返回排名列表

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST)

合理估值
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicUnited States

基本面

73

价格

$41.62

市值

$83.59B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Monster Beverage develops and markets energy drinks, led by its flagship Monster Energy brand, alongside a portfolio of smaller acquired brands and a young alcoholic-beverage business. It owns no bottling plants: cans are filled by outside manufacturers and shipped to market almost entirely through The Coca-Cola Company's global distribution network, an arrangement built after Coca-Cola took a large equity stake in Monster and swapped some of its own energy brands into the deal.

盈利方式

Monster sells finished product to bottlers and distributors, who then sell it on to retailers — revenue is booked when product ships to the distribution network, not when a can is bought off the shelf. Because Coca-Cola's bottlers handle the actual distribution and much of the marketing muscle, Monster can run a relatively asset-light, high-margin business built on brand strength and shelf placement rather than on owning trucks and warehouses.

分部营收

Monster Energy Drinks92.7%

The core Monster Energy lineup and its many flavor extensions — by far the company's largest and most profitable business.

Strategic Brands5.7%

Smaller energy and non-energy brands acquired over the years, including NOS and Full Throttle, sold through the same Coca-Cola distribution system.

Alcohol Brands1.6%

Craft beer, hard seltzer and spirits brands, a small and still-developing diversification away from energy drinks.

护城河

品牌 · 宽阔

Monster Energy is one of the two best-known energy drink brands worldwide, built over two decades of marketing tied to extreme sports and gaming culture, which earns it premium shelf space and price. The moat is being tested, though: newer brands like Celsius, Bang and Prime have taken meaningful share in recent years by appealing to health-conscious or younger drinkers Monster's image was not built for.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Energy drinks are a low-cost, habitual purchase that consumers tend to keep buying even when budgets tighten, which makes underlying demand fairly resistant to the economic cycle. The bigger swing factor is competitive and regulatory rather than macroeconomic: new entrants chase the same convenience-store shelf space, and any tightening of marketing or ingredient rules aimed at caffeinated drinks would matter more than a recession.

主要风险

  • Dependence on Coca-Cola's distribution network — Monster relies on The Coca-Cola Company's bottlers to distribute the large majority of its products; any disruption to that relationship, or unilateral decisions by bottlers about shelf space, would be difficult to replace quickly.
  • Intensifying competition — Celsius, Bang, Prime and other newer brands are taking shelf space and market share from established energy drink makers, forcing Monster to spend more on marketing and promotion to defend its position.
  • Health and regulatory scrutiny of caffeine and sugar — Energy drinks face recurring public and regulatory attention over caffeine content and marketing to younger consumers; new restrictions on ingredients, labeling or advertising could raise costs or limit how Monster reaches customers.
  • Input cost inflation — Aluminum cans, sweeteners and other raw materials are subject to price swings that Monster cannot always pass on to customers without risking volume, pressuring margins in periods of high inflation.
  • Unproven alcohol diversification — The Alcohol Brands segment is small, still developing and unprofitable in some periods, representing a diversification effort whose long-term payoff is not yet demonstrated.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Monster Energy's brand strength and shelf presence give it durable pricing power, that its asset-light distribution model through Coca-Cola's network produces unusually high margins, and that international markets still offer a long runway for a brand that remains far less penetrated outside the U.S.

看空理由

Sellers worry that newer entrants like Celsius and Prime are eating into Monster's growth and shelf space, that heavy reliance on a single distribution partner concentrates a key business risk, and that regulatory scrutiny of caffeine and marketing to young people could constrain the category over time.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 114.0Score: 57Market cap: $6.92B

Celsius, which now also owns Alani Nu, is Monster's main challenger in the US on the "wellness" and sugar-free end of the energy category, the same shelf where Monster positions Monster Ultra and Reign.

P/E: 16.6Score: 61Market cap: $174.91B

PepsiCo owns Rockstar and Gatorade Fast Twitch and distributes Celsius, so it fights Monster both for the energy-drink consumer and for the retail distribution network that puts cans on the shelf.

P/E: 30.6Score: 62Market cap: $42.02B

Keurig Dr Pepper has built an energy portfolio squarely against Monster by buying GHOST and taking a large stake in Nutrabolt, maker of C4 Energy, and pushing both through its own US distribution.

Red Bull GmbHNot tracked

Red Bull is the brand Monster names first among its direct energy-drink rivals, competing for the same convenience-store cooler space and the same young consumers in essentially every country Monster sells in.

Nutrabolt (Woodbolt Distribution, LLC)Not tracked

Nutrabolt's C4 Energy is one of the brands Monster names as a direct rival to its performance line Reign, competing for the same gym-going and pre-workout drinker.

Living Essentials, LLC (5-hour ENERGY)Not tracked

5-hour ENERGY dominates the energy-shot format and sits at the same US convenience-store counter as Monster, competing for the same caffeine purchase on the same trip.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$9.22B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$2.13B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$1.97B

股东权益合计

$8.25B

负债合计

$1.73B

流动比率

3.73

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.10

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$38.13

当前价格

$41.62

安全边际

-9.2%

公允价值区间

$26.48 - $49.77

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$50.24
现金流折现法(DCF):$36.33
市盈率法(P/E):$37.56
格雷厄姆成长公式:$8.08
盈利能力价值(EPV):$26.86
合理市净率(P/B):$34.46
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):$32.99
周期中段收益:$46.18
市销率法(P/S):$11.05
分析师共识:买入 (19B / 14H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+1.11%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

19.27

ROE

23.1%

市净率(P/B)

4.35

P/FCF

19.43

毛利率

55.5%

ROIC

22.0%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

22.0%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.0 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 14.76%
  • ROIC 22.0%
  • Gross Margin 55.5%
  • P/FCF 19.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 29.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 25.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 58% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.05
  • Share Dilution -3.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 23.1% vs 20.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(5)

  • EPS CAGR 3.34%
  • P/B Ratio 4.35
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

不可用(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.05

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-3.0%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Hilton H. SchlosbergCEO & Vice Chairman72
Mr. Thomas J. Kelly CPAChief Financial Officer71
Mr. Guy P. CarlingChief Executive Officer for EMEA & OSP48
Ms. Emelie C. TirreChief Strategy Officer55
Mr. Rob L. GehringChief Executive Officer for Americas58

审计风险

8

董事会风险

9

薪酬风险

7

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-27

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-07

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-25

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MNST, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/11/2026POSITIVE
    You Need to Know the Bull and Bear Case for This Monster Stock That Turned a $1,000 Investment Into $64,000 in 10 Years

    Monster Beverage Corporation has delivered an exceptional 10-year return, transforming a $1,000 investment into $64,000, a testament to its strong performance in the beverage sector. This remarkable growth suggests robust revenue expansion and effective cost management, likely driven by increasing brand popularity and market share gains. Investors are presented with a compelling case for continued upside, as the company demonstrates its ability to consistently outperform market expectations and deliver significant shareholder value.

  • 2/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Monster (MNST) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Investors in Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) are currently awaiting the release of the Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While specific details remain unavailable, the analysis of such documents is paramount for understanding the company's financial performance, future outlook, and growth strategies. Management's commentary on sales, margins, and guidance for the upcoming year will directly influence market expectations and the stock's valuation. Traders will closely monitor any insights into product innovation, geographical expansion, or competitive challenges, all of which could trigger significant movements in the share price.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Monster Beverage Earnings Review: Q4 Summary

    Monster Beverage Corporation has recently released its Q4 financial summary. While the article does not provide specific details on sales figures or earnings per share, the analysis of this data is crucial for investors. Earnings reports offer a vital overview of the company's financial health, growth trajectory, and profitability. Analysts and shareholders will meticulously examine these results to assess past performance and formulate forecasts regarding the energy drink giant's future prospects. Sales trends, profit margins, and future guidance will be key factors in determining market reaction.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    A Peek at Monster Beverage's Future Earnings

    Investors in Monster Beverage Corporation are awaiting a preview of the company's future earnings, a key event that often acts as a catalyst for stock movement. Despite the announcement, no specific details regarding financial projections or growth expectations have been disclosed at this time. The lack of concrete information prevents an immediate directional assessment, leaving the market in a holding pattern. Monster Beverage, a leader in the energy drink sector, is constantly under analyst scrutiny for its ability to innovate and maintain market share in a competitive segment. Market participants will closely monitor any official communications for signals on future performance and their impact on share value.

via Markets Gazette