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Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC)

被低估
Financial ServicesFinancial ConglomeratesUnited States

基本面

49

价格

$167.30

市值

$11.25B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Freedom Holding is a financial-services group built around retail brokerage, mostly serving individual investors in Kazakhstan and neighboring Central Asian and Eastern European markets rather than in the US or Western Europe. From that brokerage base it has expanded into its own bank (Freedom Bank KZ), an insurance business, and a grab-bag of consumer services such as telecom and retail, sold to the same growing base of retail customers.

盈利方式

Brokerage revenue comes from trading commissions and fees plus interest earned on margin loans to retail clients, which has grown quickly as the client base has expanded. Banking revenue is interest and fee income from Freedom Bank KZ's lending and deposits. Insurance revenue is premiums net of claims. The other segment bundles telecom, payments and retail sales, cross-sold to the same brokerage and banking customers to keep them inside the group's ecosystem.

分部营收

Brokerage35%

Trading commissions, fees and margin-lending interest from a fast-growing base of retail brokerage accounts.

Insurance30.1%

Underwriting income from pension, accident and other insurance products sold to the group's regional customer base.

Banking24.7%

Interest and fee income from Freedom Bank KZ's expanding retail loan and deposit book.

Other7%

Lifestyle, telecom and payment services cross-sold to the group's brokerage and banking customers.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

Freedom Holding's growth has come from being an early, well-capitalized entrant across brokerage, banking and insurance in a region where financial services were previously underdeveloped, not from a structural barrier competitors cannot cross. As the market matures and profitability draws attention, banks and brokers with more capital could contest the same customers.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Brokerage commissions and margin-lending interest move with trading activity and asset prices, which rise and fall with regional economic conditions and investor sentiment; banking revenue is similarly tied to credit demand and interest rates. A downturn in Central Asian markets would compress trading volumes and increase loan losses at the same time.

主要风险

  • Geographic concentration in Central Asia — Most revenue is generated in Kazakhstan and neighboring Central Asian and Eastern European markets, so political instability, currency moves or an economic downturn in that region would affect the group disproportionately.
  • Exposure to Russia-related sanctions — The company has had historical business ties to Russia and operates in a region exposed to secondary sanctions risk tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which could restrict operations or access to international financial systems.
  • Regulation across many jurisdictions — The group holds brokerage, banking and insurance licenses across several exchanges and countries; regulatory non-compliance in any one of them could damage the group's reputation or license to operate more broadly.
  • Credit risk from margin lending — A large part of interest income comes from margin loans to retail clients and from the bank's loan portfolio; a market downturn or economic stress could raise defaults and credit losses quickly.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Freedom Holding is capturing an underserved, fast-growing retail financial market in Central Asia years before larger Western institutions get there, that its diversification across brokerage, banking and insurance smooths any single segment's weakness, and that rapid customer growth across every division points to years of runway still ahead.

看空理由

Sellers fear that revenue concentrated in Kazakhstan and neighboring markets leaves the group exposed to regional political and sanctions risk, that operating across so many regulated activities and jurisdictions raises the chance of a compliance misstep, and that fast growth in margin lending could turn into credit losses if regional markets turn down.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 7.7Score: 59Market cap: $17.63B

Kaspi.kz fights Freedom for the same Kazakh retail customer with a rival all-in-one app covering payments, cards, lending, e-commerce and travel booking.

P/E: 34.0Score: 66Market cap: $5.75B

Targets the same cross-border retail investors in Europe, Central Asia and the Gulf who open an account mainly to trade US and European shares.

Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan JSC (Народный банк Казахстана)HSBK

The largest bank in Kazakhstan by assets, it competes with Freedom for retail deposits, cards and loans, and its Halyk Finance arm competes directly for domestic brokerage clients.

Bank CenterCredit JSC (Банк ЦентрКредит)Not tracked

A long-established Kazakh retail and SME bank whose BCC Invest subsidiary is one of the few local brokers selling securities accounts to the same domestic savers.

First Heartland Jusan Bank JSC (Jusan Bank)Not tracked

Competes in the same Kazakh market across digital banking and, through First Heartland Securities, retail brokerage for the same base of local investors.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$2.40B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$148M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$-14M

股东权益合计

$1.49B

负债合计

$11.67B

流动比率

0.65

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

-

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$251.53

当前价格

$167.30

安全边际

+33.5%

公允价值区间

$163.49 - $339.56

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:数据不足,无法计算
现金流折现法(DCF):$419.35
市盈率法(P/E):$32.63
格雷厄姆成长公式:$18.03
盈利能力价值(EPV):$95.13
合理市净率(P/B):$34.51
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):$45.07
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$95.45

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

69.13

ROE

10.3%

市净率(P/B)

6.95

P/FCF

-

毛利率

95.8%

ROIC

-

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.4%

ROIC − WACC

-

基本面分析标准

通过(9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 46.23%
  • Gross Margin 95.8%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 42.8%
  • Share Dilution 0.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.2% vs 3.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(8)

  • P/B Ratio 6.95
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -237.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -4.32

不可用(10)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Analyst Consensus (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

-4.32

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

0.9%

股份数量稳定

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Timur Ruslanovich TurlovCEO & Chairman of the Board37
Mr. Askar Bolatovich TashtitovPresident & Director46
Mr. Jason M. KerrChief Legal Officer53
Mr. Azamat YerdessovChief Executive Officer of Freedom Life40
Mr. Valeriy KimChief Financial Officer36
Mr. Tukanov Renat SautzhanovichChief Technology Officer44
Mr. Zhumagulov Aidos Bolatovich?hief Banking Officer43
Mr. Sergey LukyanovChairman of the Management Board of Freedom Finance JSC & Freedom Finance Global PLC50
Marat ShotbayevChief Logistics Officer-
Mr. Kairat AkhmetovCEO of Freedom Telecom Operations LLP & Freedom Telecom Holding Ltd43

审计风险

8

董事会风险

7

薪酬风险

9

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-06-01

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-10

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-17

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for FRHC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/11/2026POSITIVE
    Kazakh Tycoon Turlov’s Freedom Raises $300 Million for Expansion

    Kazakhstan billionaire Timur Turlov's Freedom Holding Corp. successfully raised $300 million through a share sale. This capital infusion is earmarked for accelerating the company's international expansion initiatives. The successful fundraising indicates strong investor confidence in Freedom Holding's growth strategy and its future prospects in global markets. Investors will be watching closely to see how this capital is deployed to drive further market penetration and revenue growth.

  • 6/2/2026NEGATIVE
    Billionaire Kazakh Brokerage CEO Gets SEC Enforcement Warning

    The CEO of Kazakhstan-based Freedom Holding Corp. has received a Wells Notice from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This formal warning indicates the SEC is considering enforcement action against the company or its executive. Such regulatory scrutiny can lead to investigations, fines, and reputational damage, potentially impacting the company's stock performance and investor confidence. Investors should monitor developments closely for any potential legal or financial repercussions.

via Markets Gazette