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NCAB GROUP AB (NCABF)

被高估
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSweden

基本面

58

价格

$86.30

市值

$15.31B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

NCAB Group does not manufacture anything itself. It designs the specification, sources printed circuit boards (PCBs) from a network of partner factories mainly in China and other parts of Asia, and sells them to industrial customers worldwide, offering local design support, quality control and logistics on top of the board itself. It operates through local sales companies in 19 countries grouped into four regions: Nordics, Europe, North America and East (China and Malaysia).

盈利方式

Revenue is booked when a customer's ordered PCBs are delivered, priced to cover the factory cost plus NCAB's margin for sourcing, design support and quality assurance. Because NCAB owns no factories, its cost base moves with what partner manufacturers charge and with tariffs on goods made in China, which it has partly offset by shifting some production to Taiwan, South Korea, the U.S. and Southeast Asia.

分部营收

Europe48.1%

Sales offices across Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the U.K.

Nordics23.3%

NCAB's home region and largest single market by history, spanning Sweden and neighboring Nordic countries.

North America22.7%

U.S. offices serving defense, medtech, power and industrial customers, with a growing focus on regional and ITAR-approved supply.

East5.9%

Sales offices in China and Malaysia, serving both local and global customers close to the main manufacturing base.

主要风险

  • Concentration of factories in China — The company states it faces geopolitical risk because a large share of the factories it sources from are located in China, and that tariffs and trade barriers are a potential risk it has only partly offset by shifting some sourcing to other countries.
  • Dependence on partner manufacturers — Because NCAB owns no factories, the company states it is exposed to the production capacity, capacity constraints and order books of the manufacturers it sources from, as well as raw material availability and prices.
  • Currency exposure — The company states it is exposed to currency risk, mainly between the USD, EUR and SEK, through translation of sales and purchases and of reported assets, liabilities and investments.
  • Demand and customer relationship risk — The company cites commercial risk arising from changes in economic activity, demand and customer preferences, and from the state of its relationships with customers.
  • Dependence on skilled staff — The company states it depends on the continued trust of its employees and on its ability to recruit skilled staff, since its role is largely one of technical sourcing and design support rather than owning production assets.

看多理由

Buyers argue that an asset-light sourcing model lets NCAB grow without the capital intensity of owning factories, that its design-support and quality-control services create switching costs beyond just finding a cheaper board supplier, and that diversifying manufacturing beyond China reduces tariff exposure over time.

看空理由

Sellers fear that without owned factories NCAB has limited control over its cost base and delivery reliability, that heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing capacity leaves it exposed to tariffs and trade policy shifts it cannot control, and that the business is ultimately a distributor with thinner structural protection than a manufacturer.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

ICAPE Holding SA (ICAPE Group)ALICA

French PCB supplier with the same asset-light model as NCAB — local sales offices in Europe and North America backed by an engineering and quality organisation in China — chasing the same high-mix low-volume electronics manufacturers.

Fineline Global GroupNot tracked

Privately held European PCB supplier, named by NCAB itself as a direct competitor, selling Asian-produced boards plus quality assurance and logistics to the same industrial and telecom customers in Europe.

PalPilot International Corp.Not tracked

US-based private PCB supplier named by NCAB as a direct competitor, competing for the same North American customers with the same combination of local account teams and Chinese factory partners.

Würth Elektronik Circuit Board Technology (part of Würth Elektronik Group)Not tracked

Private German PCB maker that supplies prototypes and small-to-medium series to the same European industrial, automotive and medical customers NCAB serves, but from its own European plants.

Schweizer Electronic AGNot tracked

German PCB manufacturer competing for European automotive and industrial board orders, offering its own factory output where NCAB offers sourced and quality-controlled Asian production.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$4.08B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$272M

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$290M

股东权益合计

$1.49B

负债合计

$1.31B

流动比率

1.60

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.74

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$53.27

当前价格

$86.30

安全边际

-62.0%

公允价值区间

$34.62 - $71.91

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$91.33
现金流折现法(DCF):$22.58
市盈率法(P/E):$52.48
格雷厄姆成长公式:$35.02
盈利能力价值(EPV):$13.71
合理市净率(P/B):$12.87
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$0.01
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$111.36
分析师共识:强力买入 (7B / 3H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+5.04%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

56.69

ROE

18.9%

市净率(P/B)

10.32

P/FCF

52.71

毛利率

35.1%

ROIC

12.1%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

12.1%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

+0.5 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(13)

  • Price CAGR 33.67%
  • ROIC 12.1%
  • Gross Margin 35.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 18.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56

未通过(8)

  • P/FCF 52.71
  • P/B Ratio 10.32
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 6.55
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 7.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.56

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Peter KrukPresident & CEO57
Mr. Timothy Benjamin Jr.Chief Financial Officer43
Mr. Chris NuttallChief Operating Officer52
Mr. Bo AnderssonTechnical Manager-
Ms. Ann JuvikenChief Digital & Information Officer55
Ms. Gunilla Öhman WikmanIR Manager66
Ms. Sanna MagnussonGroup Marketing Director46
Claire-Lise SarninVice President of People & Culture45
Mr. Andy LiuMD of China Sales & VP of Asia45
Mr. Jack KeiManaging Director of China-

审计风险

4

董事会风险

6

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for NCABF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for NCABF.