返回排名列表

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL)

合理估值
Consumer CyclicalTravel ServicesUnited States

基本面

67

价格

$266.93

市值

$64.88B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company operates cruises under the Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises brands, which comprise a range of itineraries. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 69 ships. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$18.68B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$4.40B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$1.24B

股东权益合计

$10.04B

负债合计

$31.37B

流动比率

0.21

利息覆盖率

4.96

债务/EBITDA

3.55

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$229.95

当前价格

$266.93

安全边际

-16.1%

公允价值区间

$149.47 - $310.43

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$348.28
现金流折现法(DCF):$91.58
市盈率法(P/E):$194.04
格雷厄姆成长公式:$263.57
盈利能力价值(EPV):$98.57
合理市净率(P/B):$132.37
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$28.48
P/FFO(运营资金):$358.11
周期中段收益:$115.89
市销率法(P/S):$119.49
分析师共识:买入 (25B / 11H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+4.62%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

16.43

ROE

42.5%

市净率(P/B)

6.95

P/FCF

52.49

毛利率

49.1%

ROIC

12.2%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

12.2%

WACC

12.0%

ROIC − WACC

+0.2 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.92%
  • Price CAGR 12.23%
  • ROIC 12.2%
  • Gross Margin 49.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 27.3%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 43.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 52.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 69% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.54
  • Net Margin Trend 23.5% vs 21.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(7)

  • P/FCF 52.49
  • P/B Ratio 6.95
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Share Dilution 4.0%

不可用(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.54

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

4.0%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Jason T. LibertyCEO & Chairman-
Mr. Naftali HoltzExecutive VP & CFO47
Mr. Harri U. KulovaaraExecutive Vice President of Newbuilding72
Mr. Michael W. BayleyPresident & CEO of Royal Caribbean66
Ms. Laura J. Hodges BethgePresident of Celebrity Cruises50
Mr. Henry L. PujolSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer57
Ms. Martha Cecilia PoulterSenior VP & Chief Information Officer58
Ms. Dana RitzcovanExecutive Vice President and Chief People & Administrative Officer-
Mr. Blake VanierVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Robert Alexander Lake Jr.Senior VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary53

审计风险

6

董事会风险

7

薪酬风险

7

股东权利风险

9

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-11

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-28

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-23

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for RCL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8d agoNEUTRAL
    Royal Caribbean Teams with Sandals, Morgan Stanley Addresses Deals Leak

    Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is mentioned in a news segment discussing corporate transactions, alongside a partnership with Sandals and a deal leak addressed by Morgan Stanley. The program features insights from M&A experts at JPMorgan and Weil, Gotshal & Manges. While the specific details of the Royal Caribbean partnership or the Morgan Stanley deal leak are not elaborated upon, the context suggests a focus on significant corporate activity. Investors should monitor for further disclosures regarding these transactions, as they could impact the company's strategic positioning and financial performance.

  • 8d agoPOSITIVE
    Royal Caribbean Buys Stake in Sandals Resorts

    Royal Caribbean Cruises has announced a strategic move to acquire a 50% stake in Sandals Resorts International for approximately $3 billion. This significant investment positions Royal Caribbean to expand its footprint within the all-inclusive resort sector, potentially enhancing its integrated travel offerings. The deal is expected to leverage synergies between the cruise line's extensive customer base and Sandals' established resort brand, aiming to create a more comprehensive vacation experience. Investors will be watching for the integration progress and its impact on future earnings and market share.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    Royal Caribbean Upbeat on European Sailings Amid Iran War

    Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. reported robust demand for its European itineraries, signaling resilience despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The company indicated that ongoing conflicts have not significantly impacted bookings for its lucrative Mediterranean sailings. This positive outlook suggests that consumer confidence for leisure travel remains strong, particularly for established cruise lines. Investors may view this as a sign of the company's ability to navigate external risks and maintain its revenue streams, potentially leading to upward price adjustments for the stock.

  • 7/28/2026NEGATIVE
    Royal Caribbean (RCL) Lowers Yield Forecast as Middle East Turmoil Hits Bookings

    Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. has revised its yield forecast downwards, citing a "modest" impact on bookings stemming from ongoing geopolitical turmoil. This adjustment signals potential headwinds for the cruise line operator as international instability affects consumer travel decisions. Investors will be monitoring future booking trends and management's strategies to mitigate these external pressures. The company's ability to navigate these challenges will be crucial for its near-term financial performance and stock valuation.

  • 6/18/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Royal Caribbean Group 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $1000 in Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) five years ago would have grown to approximately $3,140 today, representing a substantial 214% return. This performance significantly outpaced the broader market, highlighting the cruise line's strong recovery and growth trajectory post-pandemic. The company has benefited from robust consumer demand for travel and effective capacity management. For investors, this demonstrates the potential for significant capital appreciation in well-managed companies within the leisure and travel sector, even after periods of significant disruption.

  • 6/11/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Royal Caribbean Group 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Royal Caribbean Group five years ago would have yielded a substantial return, growing to approximately $385 today. This represents a compound annual growth rate of roughly 31.5%. The cruise line operator has seen significant recovery and growth post-pandemic, driven by strong consumer demand for travel and effective capacity management. Investors who held RCL stock during this period have benefited from the company's robust financial performance and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing shareholder value.

  • 5/18/2026NEGATIVE
    Royal Caribbean Slides After Mexico Reviews Water Park Plan

    Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) experienced a share price decline following an announcement by Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. The President has initiated a review of the cruise line operator's proposed water park project located in the Quintana Roo state. This regulatory scrutiny introduces uncertainty and potential delays or modifications to the project, which could impact future revenue streams and operational expansion plans for the company. Investors are likely to react cautiously to this news, awaiting further clarity on the review's outcome.

  • 5/13/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Royal Caribbean Group 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) 15 years ago would have yielded a substantial return, illustrating the company's strong performance and growth trajectory over the past decade and a half. This historical performance indicates robust operational execution, effective management strategies, and favorable market conditions within the cruise industry. For current and potential investors, this data point underscores Royal Caribbean's capacity for significant shareholder value creation and its resilience in a dynamic travel sector.

  • 4/30/2026POSITIVE
    Royal Caribbean CEO Sees Robust Demand Despite Risks

    Royal Caribbean CEO Jason Liberty expressed optimism regarding the cruise operator's future, citing robust demand that remains unaffected by current geopolitical risks. This positive outlook follows a strong earnings report and an upward revision to the company's full-year forecast. Liberty's comments suggest that consumer appetite for travel and leisure experiences is resilient, providing a solid foundation for continued growth. Investors may view this as a signal of sustained revenue generation and profitability, potentially leading to increased confidence in the stock.

via Markets Gazette