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Mongolian Mining Corporation (MOGLF)

被高估
Basic MaterialsCoking CoalMongolia

基本面

41

价格

$8.70

市值

$8.98B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Mongolian Mining Corporation mines and washes coking coal, the type of coal used to make steel rather than to generate electricity, from open-pit mines in Mongolia's South Gobi region. Raw coal is processed at its own washing plants to raise its quality before being trucked and railed across the border to buyers in China, by far the largest steelmaking market in the world. It has recently added a small gold and metals business alongside its core coal operations.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling washed coking coal by the tonne at prices that track international and Chinese steel-industry benchmarks, so it moves with steel production cycles rather than with anything the company controls. Different coal grades — hard coking coal, semi-soft and mid-ash semi-hard — sell at different prices per tonne, so the product mix shipped in a given period affects average realized price as much as tonnage does.

分部营收

Coking coal96.2%

Washed hard coking, semi-soft and mid-ash semi-hard coal sold mainly to Chinese steelmakers — the core, long-standing business.

Gold and metals3.8%

A newly reported business line generating revenue for the first time in fiscal 2025, alongside the established coal operations.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Demand for coking coal follows Chinese steel production, which itself follows construction and industrial activity in China's economy. A slowdown in Chinese steel output or a shift toward other coking-coal suppliers reduces both the volume MMC can sell and the price it can charge for it, at the same time.

看多理由

Buyers argue that proximity to the Chinese border gives Mongolian coal a transport-cost advantage over seaborne suppliers, that washing plants let the company sell higher-value processed coal rather than raw ore, and that the new gold and metals business diversifies revenue beyond a single commodity cycle.

看空理由

Sellers fear that revenue depends almost entirely on Chinese steel demand and coking coal prices, both outside the company's control, and that 2025's sharp drop in profit — despite similar volumes to prior periods — shows how quickly a fall in average selling price can erode earnings.

分部数据来自2025财年信息来源: Mongolian Mining Corporation Announces 2025 Annual Results

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.04B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$116M

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$33M

股东权益合计

$10.21B

负债合计

$395M

流动比率

1.49

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

1.19

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

周期性被高估

公允价值

$7.17

当前价格

$8.70

安全边际

-21.2%

公允价值区间

$4.66 - $9.68

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:数据不足,无法计算
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):$21.76
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$1.34
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):不适用于此类公司
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:卖出 (0B / 3H / 4S)
最近财报超预期:-71.02%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

77.08

ROE

9.7%

市净率(P/B)

7.30

P/FCF

269.72

毛利率

20.3%

ROIC

2.0%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

2.0%

WACC

10.4%

ROIC − WACC

-8.4 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(8)

  • Price CAGR 11.54%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 18.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 14.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.33

未通过(11)

  • ROIC 2.0%
  • Gross Margin 20.3%
  • P/FCF 269.72
  • P/B Ratio 7.30
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 0.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -71.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.33

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Odjargal JambaljamtsExecutive Chairman of the Board60
Dr. Battsengel GotovGroup CEO & Executive Director53
Ms. Ulemj BaskhuuExecutive Vice President & Group CFO47
Mr. Tuvshinbayar TagarvaaVP & COO51
Mr. Lkhagva-Ochir SaidVP & CTO-
Ms. Uurtsaikh DorjgotovExecutive VP & Group Chief Legal Counsel61
Mr. Oyunbat LkhagvatsendPresident and Chief Executive – Gold & Metals49
Ms. Bayarmaa BazarVP & Chief Audit Executive-
Mr. Enkhbat DorjpalamCEO & President of Coal & Energy43
Ms. Mei Yi Lee ACIS, ACS, FCIS, FCSCompany Secretary57

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

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