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T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW)

合理估值
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementUnited States

基本面

75

价格

$105.92

市值

$22.24B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

T. Rowe Price manages money on behalf of others: individuals saving for retirement, pension funds and other institutions pay it a fee to invest their money across stocks, bonds and multi-asset strategies. Unlike index funds, it relies almost entirely on active management — teams of analysts and portfolio managers picking investments they believe will beat the market — rather than mechanically tracking one. It ended 2025 managing $1,775.6 billion in client assets.

盈利方式

Almost all revenue is investment advisory fees, charged as a percentage of the assets T. Rowe Price manages — roughly $6.6 billion of the $7.3 billion in total 2025 net revenue. That means revenue moves with two things at once: how much money clients add or withdraw, and how much the underlying markets rise or fall, since a rising stock market lifts the value of assets under management even without a single new dollar coming in the door.

护城河

品牌 · 狭窄

T. Rowe Price's decades-long track record and reputation for disciplined active management have kept it a default choice for many retirement plans and financial advisors, letting it charge fees well above a passive index fund. But that brand is under real pressure: index funds and ETFs keep taking share from active managers industry-wide, and T. Rowe Price posted net outflows in 2025.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Revenue rises and falls with financial markets almost mechanically, since fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management: a market downturn cuts revenue even if no client withdraws a dollar, and a rally lifts it the same way. On top of that market effect, structural flows toward passive investing have been steadily pulling assets away from active managers like T. Rowe Price.

主要风险

  • Structural shift to passive investing — Index funds and ETFs have steadily gained market share from active managers over the past decade, and T. Rowe Price relies almost entirely on active strategies for its revenue.
  • Net asset outflows — The company saw $8 billion in net outflows concentrated in equity strategies, meaning clients are on balance withdrawing rather than adding money even as total assets grew with the market.
  • Fee pressure — Competitive pressure from lower-cost products could push T. Rowe Price to cut its own fees, which would reduce revenue and margins even if assets under management stayed flat.
  • Market sensitivity of revenue — Because fees are charged on the value of assets managed, a sustained decline in equity or bond markets directly cuts revenue and compresses operating margins.
  • Rising regulatory scrutiny — Increased regulatory activity around fee transparency and ESG practices in asset management could raise compliance costs or constrain how T. Rowe Price markets and prices its products.

看多理由

Buyers argue that T. Rowe Price's long active-management track record and scale still attract client assets despite the shift to passive, that a $1.78 trillion asset base generates substantial fee income even amid outflows, and that market growth over time lifts assets under management regardless of net flows.

看空理由

Sellers worry that the industry-wide move to passive investing is structural rather than cyclical, that persistent net outflows show clients are choosing cheaper alternatives, and that a market downturn would hit fee revenue on two fronts at once — falling asset values and accelerating withdrawals.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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资产负债表与流动性

营收

$7.59B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$2.22B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$1.48B

股东权益合计

$10.86B

负债合计

$2.29B

流动比率

3.95

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

0.15

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$101.13

当前价格

$105.92

安全边际

-4.7%

公允价值区间

$74.74 - $127.52

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$109.33
现金流折现法(DCF):$149.05
市盈率法(P/E):$100.56
格雷厄姆成长公式:$74.50
盈利能力价值(EPV):$68.40
合理市净率(P/B):$95.13
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$62.67
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$157.88
市销率法(P/S):$92.74
分析师共识:卖出 (0B / 11H / 8S)
最近财报超预期:+0.81%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

10.45

ROE

19.2%

市净率(P/B)

2.02

P/FCF

13.26

毛利率

-

ROIC

-

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-

WACC

12.3%

ROIC − WACC

-

基本面分析标准

通过(16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.06%
  • P/FCF 13.26
  • P/B Ratio 2.02
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 30.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 20.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.87
  • Share Dilution -1.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 29.3% vs 28.7%

未通过(6)

  • Price CAGR 3.34%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

不可用(6)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

3/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.87

中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距

股权稀释

-1.6%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Robert W. Sharps C.F.A., CPACEO & Chair of the Board54
Mr. Eric Lanoue Veiel C.F.A.President, Co-Head of Global Investments & Chief Investment Officer53
Mr. Glenn Russell AugustFounder, VP & Director63
Ms. Jennifer Benson DardisCFO & Treasurer51
Mr. Sébastien Page C.F.A.Co-Head of Global Investments, Chief Investment Officer & Acting Head of Global Multi-Asset48
Mr. Ramon RichardsCTO, Global Head of Technology, Data & Operations-
Ms. Jessica M. HieblerPrincipal Accounting Officer, Controller & VP49
Ms. Linsley CarruthDirector of Investor Relations55
Mr. David Oestreicher Esq., J.D.General Counsel & Corporate Secretary58
Mr. Thomas PedersenManaging Director of Sales & Client Relations-

审计风险

7

董事会风险

8

薪酬风险

6

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-13

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-31

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-07-31

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TROW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/26/2026POSITIVE
    Investors Want More Help from their Advisors with Charitable Giving

    Investors are increasingly seeking more assistance from their financial advisors regarding charitable giving strategies. Jeffrey Snyder of Broadcast Retirement Network discussed this emerging trend with Emily Barczak of T. Rowe Price, highlighting the rising demand for advisory services in this specialized area. T. Rowe Price's participation in this conversation underscores its active role and expertise within the financial planning sector, particularly concerning philanthropic endeavors. This positions the company favorably within an expanding market segment, suggesting potential for increased client engagement from those seeking comprehensive wealth management and donation solutions.

via Markets Gazette