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OGE Energy Corp. (OGE)

被低估
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

基本面

56

价格

$45.48

市值

$9.14B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

OGE Energy is a holding company whose main asset is OG&E, the largest electric utility in Oklahoma. OG&E generates, transmits, distributes and sells electricity to about 913,000 retail customers across a 30,000-square-mile service area covering Oklahoma City and Fort Smith, Arkansas. It owns coal, natural-gas, wind and solar generation and operates as a regulated monopoly: state and federal commissions set the rates it can charge in exchange for an obligation to serve every customer in its territory.

盈利方式

OG&E earns a regulated return on the capital it invests in power plants, wires and grid infrastructure, set by the Oklahoma and Arkansas commissions and the FERC. It collects revenue by billing customers for electricity used, plus a separate fuel-adjustment clause that passes coal and natural-gas costs through to customers without markup. Growth comes mainly from adding new customer load and from rate increases approved after the company files for a general rate review.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

OG&E holds an exclusive franchise to serve retail electricity customers across its territory, and no competitor can build a rival grid there. That exclusivity is granted and limited by regulators, who cap the return OG&E earns on its investments, so the advantage shows up as a stable, low-risk business rather than outsized profit.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Electricity is a necessity with limited substitutes, so OG&E's demand is far steadier than the broader economy — the risk framework the company describes is regulatory and weather-driven rather than tied to the business cycle. Demand does peak seasonally with summer air-conditioning load, and the company notes rising interest from data-center and cryptocurrency-mining customers as a new source of growth.

主要风险

  • Regulatory cost-recovery risk — OG&E's profitability depends on regulators approving rate increases that let it recover its costs and cost of capital. The company states that a denial or delay of rate relief, or a future disallowance, could adversely affect its results.
  • Weather-driven demand and outage costs — Demand peaks with summer heat and results fluctuate seasonally; the company also warns that severe weather — tornadoes, ice storms, wildfires and droughts — can cause outages and restoration costs it may not fully recover through rates.
  • Dependence on coal and natural-gas suppliers — OG&E relies on suppliers and transporters to deliver coal and natural gas under contract, and states there is no assurance these counterparties will fulfill their obligations; disruption could force it to buy replacement power at higher cost.
  • Holding-company structure limits OGE Energy's access to cash — OGE Energy's only substantial asset is OG&E; its ability to pay dividends and service debt depends on dividends OG&E sends up, which state regulators can restrict, and OG&E's creditors are paid before OGE Energy's.
  • Concentration risk from large new customers — OG&E notes rising demand from data centers and cryptocurrency-mining operations, which could come to represent a significant share of revenue; nonpayment or reduced demand from such large loads would expose the company to counterparty credit risk.

看多理由

Buyers argue that OG&E's exclusive franchise and essential service produce steady, regulator-approved returns, that its 92%-Oklahoma rate base benefits from a historically constructive regulatory relationship, and that new large loads from data centers and crypto mining could accelerate rate-base growth for years.

看空理由

Sellers fear that returns are capped by regulators who can deny or delay rate increases, that the shift to renewables and battery storage requires heavy capital spending with no guarantee of full recovery, and that a large new customer failing to materialize or pay could leave OG&E with stranded investment.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 17.6Score: 60Market cap: $63.97B

Through its Public Service Company of Oklahoma subsidiary, AEP is the other large investor-owned electric utility in Oklahoma, serving the eastern and southwestern parts of the state next to OG&E's territory and bidding into the same Southwest Power Pool market.

P/E: 25.3Score: 49Market cap: $44.91B

Entergy Arkansas is the dominant electric utility in Arkansas, where OG&E serves Fort Smith and the western part of the state, so the two compete for Arkansas households, industrial load and new plant siting.

P/E: 20.9Score: 56Market cap: $17.90B

Evergy is a regulated electric utility of comparable size in the neighbouring Kansas and Missouri part of the same Southwest Power Pool market, competing for wholesale energy sales and for the large industrial and data-centre loads that choose where to locate in the region.

P/E: 19.3Score: 49Market cap: $43.45B

Its Southwestern Public Service subsidiary is a regulated electric utility in the same Southwest Power Pool footprint, covering the Texas Panhandle and eastern New Mexico immediately south-west of OG&E's service area.

Western Farmers Electric CooperativeNot tracked

This Oklahoma generation-and-transmission cooperative supplies the rural electric cooperatives that serve much of the state, and OG&E's own 10-K names rural cooperatives among the competitors it faces because Oklahoma law grants no exclusive franchise.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$3.19B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$458M

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$83M

股东权益合计

$4.98B

负债合计

$9.39B

流动比率

0.66

利息覆盖率

2.96

债务/EBITDA

4.31

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

受监管公用事业被低估

公允价值

$70.48

当前价格

$45.48

安全边际

+35.5%

公允价值区间

$45.81 - $95.15

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$50.45
现金流折现法(DCF):$224.52
市盈率法(P/E):$40.31
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$37.27
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$31.88
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:不适用于此类公司
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:买入 (7B / 10H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+0.00%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

20.19

ROE

9.5%

市净率(P/B)

1.90

P/FCF

41.66

毛利率

60.1%

ROIC

4.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

-1.7 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(14)

  • Gross Margin 60.1%
  • P/B Ratio 1.90
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 24.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.83
  • Share Dilution 0.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

未通过(12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -0.42%
  • Price CAGR 2.94%
  • ROIC 4.6%
  • P/FCF 41.66
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 41% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.4% vs 15.8%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

8/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.83

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

0.6%

股份数量稳定

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Robert Sean TrauschkeChairman, President & CEO58
Mr. Charles B. Walworth CPAChief Financial Officer50
Mr. William H. Sultemeier J.D.General Counsel, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer57
Mr. Donnie O. JonesSenior Vice President of Utility Operations of OG&E58
Mr. David A. ParkerChief Information Officer of OG&E48
Ms. Sarah R. StaffordChief Accounting Officer & Controller43
Mr. Jason BaileyTreasurer & Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. John Paul LawsChief Commercial Officer50
Cassandra StrangeInvestor Relations Manager-
Ms. Christine Ostendorf WoodworthVice President of Marketing & Communications - OG&E Company54

审计风险

6

董事会风险

5

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

3

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-18

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-29

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-03

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

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