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Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB)

合理估值
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSingapore

基本面

48

价格

$3.10

市值

$12.72B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Grab runs a 'superapp' used across Southeast Asia for ride-hailing, food and package delivery, and digital financial services, all inside one app. A driver or rider in Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, Vietnam or Malaysia can book a car, order food from a local restaurant, pay a merchant with GrabPay, or take out a small loan, all without leaving Grab. It does not own the vehicles or restaurants involved; it connects independent drivers, riders, merchants and diners.

盈利方式

Grab earns a commission on each ride, delivery or payment that flows through the app, plus advertising fees from merchants who pay to be promoted and interest income from its lending business. Because drivers and merchants keep most of the transaction value, Grab's revenue is a slice of a much larger flow of money (GMV) rather than the full sale price, so profitability depends on that slice growing faster than the incentives Grab pays drivers and merchants to stay on the platform.

分部营收

Deliveries53.4%

Food, grocery and package delivery across Southeast Asian cities, plus advertising revenue from restaurants and merchants on the platform.

Mobility36.2%

Ride-hailing bookings for cars, motorbikes and taxis across the region's major cities, the business Grab was originally built on.

Financial Services10.3%

Digital payments, consumer and small-merchant lending, and insurance distribution offered through the Grab app, the fastest-growing of the three segments.

护城河

网络效应 · 狭窄

Grab benefits from classic two-sided network effects: more drivers on the app means shorter wait times for riders and diners, which attracts more users, which in turn attracts more drivers. The advantage is narrow rather than wide, though, because both drivers and users routinely run a rival app like Gojek alongside Grab and switch to whichever offers the better price at that moment.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Rides, food delivery and payments are used habitually and tied to daily life in the region's cities, giving demand some resilience, but spending on discretionary trips and food orders still slows when consumers in emerging Southeast Asian economies pull back, and currency swings across six-plus countries add another layer of variability to reported results.

主要风险

  • Intense regional competition — Gojek and other local players compete directly for the same drivers, riders and merchants across multiple countries, keeping pressure on prices and on the incentive spending needed to retain them.
  • Fragmented regulation across countries — Ride-hailing, delivery and digital lending are each regulated differently in Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, Vietnam and Malaysia, and a rule change in any one market can force costly adjustments.
  • Driver classification risk — Drivers are treated as independent contractors rather than employees; a legal or regulatory change requiring employee status in any market would raise costs significantly.
  • Currency and macroeconomic exposure — Results are reported in US dollars but earned across several Southeast Asian currencies, so currency depreciation or a regional economic slowdown can reduce reported revenue even if local operations are stable.
  • Credit risk in the lending business — As Financial Services grows its loan book to consumers and small merchants, Grab takes on credit risk it did not carry as a pure ride-hailing and delivery company.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Grab's superapp habit, its leading position in ride-hailing and delivery across Southeast Asia, and a financial-services arm that just turned the company profitable for the first time show a platform that can keep growing revenue per user for years.

看空理由

Sellers fear that price-sensitive users and drivers who freely multi-home across Grab and Gojek will keep competition, and the incentive spending needed to win them, structurally high, limiting how much of that growth converts into durable profit.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (Gojek)GOTO

Gojek is the other Southeast Asian superapp, fighting Grab for the same ride-hailing, food-delivery and digital-payment users above all in Indonesia, where the two split roughly half the food-delivery market each.

Sea Limited (ShopeeFood)SE

Through ShopeeFood, Sea competes directly for Grab's food-delivery orders and restaurant partners, and in Vietnam the two are nearly level in market share.

Delivery Hero SE (foodpanda)DHER

foodpanda is the largest pure food- and grocery-delivery rival to GrabFood across Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines, chasing the same urban customers and the same merchant base.

LINE MAN Wongnai (LINE MAN Wongnai Company Limited)Not tracked

In Thailand, LINE MAN Wongnai is Grab's main domestic challenger in food delivery and on-demand services, built on the LINE messaging base and the Wongnai restaurant directory.

Green and Smart Mobility Joint Stock Company (Xanh SM)Not tracked

Xanh SM runs an all-electric taxi and ride-hailing fleet in Vietnam and has taken the lead over Grab there, competing for the same urban rides.

inDrive (Suol Innovations Ltd.)Not tracked

inDrive offers ride-hailing with a fare-negotiation model and has expanded fast in the Philippines and Indonesia, taking share from Grab among price-sensitive riders and drivers.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$3.73B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$598M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$503M

股东权益合计

$6.59B

负债合计

$2.03B

流动比率

1.52

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

5.93

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$3.82

当前价格

$3.10

安全边际

+18.8%

公允价值区间

$2.48 - $5.15

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$5.78
现金流折现法(DCF):$2.74
市盈率法(P/E):$2.07
格雷厄姆成长公式:$1.79
盈利能力价值(EPV):$0.25
合理市净率(P/B):$1.66
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$4.57
分析师共识:强力买入 (27B / 2H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+157.51%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

28.27

ROE

7.7%

市净率(P/B)

1.87

P/FCF

24.59

毛利率

40.5%

ROIC

0.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

0.7%

WACC

7.7%

ROIC − WACC

-7.0 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(12)

  • Gross Margin 40.5%
  • P/FCF 24.59
  • P/B Ratio 1.87
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 9.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 48.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 93% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 152.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 8.0% vs -3.8%

未通过(6)

  • Price CAGR -20.70%
  • ROIC 0.7%
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) -0.22
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

不可用(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

0/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

-0.22

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Ping Yeow TanCo-Founder, Chairman & CEO42
Mr. Alexander Charles HungatePresident, COO & Director58
Mr. Peter OeyChief Financial Officer54
Mr. John E. PierantoniChief Accounting Officer52
Mr. Suthen Thomas ParadathethChief Technology Officer43
Mr. Douglas EuDirector of Investor Relations & Strategic Finance-
Mr. Liam BarkerGroup General Counsel-
Ms. Hooi Ling TanAdvisor42
Ms. Chin Yin OngChief Organisation Capability Officer49
Mr. Ken Vin LekHead of Strategic Finance33

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for GRAB, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 9d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Grab perdono supporto chiave: crolleranno al minimo storico?

    Grab Holdings Inc. shares have extended their significant downtrend, reaching their lowest point since 2023. The stock has plummeted 43% year-to-date and 53% over the past 12 months, significantly underperforming the broader market. This decline occurs despite Grab's strong growth, indicating broader market pressures affecting the ride-hailing sector. Competitors like Uber Technologies have also seen their stock prices fall, suggesting systemic challenges rather than company-specific issues. Investors are questioning whether this downturn presents a buying opportunity for the Southeast Asian tech giant.

  • 3/23/2026POSITIVE
    Grab Strikes $600 Million Deal for Foodpanda Taiwan Business

    Grab Holdings Ltd. has announced a significant strategic move, agreeing to acquire Delivery Hero SE's Foodpanda operations in Taiwan for $600 million. This acquisition marks Grab's first expansion beyond its core Southeast Asian markets, signaling a bold growth strategy. The deal is expected to bolster Grab's market position and revenue streams by entering a new, potentially lucrative territory. Investors will be watching how Grab integrates Foodpanda Taiwan and leverages this expansion to drive future profitability and shareholder value.

via Markets Gazette