, cost-driven margins — Flex competes largely on manufacturing cost and execution rather than owning proprietary products, which keeps margins thin and makes profitability sensitive to component costs and factory utilization.
- Supply chain and demand volatility — Component shortages, logistics disruptions and rapid swings in customer demand have historically caused excess or obsolete inventory and higher costs, since customer commitments are often short-term.
客户集中度
主要客户占营收的45%
The ten largest customers together accounted for about 45% of net sales, with no single customer above 10%, so the risk is spread across a handful of large programs rather than concentrated in one buyer.
看多理由
Buyers argue that Flex's shift toward higher-value data-center and cloud infrastructure work is lifting margins beyond a traditional contract manufacturer's, and that its scale and diversified end markets let it win large programs that smaller rivals cannot service.
看空理由
Sellers fear that Flex remains a low-margin manufacturer whose customers hold most of the bargaining power and can shift production elsewhere, and that demand swings across so many unrelated end markets make results harder to forecast than the segment mix suggests.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The closest peer to Flex in size and breadth: both bid for the same large OEM outsourcing programmes across healthcare, automotive, industrial and data-centre hardware, offering design, manufacturing and supply-chain services from a comparable global plant network.
Competes head-on for the cloud and communications infrastructure work that is now Flex's fastest-growing business, building servers, switches and power systems for the same hyperscale and networking customers.
A US-based contract manufacturer chasing the same regulated and high-complexity programmes as Flex — medical devices, defence and aerospace, industrial and communications equipment — with its own printed-circuit and backplane capacity.
Targets the same regulated healthcare, industrial and aerospace/defence customers with combined product design and manufacturing services, competing with Flex on engineering capability rather than price per unit.
The world's largest contract manufacturer, bidding against Flex for the highest-volume consumer electronics and AI server assembly contracts with the same tier-one OEMs, and able to undercut on scale.
Competes for the same engineering-intensive, low-volume/high-mix accounts in medical, aerospace and defence, and semiconductor capital equipment where Flex sells design plus manufacturing rather than pure assembly.
资产负债表与流动性
营收
$29.27B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/26)
净利润
$973M
最近12个月(截至2026/6/26)
自由现金流
$1.05B
股东权益合计
$5.14B
负债合计
$16.92B
流动比率
1.38
利息覆盖率
6.47
债务/EBITDA
2.79
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$86.15
当前价格
$111.95
安全边际
-29.9%
公允价值区间
$56.00 - $116.30
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
42.47
ROE
17.1%
市净率(P/B)
7.39
P/FCF
49.19
毛利率
9.4%
ROIC
9.6%
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
9.6%
WACC
12.9%
ROIC − WACC
-3.3 pp
ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。
基本面分析标准
通过(15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 26.36%
- ROIC 9.6%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 9.5%
- Analyst Consensus 90% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 5.8%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.61
- Share Dilution -4.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
未通过(11)
- Gross Margin 9.4%
- P/FCF 49.19
- P/B Ratio 7.39
- Operating Margin 5.0%
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 3.0%
- PEG Ratio 3.07
- Net Margin Trend 3.3% vs 3.4%
不可用(1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-评分
信号混杂:部分领域需关注
盈利质量
高质量:盈利有现金流支撑
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
该公司暂无机构申报数据。
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Ms. Revathi Advaithi | CEO & Director | 57 |
| Mr. Michael P. Hartung | President & Chief Commercial Officer | 57 |
| Mr. Kevin S. Krumm | Chief Financial Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Kwanghooi Tan | Chief Operating Officer | 48 |
| Mr. D. Scott Offer | Executive VP & General Counsel | 60 |
| Mr. Daniel J. Wendler | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 58 |
| Ms. Michelle Simmons | Senior Vice President of Global Investor Relations & Public Relations | - |
| Mr. Xavier F. Boza | Chief Human Resources Officer | 60 |
| Mr. Paul Baldassari | President of Manufacturing & Services | - |
| Mr. Mike Thoeny | President of Automotive Business | - |
审计风险
1
董事会风险
5
薪酬风险
10
股东权利风险
8
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
损益历史
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for FLEX, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/11/2026POSITIVEFlex CEO Bets Big On AI
Flex CEO Revathi Advaithi is stepping down to lead the company's AI infrastructure spinoff, a business valued at $6.5 billion. Advaithi believes the opportunity extends beyond AI data centers, representing a fundamental, long-term transformation in power, cooling, and the electrical grid. This strategic pivot signals strong confidence in the growth potential and future impact of Flex's AI-focused division, potentially unlocking significant value for shareholders and positioning the company at the forefront of technological evolution.
- 5/7/2026NEUTRALFlex Announces Spin-Off of Cloud, Power Infrastructure Unit
Flex Ltd. CEO Revathi Advaithi discussed the company's earnings and its role in supporting hyper-scalers' data center capacity needs during an appearance on Bloomberg Businessweek Daily. The company is also reportedly considering a spin-off of its cloud and power infrastructure unit. While the earnings discussion and data center support suggest ongoing business activity, the potential spin-off introduces strategic uncertainty. Investors will be watching for further details on the proposed separation and its impact on Flex's future structure and profitability.
- 5/6/2026POSITIVEWhy Is Flex Stock Trending Overnight?
Flex Ltd. shares surged 17.17% in after-hours trading, propelled by outstanding fiscal 2026 results. The company reported record earnings per share and revenue, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. Furthermore, Flex provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal 2027, signaling continued growth and profitability. This strong performance and positive guidance suggest robust operational execution and increasing market demand for Flex's offerings, making it an attractive prospect for investors.
via Markets Gazette