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Republic Services, Inc. (RSG)

合理估值
IndustrialsWaste ManagementUnited States

基本面

67

价格

$208.57

市值

$65.14B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles and disposes of household and business trash across the United States. It runs collection trucks that pick up waste under long-term municipal and commercial contracts, transfer stations that consolidate it, and its own landfills where most of it ultimately goes, plus a separate business handling hazardous and industrial waste for manufacturers. Owning the landfills its own trucks feed into, rather than paying another company to take the waste, is central to how the business is structured.

盈利方式

Most revenue comes from recurring collection fees charged to residents, businesses and municipalities under multi-year contracts, many with automatic price increases tied to inflation. A second layer comes from landfill tipping fees charged to any hauler, including competitors, that dumps waste at a Republic-owned site, and a smaller slice from processing and selling recyclable materials, where revenue swings with scrap commodity prices rather than with waste volume.

分部营收

Collection68%

Residential, small-container commercial and large-container industrial waste pickup under recurring contracts.

Landfill12%

Tipping fees charged to third-party haulers, including competitors, to dispose of waste at Republic-owned landfills.

Environmental Solutions11%

Collection, treatment and disposal of hazardous and industrial waste for manufacturers, plus related field and logistics services.

Transfer, recycling and other9%

Transfer station fees, sale of processed recyclable materials, and other smaller service lines not broken out separately.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Households and businesses generate waste regardless of the economic cycle, and most collection revenue sits inside multi-year contracts with built-in price escalators, which makes the core business steady. The main sources of variability are weather disruptions, labor cost inflation the company can only partly pass through, and swings in recycled-commodity prices, which the company estimates can move revenue and operating income by about $13 million for every $10-per-ton change.

主要风险

  • Recycled-commodity price volatility — Fluctuations in prices for recovered materials such as cardboard, paper and metals directly affect the profitability of the recycling business; the company estimates a $10-per-ton price change moves annual revenue and operating income by roughly $13 million.
  • Severe weather and climate events — Hurricanes, storms and floods can disrupt collection and landfill operations and increase costs, particularly in regions prone to such events.
  • Environmental regulation and PFAS liability — Federal, state and local rules govern landfill operations, emissions, waste handling and recycling; changes such as new PFAS regulation could increase compliance costs and liabilities.
  • Labor cost inflation and disruption — The company experienced labor disruptions in certain isolated markets during 2025, and ongoing inflation in labor, fuel and equipment costs is only partly recoverable through contract price escalators, with timing mismatches and competitive pressure limiting full recovery.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$16.89B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$2.19B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$2.41B

股东权益合计

$11.97B

负债合计

$22.40B

流动比率

0.64

利息覆盖率

5.70

债务/EBITDA

2.79

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$249.32

当前价格

$208.57

安全边际

+16.3%

公允价值区间

$178.85 - $319.79

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$245.92
现金流折现法(DCF):$348.47
市盈率法(P/E):$193.22
格雷厄姆成长公式:$275.02
盈利能力价值(EPV):$108.07
合理市净率(P/B):$138.62
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$61.90
P/FFO(运营资金):$206.56
周期中段收益:$202.17
市销率法(P/S):$156.16
分析师共识:买入 (18B / 15H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+1.01%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

29.73

ROE

17.9%

市净率(P/B)

5.34

P/FCF

24.22

毛利率

42.0%

ROIC

8.5%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

8.5%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

+1.4 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.76%
  • Price CAGR 14.09%
  • ROIC 8.5%
  • Gross Margin 42.0%
  • P/FCF 24.22
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 19.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 18.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 55% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.2%
  • PEG Ratio 1.69
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.08
  • Share Dilution -0.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(7)

  • P/B Ratio 5.34
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 12.9% vs 13.0%

不可用(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.08

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.8%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Jon Vander ArkPresident, CEO & Director50
Mr. Brian M. DelGhiaccioExecutive VP & CFO51
Mr. Gregg K. BrummerExecutive VP & COO58
Ms. Catharine D. Ellingsen J.D.Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics & Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary61
Mr. Brian A. Bales CPAExecutive VP & Chief Development Officer62
Ms. Elyse CarlsenVP & Chief Accounting Officer38
Mr. John WeeksVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Jeni BellExecutive VP & Chief Marketing Officer48
Ms. Courtney RodriguezExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer50
Ms. Nicole Giandinoto CFA, CTPSenior Vice President of Business Transformation-

审计风险

6

董事会风险

1

薪酬风险

6

股东权利风险

2

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-18

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-07

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-06

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for RSG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/8/2026POSITIVE
    Waste Industry Is Recession-Resilient: Republic Services

    Republic Services CEO Jon Vander Ark highlighted the waste management sector's resilience during economic downturns, characterizing it as 'recession-resilient' with robust profit margins. The company is investing $500 million in advanced recycling technologies aimed at converting plastic waste into new bottles. Furthermore, Vander Ark anticipates artificial intelligence (AI) will be a transformative force in optimizing future waste management operations. This strategic focus on innovation and sustainability, coupled with the industry's inherent stability, positions Republic Services favorably for long-term investor value.

  • 3/5/2026NEUTRAL
    Republic Services Stock: A Deep Dive Into Analyst Perspectives (10 Ratings)

    Recent analyst ratings for Republic Services (RSG) present a mixed picture, with a focus on sustained 'Overweight' recommendations from Morgan Stanley (March 2022, February 2022) and a 'Hold' rating from Deutsche Bank (February 2022). While there are no recent downgrades or upgrades indicating a drastic shift in sentiment, the prevalence of positive ratings suggests a generally favorable outlook on the stock by some key analysts. However, the absence of new initiatives or recent financial data makes this news primarily informational, without a clear immediate impact on the stock price.

via Markets Gazette