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MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR)

被低估
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

基本面

28

价格

$160.50

市值

$64.20B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, began as a maker of business-intelligence and analytics software that companies use to build dashboards and reports from their own data. Since 2020 it has become primarily known as a corporate treasury built around Bitcoin: it has raised billions of dollars through stock and debt sales specifically to buy and hold bitcoin, and now holds hundreds of thousands of coins. The software business still generates revenue and cash flow, but Bitcoin holdings, not software sales, now dominate the company's balance sheet and market value.

盈利方式

The software business earns money from subscription and cloud services, older-style perpetual license sales being phased out, and support/maintenance fees on existing licenses — a small, roughly flat-to-declining revenue base of a few hundred million dollars a year. Alongside it, Strategy raises new capital by issuing shares and convertible debt and uses the proceeds to buy more bitcoin, whose fair-value changes now flow through the income statement and dwarf the software business's results; reported profit or loss in a given period is driven mainly by bitcoin's price, not by software sales.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

The software segment is a small, mature player in a market dominated by much larger business-intelligence providers such as Microsoft, Salesforce and Oracle, with no scale, brand or switching-cost advantage strong enough to be called durable. Whatever edge the company has today comes almost entirely from its bitcoin balance sheet, not from a defensible position in its original product line.

需求驱动因素

周期性

The company's results are now driven almost entirely by the price of bitcoin, which swings far more than a typical business cycle, rallying and falling by large percentages within months. The small software business, by contrast, follows the ordinary enterprise-IT spending cycle, but it is now too small relative to the bitcoin holdings to meaningfully offset those swings.

主要风险

  • Bitcoin price risk — Reported profit or loss and the balance-sheet value of the company's main asset are now driven by bitcoin's market price, which is highly volatile and entirely outside the company's control.
  • Leverage and dilution — The strategy has been funded with large amounts of debt and repeated stock issuance, which dilutes existing shareholders and creates repayment obligations against an asset, bitcoin, that generates no cash flow of its own.
  • Regulatory risk on digital assets — Changes in how regulators treat corporate bitcoin holdings, custody arrangements, or accounting rules could materially affect the company's reported results or ability to operate its strategy.
  • Declining legacy software business — The original software segment, now a small part of the business, has faced years of competitive pressure from larger vendors and a difficult shift from license to subscription revenue.

看多理由

Buyers see the company as a leveraged, liquid way to gain exposure to bitcoin's price without buying it directly, and expect that continued institutional demand for bitcoin, combined with the company's ability to keep raising capital against its holdings, will keep growing its bitcoin-per-share over time.

看空理由

Sellers worry that the strategy is essentially a leveraged bet funded by debt and repeated share issuance, that a sustained fall in bitcoin's price would hit both the balance sheet and the ability to refinance, and that the original software business is too small and competitively weak to provide a cushion if the bitcoin strategy goes wrong.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 28.6Score: 80Market cap: $3.70T

Power BI is the volume leader in enterprise analytics and displaces MicroStrategy's dashboarding and reporting platform in the same large-company IT budgets.

P/E: 21.6Score: 82Market cap: $187.04B

Its Tableau division sells the same self-service visualization and enterprise BI deployments MicroStrategy bids for, often to the same Fortune 500 data teams.

P/E: 21.6Score: 66Market cap: $400.95B

Oracle Analytics Cloud is bundled with the database and ERP stack that large customers already run, taking analytics spend MicroStrategy would otherwise win.

Qlik (QlikTech International AB)Not tracked

An independent analytics vendor named in MicroStrategy's own filings, competing head-on for enterprise BI platform contracts in hybrid and on-premise environments.

Domo, Inc.DOMO

A pure-play cloud BI vendor selling dashboards and data apps to the same mid-size and large enterprise buyers MicroStrategy targets.

Metaplanet Inc. (メタプラネット株式会社)Not tracked

MicroStrategy's 10-K says it competes for capital with other companies holding bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, and Metaplanet raises money from the same investors seeking leveraged bitcoin exposure through a listed share.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$498M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$-30.41B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$-75M

股东权益合计

$44.12B

负债合计

$10.60B

流动比率

5.39

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

-

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$229.87

当前价格

$160.50

安全边际

+30.2%

公允价值区间

$218.37 - $241.36

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$229.87
现金流折现法(DCF):数据不足,无法计算
市盈率法(P/E):数据不足,无法计算
格雷厄姆成长公式:数据不足,无法计算
盈利能力价值(EPV):数据不足,无法计算
合理市净率(P/B):数据不足,无法计算
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$9.04
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$6.96
分析师共识:强力买入 (23B / 3H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-222.96%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

-

ROE

-8.7%

市净率(P/B)

1.97

P/FCF

-

毛利率

67.6%

ROIC

-55.2%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-55.2%

WACC

16.2%

ROIC − WACC

-71.4 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(7)

  • Price CAGR 23.45%
  • Gross Margin 67.6%
  • P/B Ratio 1.97
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy

未通过(11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -55.2%
  • Operating Margin -7295.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -60.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -0.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -627.5%
  • Share Dilution 31.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

不可用(9)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-评分

3/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

31.2%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Michael J. SaylorExecutive Chairman60
Mr. Phong Q. LePresident, CEO & Director48
Mr. Andrew KangExecutive VP, CFO & Principal Accounting Officer49
Mr. Thomas C. Chow Esq.Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary46
Mr. Reza VirastehExecutive Vice President of Operations-
Ms. Ponna ArumugamExecutive VP & CTO-
Mr. Chaitanya JainHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Joty PaparelloExecutive VP & Chief Human Resource Officer-
Mr. Saurabh AbhyankarExecutive VP & Chief Product Officer-
Mr. Jeremy PriceSenior Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis-

审计风险

9

董事会风险

10

薪酬风险

6

股东权利风险

9

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-19

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-03

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-10-01

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MSTR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Strategy (MSTR) calano mentre la società acquista 1,665 BTC

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shares dipped 0.75% following the announcement of an additional 1,665 Bitcoin purchase for approximately $142.7 million. The acquisition, made between September 21-27 at an average price of $85,681 per BTC, brings the company's total Bitcoin holdings to 847,666 BTC. These holdings are now valued at roughly $70.6 billion, with an average acquisition cost of $75,437 per Bitcoin. Despite the continued accumulation of Bitcoin, the immediate market reaction saw a slight decline in the stock price, indicating investor caution or a potential disconnect between the company's strategy and short-term stock performance.

  • 11d agoPOSITIVE
    Le azioni Strategy volano dell'8% mentre la società riprende gli acquisti di Bitcoin

    MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) shares surged 8% on Monday following the company's resumption of Bitcoin purchases after a two-week hiatus. The company acquired an additional 950 Bitcoin for approximately $75.7 million in the week ending September 20th, at an average price of $79,670 per Bitcoin. This latest acquisition brings MicroStrategy's total Bitcoin holdings to 846,000 BTC, with an average cost of $75,416 per coin. The news also mentioned continued repurchases of STRC preferred stock. For investors, this signals renewed conviction in the company's Bitcoin strategy and potential upside from its substantial digital asset reserves.

  • 17d agoNEGATIVE
    Le azioni di Strategy (MSTR) scendono del 5% mentre il Clarity Act si blocca

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shares fell 5% on Tuesday following a decline in Bitcoin, as the U.S. Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. This legislative setback for comprehensive cryptocurrency regulation, supported by digital asset industry leaders, has negatively impacted crypto-related stocks. Coinbase shares dropped 10% after the vote. The stalled Clarity Act creates pressure for crypto-linked equities, with Congress expected to adjourn this month. Investors are reassessing the regulatory landscape's impact on companies heavily invested in digital assets.

  • 29d agoPOSITIVE
    Strategy e Coinbase in rally mentre Bitcoin riconquista $80,000

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shares surged over 15% on Thursday, mirroring Bitcoin's ascent above $80,000. Coinbase Global Inc. also saw a significant boost, with its stock climbing more than 10% to surpass $193. This broad rally in crypto-related equities is directly linked to Bitcoin's nearly 5% gain in the past 24 hours, reaching $80,982.09. The cryptocurrency market's upward movement coincided with lower Treasury yields and a weaker dollar, suggesting a favorable macroeconomic environment for risk assets. Investors are closely watching these trends for potential continued upside in digital asset-linked stocks.

  • 8/31/2026POSITIVE
    Strategy (MSTR) avanza dopo la ripresa degli acquisti di Bitcoin dopo 10 settimane

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) saw its stock price climb on Monday following the resumption of its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. The company announced it purchased 4,603 BTC for approximately $369.7 million between August 24th and August 30th, ending a 10-week hiatus. The average price paid was $80,318 per Bitcoin. This latest acquisition was funded through the sale of Strategy's Class A common stock under its at-the-market program, with the company selling 4,531,421 MSTR shares for roughly $602.8 million during the same period. The move signals renewed confidence in Bitcoin's potential by the company's leadership.

  • 8/27/2026POSITIVE
    Perché il titolo Strategy (MSTR) guadagna il 12% oggi

    MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares surged over 12% on Thursday, propelled by Bitcoin's ascent past $80,000. This rally underscores the market's perception of MSTR as a leveraged equity proxy for Bitcoin, given its substantial holdings. Despite mixed analyst ratings, with Bernstein lowering its price target to $350 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, the overarching positive sentiment towards Bitcoin's prospects appears to be the dominant driver for MSTR's stock performance. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 also saw gains, but MSTR's outperformance highlights its strong correlation with cryptocurrency movements.

  • 8/24/2026POSITIVE
    MSTR sale mentre Strategy mantiene Bitcoin e crea riserva da $1,59 mld

    MicroStrategy (formerly Strategy) did not purchase Bitcoin last week but utilized a stock sale of approximately $2 billion to bolster its liquidity. This strategic move occurred as Bitcoin experienced a significant surge, climbing nearly 25% in the past week and nearing $80,000. MicroStrategy's stock saw a notable increase of about 7.2% on Monday, ultimately closing up 2.5% for the day and a substantial 34% over the week, outperforming crypto-exposed peers like Coinbase and Robinhood. The company has built a cash pool of $1.59 billion, according to an SEC filing, positioning itself to manage its Bitcoin holdings effectively amidst market volatility.

  • 8/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Strategy launches $1.6B cash pool after $2B common shares raise, maintains hold on BTC buys

    MicroStrategy has successfully raised $2 billion through the sale of common shares, bolstering its cash reserves to approximately $1.59 billion. Despite this significant capital infusion, the company has maintained its Bitcoin holdings at 840,447 BTC and has not engaged in new Bitcoin purchases. This strategic move suggests a cautious approach to further Bitcoin accumulation, prioritizing liquidity and potentially awaiting more favorable market conditions or specific investment opportunities. Investors will monitor future capital allocation decisions closely.

  • 8/21/2026POSITIVE
    Azioni crypto MARA, COIN, Strive, MSTR in rally con l'avvio del bull run, ma i rischi restano

    MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) is experiencing a significant rally, alongside other crypto-related stocks like MARA Holdings, Coinbase, and CleanSpark. This surge is primarily driven by the ongoing recovery in Bitcoin and major altcoins. MSTR's stock has seen substantial gains, reflecting the broader positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. The upward trend is expected to continue if the crypto rally gains further momentum, indicating a strong correlation between digital asset performance and these equity investments. Investors are closely watching the crypto market's trajectory for further upside potential in these stocks.

  • 8/20/2026POSITIVE
    Previsioni MSTR: rally di Bitcoin e aumento degli afflussi ETF

    MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) shares experienced a significant surge, reaching $115.65 in pre-market trading, a level not seen since June 22nd and representing a 40% increase from its year-to-date low. This rally is closely tied to the broader recovery in Bitcoin prices and a positive shift in market sentiment, as indicated by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index entering the 'greed' zone at 61. The associated YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) also saw gains, climbing to $13.95. The strong performance suggests that MSTR is benefiting from the renewed optimism in the cryptocurrency market, potentially signaling a positive outlook for investors.

via Markets Gazette