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Hologic, Inc. (HOLX)

合理估值

基本面

~0

价格

$-

市值

-

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Hologic makes medical devices and diagnostic tests focused on women's health. It builds the mammography and biopsy systems many hospitals use for breast-cancer screening, the molecular and cytology lab equipment that runs tests for infections and cervical cancer, surgical devices used in gynecological procedures such as fibroid removal, and bone-density scanners. Most of its products are sold to hospitals, imaging centers and diagnostic labs, either directly or through distributors and group purchasing contracts.

盈利方式

Revenue mixes one-time capital equipment sales, such as a mammography or bone-density system, with recurring, higher-margin consumables that the equipment's installed base keeps buying: diagnostic assay cartridges, biopsy needles and single-use surgical instruments. In the US, large hospital groups buy through group purchasing organizations that negotiate on behalf of most hospitals, which caps how much pricing power any single product can hold even where the equipment locks a customer in.

分部营收

Diagnostics43.4%

Molecular and cytology tests run on Hologic's lab instruments, covering infectious disease and cervical-cancer screening.

Breast Health37.1%

Mammography and breast-biopsy systems, the segment's largest source of capital-equipment revenue.

GYN Surgical and Skeletal Health19.5%

Devices for gynecological surgical procedures plus bone-density scanners, the two smallest of Hologic's business lines.

护城河

转换成本 · 狭窄

A hospital that installs Hologic's Panther molecular-testing platform or its mammography systems keeps buying Hologic's matched consumables and service contracts for the equipment's life, since switching means requalifying a new system with clinicians and regulators. The advantage is narrow because Roche, BD and Siemens Healthineers sell comparable platforms and actively compete for the same equipment placements.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Cancer screening, infectious-disease testing and gynecological procedures follow clinical guidelines and reimbursement coverage rather than discretionary spending, which makes underlying demand fairly steady. The more cyclical piece is capital equipment: hospitals can defer replacing a mammography system in a tight budget year even while the tests it enables keep being ordered.

主要风险

  • Reimbursement and healthcare policy risk — Sales depend on government healthcare programs and private insurers continuing to cover and reimburse Hologic's tests and procedures at workable rates; adverse coverage or guideline changes reduce market acceptance.
  • Group purchasing organization pricing pressure — Group purchasing organizations negotiate on behalf of most US hospitals and can push for steep discounts, limiting how much Hologic can charge even for products with a loyal installed base.
  • Concentration in two business lines — Diagnostics and Breast Health together make up roughly four-fifths of revenue, so a setback in either, such as falling COVID-era test demand, affects the company disproportionately.
  • Competition from larger, diversified rivals — Hologic competes against larger, more diversified medical-technology and diagnostics companies that can outspend it on research and undercut on price in individual product categories.

看多理由

Buyers argue that women's-health screening and testing volumes are structurally growing as guidelines expand, that the installed base of mammography and molecular-diagnostics equipment keeps generating high-margin consumable sales for years, and that fiscal 2025 growth in Breast Health and GYN Surgical shows the non-COVID business is healthy on its own.

看空理由

Sellers worry that group purchasing organizations will keep compressing per-unit pricing, that Diagnostics revenue has yet to fully offset the loss of pandemic-era test volumes, and that a portfolio this concentrated in two business lines is vulnerable to a single reimbursement or competitive setback in either one.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 15.7Score: 56Market cap: $30.20B

Hologic's 10-K names GE HealthCare as a primary Breast Health rival: both sell 3D mammography and tomosynthesis systems to the same hospitals and imaging centres, and compete for the same installed base and service contracts.

P/E: 54.1Score: 65Market cap: $50.07B

BD is the competitor Hologic names first in cervical cancer screening: its liquid-based cytology and HPV assays go after the same clinical laboratories that buy ThinPrep and the Panther molecular platform.

Siemens Healthineers AGSHL

Named alongside GE as Hologic's main Breast Health competitor, Siemens Healthineers sells mammography and breast biopsy systems to the same radiology departments, and also competes in laboratory diagnostics.

Roche Holding AGROG

Through Roche Diagnostics, named in Hologic's 10-K, it sells HPV and molecular infectious-disease assays on high-throughput analysers that compete directly with Hologic's Panther system for laboratory testing volumes.

Medtronic plcMDT

Cited in the 10-K as a full-suite surgical rival, Medtronic sells gynaecological surgery devices to the same hospitals and surgeons that Hologic targets with NovaSure and MyoSure.

可用财务数据有限(0% 的指标)。评分可能无法准确反映该公司的基本面。

资产负债表与流动性

营收

-

净利润

-

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

-

负债合计

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流动比率

3.75

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

-

每股收益

暂无 EPS 数据

营收与净利润

暂无收入数据

自由现金流

暂无现金流数据

收入构成

暂无收入数据

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形N/A

公允价值

$31.68

当前价格

-

安全边际

-

公允价值区间

$30.09 - $33.26

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:数据不足,无法计算
现金流折现法(DCF):数据不足,无法计算
市盈率法(P/E):数据不足,无法计算
格雷厄姆成长公式:数据不足,无法计算
盈利能力价值(EPV):$31.68
合理市净率(P/B):$35.09
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):数据不足,无法计算
分析师共识:持有 (0B / 20H / 3S)
最近财报超预期:-6.45%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

31.20

ROE

11.0%

市净率(P/B)

-

P/FCF

-

毛利率

-

ROIC

-

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

-

基本面分析标准

通过(0)

未通过(0)

不可用(1)

  • Error fetching data

Piotroski F-评分

-/9

存在严重财务隐患

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for HOLX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/8/2026POSITIVE
    Hologic Goes Private In $18 Billion Blackstone, TPG Acquisition

    Blackstone and TPG have successfully completed their acquisition of Hologic Inc., taking the medical technology company private in a deal valued at up to $18 billion, or $79 per share. This transaction marks a significant shift for Hologic, moving it from public trading to private ownership under the stewardship of its new private equity owners. Investors who held Hologic stock prior to the acquisition will receive the specified cash consideration, realizing a return on their investment.

via Markets Gazette