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Hubbell Inc (HUBB)

合理估值
IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsUnited States

基本面

72

价格

$459.87

市值

$24.61B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Hubbell Incorporated, founded in 1888 and based in the United States, manufactures electrical and utility infrastructure products sold under more than 75 brands. Its catalogue spans the path electricity takes from the grid to the socket: transmission and distribution hardware, insulators, arresters, connectors, switches, smart meters and grid communications equipment on the utility side; wiring devices, rough-in products, grounding products, industrial controls and enclosures inside buildings and factories. The company describes its markets as 'In Front of the Meter' (the utility grid), 'The Edge' (metering and grid intelligence) and 'Behind the Meter' (commercial, industrial and datacenter facilities). These are physical, unglamorous components — a utility pole connector, an industrial socket — but they are specified into projects that last decades and must meet strict safety and reliability standards.

盈利方式

Hubbell sells physical products: revenue is recognised when hardware is shipped, not on subscriptions or licences. The Utility Solutions segment sells primarily through distributors or directly to electric and gas utilities. The Electrical Solutions segment sells primarily through electrical and industrial distributors, home centres, retail and hardware outlets and product-oriented internet sites, with special-application products going through wholesale distributors. The economics are therefore those of a branded industrial manufacturer: volume times price, with margin driven by manufacturing productivity, the price it can pass on for raw materials such as steel, aluminium and copper, and the mix between higher-margin utility components and more competitive commercial products. Growth comes both organically and from acquisitions — Hubbell spent $958 million on acquisitions in 2025.

分部营收

Utility Solutions63%

Components that let the electric grid conduct, communicate and control energy: transmission and distribution hardware, arresters, insulators, connectors, bushings and switches, plus smart meters, grid communications systems and protection and control devices. Sold through distributors or directly to electric and gas utilities and telecommunications operators.

Electrical Solutions37%

Products that manage power inside buildings, factories and industrial infrastructure: wiring devices, rough-in products, connectors, grounding products, industrial controls and communication systems. Sold into non-residential, light and heavy industrial, datacenter, transmission and distribution and renewables applications, mostly through electrical and industrial distributors and retail channels.

护城河

转换成本 · 狭窄

Hubbell's advantage rests on specification and qualification rather than on technology. Utility components are approved by each utility's engineering standards and then bought for years; changing supplier means re-qualifying a part that sits on a live grid, which utilities rarely do to save a few percent. The portfolio of more than 75 brands, built since 1888, carries recognition with the distributors and contractors who actually choose the part on a jobsite. That said, the company itself states it 'operates in markets that are subject to competitive pressures that could affect selling prices or demand for our products', and the Electrical Solutions half competes against large, well-capitalised rivals in commodity-like categories. The advantage is real but narrow, and stronger on the utility side than behind the meter.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

The two halves of Hubbell behave differently, and that is the point. Utility Solutions, roughly two thirds of sales, follows utility capital spending — grid replacement, substation work, metering upgrades, telecom build-out. That spending is set by regulated investment plans rather than by the business cycle, so it is steadier than most industrial demand; but the filing warns that substantial variability in purchases by electrical utilities would affect the segment, and utility orders can pause for a year while distributors work off inventory. Electrical Solutions, the other third, tracks non-residential construction, industrial capex, datacenter build and renewables, and those are genuinely cyclical. In 2025 the company attributed the segment's 7.1% sales growth to datacenter and light industrial markets. Taken together the company sits between a defensive utility supplier and a cyclical industrial: it does not collapse in a recession the way a housing-linked manufacturer does, but it does not have the immunity of a regulated utility either.

主要风险

  • Inflation and unfavourable economic conditions — Hubbell discloses that inflation and other unfavourable economic conditions may adversely affect its business, results of operations and financial condition. As a metal-intensive manufacturer it is exposed to the cost of steel, aluminium and copper, and to its ability to raise prices fast enough to keep up.
  • Competitive pressure on prices and demand — The company states it operates in markets subject to competitive pressures that could affect selling prices or demand for its products. This is the risk that shows up first in a downturn, when distributors have inventory and competitors discount.
  • Supply chain: availability, price or quality of sourced materials — Hubbell manufactures and sources products and materials from various countries throughout the world, and discloses that disruption in the availability, price or quality of these products or materials could adversely affect its operating results.
  • Acquisitions may not deliver the expected benefits — The filing discloses both the general risk of finding and integrating acquisitions and a specific one: that Hubbell may fail to realise all the anticipated benefits of the Ventev, Nicor, DMC Power and Systems Control acquisitions, or that those benefits may take longer than expected. The company also warns it may be required to recognise impairment charges on goodwill and other intangible assets — the accounting consequence if an acquisition disappoints.
  • Information technology and cybersecurity — Hubbell discloses risks around failures of its information technology and industrial control systems, the use of emerging technologies including artificial intelligence, network disruptions, breaches in data security and compliance with data privacy laws and regulations.
  • Execution of productivity and restructuring programmes — The company discloses that it may not be able to successfully implement initiatives, including its continuing restructuring activities, intended to improve productivity and streamline operations to control or reduce costs.
  • Currency exchange rates — Hubbell discloses that volatility in currency exchange rates may adversely affect its financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的42%

Hubbell states in its 10-K that it is not dependent on a single customer, but that its top ten customers account for approximately 42% of net sales. Those customers are largely electrical and industrial distributors rather than end users — the concentration is in the channel, not in the final demand. That matters in two ways: a large distributor deciding to cut its inventory can dent a quarter even when installation activity is unchanged, and it gives those distributors real negotiating weight on price.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Hubbell sells the physical parts of an electricity grid that has to be rebuilt regardless of the economy: ageing transmission and distribution assets, metering upgrades, and load growth from datacenters and electrification. They point to the 2025 results as evidence the model works — net sales of $5,844.6 million, up 3.8%, with gross margin at 35.3% of sales and operating income at 20.7%, up 130 basis points, expansion the company attributes to manufacturing productivity rather than to price alone. They see the utility two thirds of the business as a long, visible order book tied to regulated capital plans, the brand portfolio and specification position as protection against being designed out, and the $958 million of 2025 acquisitions as a way to keep adding adjacent capability. The cash return is part of the argument too: $286.6 million of dividends and $225 million of buybacks in 2025.

看空理由

Sellers fear that the recent margin expansion reflects a period of scarce supply and easy price increases that is already ending. The company itself discloses that it operates in markets subject to competitive pressures that could affect selling prices or demand, and that inflation and unfavourable economic conditions may hurt results — a manufacturer that lifted prices on the way up gives some back when distributors are full. The channel concentration is the second worry: ten customers at roughly 42% of net sales means inventory decisions made in a handful of distribution head offices can move a quarter independently of real installation demand. Third is the acquisition record: Hubbell spent $958 million in 2025 and funded part of it with $400 million of 4.800% notes due 2035 and a $600 million term loan, while disclosing both that it may fail to realise the anticipated benefits of Ventev, Nicor, DMC Power and Systems Control and that it may have to recognise impairment charges on goodwill and intangibles — the standard sequence when acquired growth disappoints. Finally, the Electrical Solutions third is exposed to non-residential construction and industrial capex, and its 2025 strength leaned on datacenter demand, a driver sellers treat as concentrated rather than diversified.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Eaton Corporation plcETN

Eaton's utility T&D business (Cooper Power Systems) and its electrical components lines sell transformers, switchgear, arresters, connectors and wiring devices to the same electric utilities, industrial plants and electrical distributors Hubbell serves in North America.

ABB LtdABBN

ABB's Electrification business competes for the same utility substation, distribution and industrial electrification budgets, offering switching, protection and grid-edge equipment alongside low-voltage products sold through the same channels.

Schneider Electric SESU

Schneider Electric sells medium- and low-voltage distribution equipment, grid automation and commercial-building electrical products to the same utilities, contractors and data-center customers Hubbell targets.

nVent Electric plcNVT

nVent overlaps with Hubbell's Electrical Solutions segment in enclosures, grounding and electrical connection and fastening hardware for industrial, infrastructure and data-center projects.

S&C Electric CompanyNot tracked

S&C Electric, privately held in Chicago, is a direct rival on the distribution grid for switching, fusing, reclosers and protection and control gear bought by the same electric utilities.

Preformed Line Products CompanyPLPC

Preformed Line Products makes the same pole-line hardware, connectors, anchors and cable-support products for overhead transmission, distribution and telecom lines that Hubbell's Utility Solutions segment supplies.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$6.00B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$906M

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$875M

股东权益合计

$3.85B

负债合计

$4.37B

流动比率

1.58

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.31

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$532.24

当前价格

$459.87

安全边际

+13.6%

公允价值区间

$361.37 - $703.12

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$562.83
现金流折现法(DCF):$711.10
市盈率法(P/E):$350.26
格雷厄姆成长公式:$744.94
盈利能力价值(EPV):$206.57
合理市净率(P/B):$282.91
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$110.60
P/FFO(运营资金):$331.01
周期中段收益:$350.87
市销率法(P/S):$333.31
分析师共识:买入 (13B / 8H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+0.63%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

26.79

ROE

23.1%

市净率(P/B)

6.36

P/FCF

26.36

毛利率

35.5%

ROIC

14.2%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

14.2%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+6.2 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.82%
  • Price CAGR 14.71%
  • ROIC 14.2%
  • Gross Margin 35.5%
  • P/FCF 26.36
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 20.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 23.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 62% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.32
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.19
  • Share Dilution -0.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.1% vs 14.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(5)

  • P/B Ratio 6.36
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.1%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.19

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.9%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Gerben W. BakkerPresident, CEO & Chairman60
Ms. Katherine Anne LaneExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary47
Mr. William R. SperryExecutive Vice President63
Mr. Mark E. MikesPresident of Hubbell Electrical Solutions Segment60
Mr. Gregory A. GumbsPresident of Hubbell Utility Solutions Segment55
Mr. Joseph Anthony CapozzoliSenior VP & CFO50
Mr. Guillermo LochtVice President of Global Operations-
Dr. Alexis P. BernardChief Technology Officer51
Drew M. MarquardtChief Information Officer-
Mr. Daniel Joseph InnamoratoDirector of Investor Relations-

审计风险

1

董事会风险

8

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

3

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-12

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-29

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-07-28

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

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