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Pool Corporation (POOL)

被低估
IndustrialsIndustrial DistributionUnited States

基本面

64

价格

$161.87

市值

$5.88B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Pool Corporation is the world's largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool equipment and supplies, plus related backyard products such as irrigation and landscape lighting. It does not manufacture or sell to homeowners directly: it buys from hundreds of manufacturers and resells through 456 of its own sales centers across North America, Europe and Australia to roughly 125,000 professional customers — pool builders, retailers and service companies — who in turn serve the end consumer.

盈利方式

Pool Corporation makes its margin as a middleman: it buys in bulk from manufacturers at scale discounts and resells in the smaller quantities its professional customers need, adding convenience, local inventory and credit terms they could not get buying direct. About 64% of 2025 sales came from recurring maintenance and minor repair — chemicals, filters, pumps — a steady, weather-driven demand base, while the remaining 36% came from discretionary pool remodeling and new construction, which rise and fall with the housing market and interest rates.

分部营收

Maintenance and Minor Repair64%

Pool chemicals, filters, pumps and other recurring products that keep an existing pool running — non-discretionary, weather-driven demand.

Remodeling and Renovation22%

Upgrades and renovations to existing pools, such as new equipment, resurfacing or added features — discretionary spending tied to home improvement budgets.

New Pool Construction14%

Equipment and materials for newly built pools — the most discretionary and interest-rate-sensitive category, and the first to slow when credit tightens.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Pool Corporation is roughly the size of its largest rivals combined, with 456 sales centers giving it purchasing power with manufacturers and same-day local inventory that a small regional distributor cannot match. That scale is a real advantage in a fragmented industry, but it is not unbreachable: some manufacturers sell direct, and competitors can build density in specific regions.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Maintenance spending on existing pools is fairly steady and weather-driven, giving the business a defensive core. But over a third of sales — remodeling and new construction — depend on discretionary spending, housing activity and the cost of credit, and both categories slowed noticeably when interest rates rose.

主要风险

  • Weather and seasonality — Most profit is earned in the second and third quarters; an unusually cool or rainy season reduces both pool usage and the urgency of maintenance and repair purchases.
  • Interest rate sensitivity — New pool construction and larger remodeling projects are often financed; higher borrowing costs have already been shown to reduce demand for both discretionary categories.
  • Discretionary spending exposure — A weaker economy, falling home values or lower consumer confidence reduce willingness to spend on remodeling and new pools, the more profitable, faster-growing side of the business.
  • Fragmented, competitive distribution market — Pool Corporation competes with other national and regional distributors, mass-market retailers and online sellers, all bidding for the same professional customer base.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Pool Corporation's scale and distribution density give it durable purchasing and service advantages in a fragmented industry, that the 64% maintenance base provides a defensive floor to revenue, and that discretionary demand for remodeling and new pools should recover as interest rates ease.

看空理由

Sellers worry that the discretionary two-thirds of sales — remodeling and new construction — is directly exposed to interest rates and housing activity, that weather variability makes results lumpy quarter to quarter, and that scale advantages erode if manufacturers increasingly sell direct to professional installers.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$5.36B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$406M

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$310M

股东权益合计

$1.19B

负债合计

$2.44B

流动比率

1.87

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.50

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$222.16

当前价格

$161.87

安全边际

+27.1%

公允价值区间

$145.53 - $298.78

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$217.00
现金流折现法(DCF):$345.17
市盈率法(P/E):$158.50
格雷厄姆成长公式:$157.74
盈利能力价值(EPV):$129.15
合理市净率(P/B):$157.17
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$88.89
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$321.63
市销率法(P/S):$424.57
分析师共识:买入 (11B / 12H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:-0.94%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

14.88

ROE

34.3%

市净率(P/B)

5.21

P/FCF

18.86

毛利率

29.7%

ROIC

16.8%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

16.8%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+9.1 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.00%
  • ROIC 16.8%
  • P/FCF 18.86
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 32.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.90
  • Share Dilution -2.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(10)

  • Price CAGR 4.79%
  • Gross Margin 29.7%
  • P/B Ratio 5.21
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 46% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.7%
  • PEG Ratio 3.79
  • Net Margin Trend 7.6% vs 7.8%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.90

中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距

股权稀释

-2.5%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. John E. StokelyExecutive Chairman72
Ms. Melanie M. Housey Hart CPASenior VP, CFO & Treasurer52
Ms. Jennifer M. NeilSenior VP, Corporate Secretary & Chief Legal Officer51
Mr. Kenneth G. St. RomainSenior Vice President62
Mr. John B. WatwoodPresident & CEO46
Mr. Walker F. SaikChief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller41
Mr. Todd R. MarshallVP & Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Curtis J. ScheelDirector of Investor Relations66
Ms. Carolyne K. LargeVice President of Marketing-
Mr. Luther A. WillemsVP & Chief Human Resources Officer-

审计风险

2

董事会风险

1

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-26

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-29

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-25

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for POOL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/5/2026NEGATIVE
    Steadfast Capital Liquidates Pool Corporation Position With $156 Million Exit

    Steadfast Capital has liquidated its entire position in Pool Corporation, an exit valued at $156 million. Pool Corporation is a leading distributor of pool and outdoor living products, with a significant presence across North America, Europe, and Australia. The sale of such a substantial stake by an institutional investor can be interpreted as a signal of reduced confidence or a strategic profit-taking maneuver. For investors, this event raises questions about the stock's future outlook and may indicate impending selling pressure, potentially impacting the share price negatively.

  • 2/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Pool Stock Is Down 35% This Past Year, and One Fund Recently Disclosed Dumping a $10 Million Stake

    Pool Corporation's stock has plummeted by 35% over the past year, a significant red flag for investors. This concerning trend was exacerbated by the recent disclosure that a fund divested a $10 million stake in the company. Such a move by institutional investors often signals a lack of confidence in the firm's future prospects. Pool Corporation, a distributor of pool supplies and equipment across North America, Europe, and Australia, faces questions regarding its operational challenges or revised growth expectations. The substantial capital outflow and poor stock performance suggest potential headwinds, making it a less attractive investment in the short to medium term.

via Markets Gazette