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ORIX Corporation (ORXCF)

被低估
Financial ServicesFinancial ConglomeratesJapan

基本面

61

价格

$5745.00

市值

$6.37T

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

ORIX is a Japanese financial conglomerate that does not fit one label: it leases equipment to businesses, lends money, develops and manages real estate, runs private-equity investments and airport and water concessions, sells life insurance, owns a bank, leases aircraft and ships, and generates and retails renewable energy — mostly in Japan, with growing operations in the Americas, Europe and Asia. Its edge is being able to move capital across all of these businesses as opportunities shift.

盈利方式

Because it spans leasing, lending, insurance, banking and investing, ORIX earns money in several different ways at once: interest and fees on loans and leases, insurance premiums, gains on private-equity and real-estate investments, and returns on aircraft, ship and infrastructure assets it owns and operates. Group results are reported mainly as segment profit rather than a single, clean revenue split, reflecting how different these businesses are from one another.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Spreading across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure means different parts of the group respond to different conditions at different times — private equity and real estate lean cyclical, insurance and core leasing lean steadier — so the group as a whole tends to be less exposed to any single economic swing than a pure-play in one of those businesses would be.

主要风险

  • Credit risk across many businesses — ORIX monitors credit exposure across loans, leases and investments by borrower type, region and asset quality; concentration in any of these can expose the group to loan and lease losses.
  • Interest rate exposure — A meaningful part of interest income comes from floating-rate installment loans and related instruments, so a drop in market interest rates can reduce income earned on that book.
  • Market risk from diverse exposures — The group is exposed to interest rate, foreign exchange and equity market price movements across its lending, investment and insurance businesses simultaneously.
  • Liquidity and funding risk — As a business that lends and leases using borrowed and raised capital, ORIX depends on continued access to funding markets at reasonable cost to sustain its lending and leasing activities.
  • Operational and cybersecurity risk — The group names information security, IT and operational risk among its principal risk categories, given how many financial systems and customer data it operates across its many business lines.

看多理由

Buyers argue that spreading capital across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure lets ORIX shift money toward whichever business is performing best at a given time, and that this diversification makes the group's overall earnings steadier than any single one of its businesses would be on its own.

看空理由

Sellers worry that a conglomerate spanning lending, insurance, real estate and private equity is hard for an outside investor to value cleanly, that credit, interest-rate and market risk hit several of its businesses at once in a downturn, and that segment profit — the way results are reported — can mask which parts of the group are actually struggling.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc. (三菱HCキャピタル株式会社)8593

Japan's largest diversified lessor, chasing the same corporate customers as ORIX in equipment leasing, auto mobility, aircraft, real estate and renewable-energy finance, both in Japan and overseas.

Tokyo Century Corporation (東京センチュリー株式会社)8439

Competes directly for Japanese equipment-leasing and auto-fleet contracts and, like ORIX, has built specialty finance in aircraft, shipping and international leasing.

Sumitomo Mitsui Finance and Leasing Company, Limited (三井住友ファイナンス&リース株式会社)Not tracked

One of the three biggest Japanese lessors, unlisted because it is jointly owned by Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Sumitomo Corporation, and it bids against ORIX for corporate leasing, aircraft and real-estate finance mandates.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited (みずほリース株式会社)8425

Offers the same mix of equipment leasing, lending, real-estate and aircraft operating leases to Japanese corporate borrowers that ORIX serves.

Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd. (芙蓉総合リース株式会社)8424

A mid-sized independent Japanese lessor competing for the same equipment, vehicle and real-estate leasing business among domestic small and mid-cap corporates.

AerCap Holdings N.V.AER

The world's largest aircraft lessor, competing head-on with ORIX Aviation for aircraft placements and sale-leaseback deals with the same global airline customers.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$2.27T

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$620.81B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

$4.47T

负债合计

$6.31T

流动比率

1.68

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

5.47

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$10473.05

当前价格

$5745.00

安全边际

+45.1%

公允价值区间

$6807.48 - $14138.61

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$7000.00
现金流折现法(DCF):$16842.26
市盈率法(P/E):$5638.11
格雷厄姆成长公式:$24329.13
盈利能力价值(EPV):$2709.73
合理市净率(P/B):$3497.52
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$2222.63
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$7249.27
分析师共识:买入 (8B / 8H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+37.10%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

10.88

ROE

14.0%

市净率(P/B)

1.42

P/FCF

-

毛利率

43.6%

ROIC

5.5%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

5.5%

WACC

5.6%

ROIC − WACC

-0.1 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(13)

  • Price CAGR 13.54%
  • ROIC 5.5%
  • Gross Margin 43.6%
  • P/B Ratio 1.42
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 10.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 21.7%
  • PEG Ratio 0.71
  • Net Margin Trend 13.4% vs 12.2%

未通过(2)

  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

不可用(12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

0/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Hidetake TakahashiPresident & CEO for Digital Innovation, Representative Executive Officer and Director54
Mr. Seiichi MiyakeManaging Executive Officer & Head of Investment and Operation Headquarters57
Mr. Stan H. Koyanagi J.D.Senior Managing Executive Officer & Global General Counsel65
Mr. Satoru MatsuzakiRepresentative Executive Officer Deputy President, COO for Japan & APAC and Director59
Mr. Eiji AritaManaging Executive Officer & Head of Corporate Business Headquarters59
Mr. Masataka YamadaSenior Managing Executive Officer, CFO, Chief Strategy Officer & Director53
Mr. Paddy HoganGlobal Head of Investor Relations-
Koichi UchidaGeneral Manager of Group Corporate Communication-
Mr. Satoru KatahiraChairman of Health Insurance Society and Corporate Pension Fund of ORIX Group-
Mr. Shuji IrieSenior Managing Executive Officer, COO of Infrastructure Business Unit & Director62

审计风险

1

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

1

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ORXCF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for ORXCF.