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PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (PTIZF)

被高估
EnergyThermal CoalIndonesia

基本面

50

价格

$24650.00

市值

$27.62T

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

PT Indo Tambangraya Megah mines thermal coal in East Kalimantan, Indonesia, primarily for use as fuel in coal-fired power plants. Coal is extracted at open-pit mines, several run through subsidiaries and mining-contractor partnerships, then transported and sold both to power utilities within Indonesia and, for a larger share, exported to buyers across Asia, with China historically its largest single export market. The company also offers mining-contractor services to other operators and has begun smaller ventures in solar-rooftop installation and electricity generation.

盈利方式

Revenue is production volume multiplied by the price coal fetches on international markets, which move with Asian power-generation demand and competing fuel prices. Indonesian regulation requires miners to sell a minimum share of output domestically at a government-set price below export levels, so the domestic-versus-export mix affects average realized prices as well as volume. 2025 revenue fell 18% from 2024 as coal prices declined, illustrating how directly the business tracks the commodity cycle rather than any pricing power of its own.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

Thermal coal is a commodity priced on global markets, and Indo Tambangraya's mines compete against many other Indonesian and international producers with similar geology and costs. Indonesia's domestic-market-obligation rule applies to all producers equally rather than favoring this company specifically, and no patented technology, brand or contractual lock-in was found protecting its position.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Revenue tracks global thermal coal prices and Asian power-generation demand, both of which swing with economic growth, weather-driven electricity use, and the pace at which importing countries build renewable or gas-fired alternatives to coal plants. The 18% revenue decline in 2025 as coal prices fell shows how directly results follow the commodity cycle rather than steady, planned demand.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Asian coal-fired power generation, particularly in China and other developing economies, will remain a major source of electricity demand for years, and that Indo Tambangraya's established Kalimantan mines and export relationships position it to keep supplying that demand at competitive cost.

看空理由

Sellers worry that 2025's 18% revenue decline shows the business has no protection from falling coal prices, that the global shift toward renewable energy threatens long-run demand for thermal coal, and that Indonesia's domestic-market-obligation rules can reduce the export volume available at the higher price when international demand is strong.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.96B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$206M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$203M

股东权益合计

$1.90B

负债合计

$99M

流动比率

3.46

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.34

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

周期性被高估

公允价值

$16003.48

当前价格

$24650.00

安全边际

-54.0%

公允价值区间

$10402.26 - $21604.70

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$27167.84
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):$22512.83
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$2.52
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):不适用于此类公司
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:买入 (10B / 6H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+104.08%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

7.42

ROE

11.1%

市净率(P/B)

14538.59

P/FCF

135934.10

毛利率

27.2%

ROIC

9.9%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

9.9%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+1.9 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(11)

  • Price CAGR 5.33%
  • ROIC 9.9%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 10.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 50.8%
  • PEG Ratio 0.21

未通过(8)

  • Gross Margin 27.2%
  • P/FCF 135934.10
  • P/B Ratio 14538.59
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.35
  • Net Margin Trend 10.2% vs 16.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

不可用(8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

1/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.35

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Mulianto .President Director55
Mr. Junius Prakasa DarmawanDirector of Finance & Director46
. AnthonyHead of Financial Accounting-
Mr. Yulius Kurniawan GozaliDirector of Corporate Communications & Investor Relations and Director52
Ms. Monika Ida KrisnamurtiHead of Legal & Corporate Secretary42
Tulus Sebastian SitumeangHead of Sales Compliance & Quality Management-
Mr. Jusnan RuslanDirector of Sales & Logistics and Director59
Mr. Stephanus Demo WawinDirector of Digital Center of Excellence & Director54
Mr. Ignatius WurwantoDirector for Sustainability & Risk Management and Director59
Era Tjahya SaputraHead of IMM Mine-

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for PTIZF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for PTIZF.