T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW)
合理估值基本面
75
价格
$105.92
市值
$22.24B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
T. Rowe Price manages money on behalf of others: individuals saving for retirement, pension funds and other institutions pay it a fee to invest their money across stocks, bonds and multi-asset strategies. Unlike index funds, it relies almost entirely on active management — teams of analysts and portfolio managers picking investments they believe will beat the market — rather than mechanically tracking one. It ended 2025 managing $1,775.6 billion in client assets.
盈利方式
Almost all revenue is investment advisory fees, charged as a percentage of the assets T. Rowe Price manages — roughly $6.6 billion of the $7.3 billion in total 2025 net revenue. That means revenue moves with two things at once: how much money clients add or withdraw, and how much the underlying markets rise or fall, since a rising stock market lifts the value of assets under management even without a single new dollar coming in the door.
护城河
品牌 · 狭窄T. Rowe Price's decades-long track record and reputation for disciplined active management have kept it a default choice for many retirement plans and financial advisors, letting it charge fees well above a passive index fund. But that brand is under real pressure: index funds and ETFs keep taking share from active managers industry-wide, and T. Rowe Price posted net outflows in 2025.
需求驱动因素
周期性Revenue rises and falls with financial markets almost mechanically, since fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management: a market downturn cuts revenue even if no client withdraws a dollar, and a rally lifts it the same way. On top of that market effect, structural flows toward passive investing have been steadily pulling assets away from active managers like T. Rowe Price.
主要风险
- Structural shift to passive investing — Index funds and ETFs have steadily gained market share from active managers over the past decade, and T. Rowe Price relies almost entirely on active strategies for its revenue.
- Net asset outflows — The company saw $8 billion in net outflows concentrated in equity strategies, meaning clients are on balance withdrawing rather than adding money even as total assets grew with the market.
- Fee pressure — Competitive pressure from lower-cost products could push T. Rowe Price to cut its own fees, which would reduce revenue and margins even if assets under management stayed flat.
- Market sensitivity of revenue — Because fees are charged on the value of assets managed, a sustained decline in equity or bond markets directly cuts revenue and compresses operating margins.
- Rising regulatory scrutiny — Increased regulatory activity around fee transparency and ESG practices in asset management could raise compliance costs or constrain how T. Rowe Price markets and prices its products.
看多理由
Buyers argue that T. Rowe Price's long active-management track record and scale still attract client assets despite the shift to passive, that a $1.78 trillion asset base generates substantial fee income even amid outflows, and that market growth over time lifts assets under management regardless of net flows.
看空理由
Sellers worry that the industry-wide move to passive investing is structural rather than cyclical, that persistent net outflows show clients are choosing cheaper alternatives, and that a market downturn would hit fee revenue on two fronts at once — falling asset values and accelerating withdrawals.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
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资产负债表与流动性
营收
$7.59B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$2.22B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$1.48B
股东权益合计
$10.86B
负债合计
$2.29B
流动比率
3.95
利息覆盖率
-
债务/EBITDA
0.15
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$101.13
当前价格
$105.92
安全边际
-4.7%
公允价值区间
$74.74 - $127.52
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
10.45
ROE
19.2%
市净率(P/B)
2.02
P/FCF
13.26
毛利率
-
ROIC
-
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
-
WACC
12.3%
ROIC − WACC
-
基本面分析标准
通过(16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 10.06%
- P/FCF 13.26
- P/B Ratio 2.02
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 30.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 20.4%
- Earnings Surprise avg 3.1%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.87
- Share Dilution -1.6%
- Net Margin Trend 29.3% vs 28.7%
未通过(6)
- Price CAGR 3.34%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 3.3%
- Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
- Piotroski F-Score 3/9
不可用(6)
- ROIC NaN%
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-评分
存在严重财务隐患
盈利质量
中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Robert W. Sharps C.F.A., CPA | CEO & Chair of the Board | 54 |
| Mr. Eric Lanoue Veiel C.F.A. | President, Co-Head of Global Investments & Chief Investment Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Glenn Russell August | Founder, VP & Director | 63 |
| Ms. Jennifer Benson Dardis | CFO & Treasurer | 51 |
| Mr. Sébastien Page C.F.A. | Co-Head of Global Investments, Chief Investment Officer & Acting Head of Global Multi-Asset | 48 |
| Mr. Ramon Richards | CTO, Global Head of Technology, Data & Operations | - |
| Ms. Jessica M. Hiebler | Principal Accounting Officer, Controller & VP | 49 |
| Ms. Linsley Carruth | Director of Investor Relations | 55 |
| Mr. David Oestreicher Esq., J.D. | General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 58 |
| Mr. Thomas Pedersen | Managing Director of Sales & Client Relations | - |
审计风险
7
董事会风险
8
薪酬风险
6
股东权利风险
7
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
损益历史
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for TROW, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 2/26/2026POSITIVEInvestors Want More Help from their Advisors with Charitable Giving
Investors are increasingly seeking more assistance from their financial advisors regarding charitable giving strategies. Jeffrey Snyder of Broadcast Retirement Network discussed this emerging trend with Emily Barczak of T. Rowe Price, highlighting the rising demand for advisory services in this specialized area. T. Rowe Price's participation in this conversation underscores its active role and expertise within the financial planning sector, particularly concerning philanthropic endeavors. This positions the company favorably within an expanding market segment, suggesting potential for increased client engagement from those seeking comprehensive wealth management and donation solutions.
via Markets Gazette